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		<title>Economics &#8211; Byrn</title>
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		<description><![CDATA[CHAPTER 1. ECONOMICS: THE STUDY OF SCARCITY AND CHOICE   Economics focuses on all the choices people make as well as the personal and social consequences of these choices   SCARCITY   Scarcity occurs because our limited resources and time can only yield limited production and income but people&#8217;s wants are virtually unlimited. Scarcity necessitates [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=lydonotes.wordpress.com&amp;blog=1888195&amp;post=5&amp;subd=lydonotes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 1. ECONOMICS: THE STUDY OF SCARCITY AND CHOICE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economics focuses on all the choices people make as well as the personal and social consequences of these choices<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ol>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SCARCITY<br />
</strong></span></li>
</ol>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Scarcity</strong></span> occurs because our limited resources and time can only yield limited production and income but people&#8217;s wants are virtually unlimited.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Scarcity necessitates trade-off<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Scarcity forces us to choose<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economics</strong></span> is the study of how people, individually and collectively allocate their limited resources to try to satisfy their unlimited wants.<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Good</strong></span> is any item or service that adds to human happiness.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> are tangible goods that can be bought and sold<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Desirable things that are not scarce are <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Free Goods</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">For a specific individual, the possession of a specific unit of a given good has<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Value in use<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Value in exchange<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRODUCTION AND RESOURCES</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Production</strong></span> entails using technology to apply energy to materials in ways that make the materials more valuable, or that otherwise help satisfy human wants<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Productive Resources</strong></span> = <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Factors of Production</strong></span> = Input<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Technology</strong></span> consists of the &#8220;recipes&#8221; available for use in combining and reshaping resources in production process<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How resources can be combined productively clearly depends on technology<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technology determines whether some materials are even seen as resources<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Knowledge and technology are closely intertwined<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Four broad categories of resources<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Labor<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The physical and mental talents that people can make available for production<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Typically measured by time available for work during the a period<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All payments per period for labor services are called <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Wages</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Land<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Includes all natural resources<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Payments per period for the use of land are called <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rent</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Capital<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investments that make natural resources more productive are capital, which includes all produced resources. i.e., building, machinery, roads<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The production of new capital is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Investment</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some capital wears out each year; this decline in value is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Depreciation</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Net Investment = Total Investment – Depreciation<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Total Investment</strong></span> each year is gross investment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Development of a rich economic infrastructure is a key for growth and development.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On-the-job training or acquisition of a college degree as investment in <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Human Capital</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Paper assets like currency or stocks and bonds are <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Financial Capital</strong></span>, which ultimately permits the purchase and use of finished goods or resources, including <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Capital</strong></span>.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Financial Capital &#8211; A deed to a house<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic Capital &#8211; The house itself<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Payments for both physical and financial capital are called <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Interest</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Entrepreneurship<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Entrepreneurs</strong></span> provide specialized human resources; they combine labor, land, and capital to produce goods while incurring risk in their quest for profit.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Profit = Sales Revenue – Wages – Rent – Interest<br />
</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Loss</strong></span> is negative profit.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>UNLIMITED HUMAN WANTS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Constraints on resources and time are only one of two important dimensions of scarcity.  The other dimension of scarcity stems from our unlimited wants<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rational Self-Interest<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Adam Smith assumed that people act purposefully to maximize their satisfactions, given their limited time, information, resources, and budgets<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The economist&#8217;s characterization of Homo sapiens as Homo economicus views all human behavior as rationally self-interested<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The economist&#8217;s notion that people act rationally merely implies that people try to act in ways consistent with their own objectives, even if their goals seem absurd to most outsiders<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The assumption of self-interest need not imply total selfishness<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Personal values powerfully influence our perceptions of costs and benefits<br />
</span></div>
<p>
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOME BASIC CHOICES</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Scarcity forces every society to make choices in trying to resolve three basic economic questions<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">What economic goods will be produced?<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Current resources and technology limits a society to choosing one combination from the innumerable mixes of goods that could feasibly be produced in a given period<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How to produce?<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">How will resources be used in production?<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most goods can  be produced with many different mixes of resources<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Who will get to consume economic goods?<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Who will get<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Income and wealth<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specific goods<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How society answers these basic questions ultimately determines our  economic structure and level of prosperity<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OPPORTUNITY COSTS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Opportunity Cost</strong></span> (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Cost</strong></span>) is the value of the best alternative surrendered when a choice is made<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Choosing any scarce thing forecloses other options; such lost options are economic costs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MONETARY (ABSOLUTE) PRICES</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Opportunity costs may be only loosely related to monetary (absolute) prices<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Absolute Prices</strong></span> are prices in terms of some monetary unit<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Opportunity cost as measured by relative prices shape most decisions<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Relative Prices</strong></span> are the prices of goods or resources in terms of each other, and are computed by dividing their absolute prices by one another<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Absolute prices bear little on rational decisions until we convert them to relative prices<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relative prices guide decision; changes in absolute prices ultimately affect most decisions only to the extent that relative prices are distorted<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relative prices compress immense amounts of information about buyer&#8217;s desires and seller&#8217;s costs<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relative prices signal opportunities for pleasure and prospects of pain<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sellers view relatively high prices for goods (relative to their production costs) as incentives that stimulate production, while low prices are disincentives that push resources into alternative types of production<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relatively higher prices for goods or resources signal greater relative scarcity and discourage lower-valued uses of goods<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Efficiency</strong></span> is achieved when we produce the combination of outputs with the highest attainable total value, given our limited resources<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Efficiency</strong></span>, broadly considered, means that it is impossible for anyone to gain unless someone else loose.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Allocative Efficiency</strong></span> requires the patterns of national output to mirror what people want and are willing and able to buy<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Productive (Technical) Efficiency</strong></span> requires minimizing opportunity cost for a given value of output<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Distributive Efficiency </strong></span>requires that specific goods be used by the people who value them relatively the most<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The question of &#8220;Who?&#8221; is divisible into issues of (a) the distribution of income and wealth, and (b) the distribution of goods<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ol>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIC ANALYSIS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<p>
 </p>
</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COMMON SENSE AND THEORY</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Steps in any scientific theory<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Identify the problem<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Preliminary thinking and relative data collection<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Develop theory and refine it<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Collect more data and (Re)test model<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New theory that passes this test gradually replaces older theory and becomes part of our common sense<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Occam&#8217;s Razor</strong></span> is the idea that the simplest workable theories are also the most useful and the best.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A good theory or model as simple as possible predicts how the real world works.  Common sense evolves as exceptions to old theories compel acceptance of better theories, if they seem reliable after extensive testing.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>POSITIVE VS. NORMATIVE ECONOMICS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Positive Economics</strong></span> address &#8220;what is&#8221; and predicts observable and testable tendencies in economic relationships<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Positive economics cannot determine whether any goal is good or bad.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Normative Economics</strong></span> depends on value judgments and addresses what &#8220;should be.&#8221;<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Normative issues frequently turn on questions of equity and provoke debate among economists and the public alike.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MACROECONOMICS AND MICROECONOMICS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Macroeconomics</strong></span> focuses on aggregate variable relevant for an entire national economy, or even the world economy<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Macroeconomic policy addresses the total effects of changing taxes and government spending, or growth in the money supply<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic security closely related to achieving commonly agreed-upon normative goals of macro policy<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">High employment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price-level stability<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic growth<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Microeconomics</strong></span> is the study of individuals decision-making, resource allocation, and how relative prices, output, and the distribution of income are determined<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Three major goals of dominate micro policy<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Efficiency<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Freedom<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All goals involve trade-offs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Our ability to achieve macro goals depends on micro policy, and vice versa<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 2. SCARITY IN A WORLD IN TRANSITION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. CIRCULAR FLOWS OF INCOME<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Markets pivot on the decisions of households and business, which together are called the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Private Sector</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government, the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Public Sector</strong></span><br />
			</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Circular Flow Model</strong></span> – how income and resources flow between households and business firms<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>HOUSEHOLDS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Households</strong></span> are centers for consumption and ultimately own all wealth, including resources that they make available to businesses or government in exchange for income<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor is the principal assets of most households<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FIRMS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Business Firm</strong></span> is a privately owned and operated center for production<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms prompt households to provide specific resources with incentives in the forms of wage rates paid for specific labor skills, rental rates for land, or rates of return on capital<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOVERNMENT</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes are the primary sources of government revenue<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A critical point in the circular flow model is that firms nor government are not the final owners of resources or product, because all firms are ultimately owned by people in households<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. SPECIALIZATION AND TRADE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Both living above bare subsistence and economic efficiency require<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Production entailing a division of labor<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specialization and exchange according to comparative advantage<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DIVISION OF LABOR</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Division of Labor</strong></span> entails dividing the work required to product a given good or accomplish a particular task<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gains from the division of labor arise because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Teamwork fosters productivity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">People develop expertise in particular jobs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Comparative Advantage</strong></span>: Mutually beneficial exchange is possible whenever relative production costs differ prior to trade<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Absolute advantages do not translate into comparative advantages.  In other words, even if one has absolute advantages over the other, both parties still can gain if they trade.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., A lawyer who can type faster than the secretary is better off hiring a secretary for $10/hr while she can make $100/hr.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Comparative advantage is molded by<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Climate and locate<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Institutional and cultural factors<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government policies<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The skills and education of the populace<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The vigor of internal competition and size of domestic market<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The commitment of domestic entrepreneurs to innovate new technologies and cultivate global markets<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES FRONTIERS (PPF)</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Production Possibilities Frontier</strong></span> depicts the maximum combinations of goods a society can produce in a given period<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The three critical assumptions of PPF model<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amounts of resources are fixed, but can allocated among different types of production<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technology, which includes such things as the state of knowledge about production and the qualities of resources, is assumed constant<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All scarce resources are fully and efficiently employed.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DIMINISHING RETURNS</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Diminishing Returns</strong></span>: As any activity is extended, it eventually become increasingly difficult to pursue the activity further.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Principle of Increasing Costs</strong></span>: Repeatedly increasing output by some set proportion ultimately requires more than proportional increases in resources and, thus, higher costs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. ECONOMIC GROWTH<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic growth occurs when<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Production possibilities frontiers shift outwards, so that more of all goods can be produced, or when<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The value in exchange of a national output increases for purpose of international trade<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Growth</strong></span> entails increases in the value of a nation&#8217;s productive capacity.<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growth is driven by<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological advances<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increases in the availability of resources or improvements in their quality<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increased values for the goods in which a country specializes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growth occurs when entrepreneurs implement technologies allowing amounts of resources to produce more output<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological advances in any active industry expand production possibilities for all other industries since resources would be freed from that industry to produce other goods<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The innovation of new technologies is a key for economic growth-and for successful entrepreneurship<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXPANDING THE RESOURCE BASE</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural Resources: Land<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Finding better uses for existing natural resources effectively increases the quality of the land available<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wiser land-use policies are also possible ways to boost the productivity of existing land, effectively increasing land resources and fostering growth<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growth of the labor forces and economic growth can be fostered through<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increases in the number of workers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Improvements in their productivity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">More support for education or on-the-job training program<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Provision of daycare for the children of people who cannot to work due to lack of affordable and reasonably convenient daycare<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Capital: Saving and Investment<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consuming less than we produce is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Saving</strong></span>, which allows resources to be channeled into productive <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Investment</strong></span>.<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rapid investment boosts production possibilities in two ways<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">First, more capital is available<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Second, new capital embodies more advanced technology than that embodies in older buildings and machinery<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, productive capacity is eroded if depreciation exceeds investment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growth in an efficient economy is stimulated by rapid investment, which requires more saving<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic growth is stimulated if saving is channeled into productive investments<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GROWTH AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specialization and exchange accordingly to comparative advantage allows any society&#8217;s consumption to exceed its PPF in isolation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The more relative production costs differ among trading countries, the greater will be the gains from trade<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. ALLOCATIVE MECHANISMS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE MARKET SYSTEM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Markets enable buyers and sellers to transact business so that people can share in the gains through specialization and exchange according to comparative advantage<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Common characteristics of the market system<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Buyers who demand goods or the resources that produce them if prices are acceptable<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Suppliers who make products or resources available if the price is right<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BRUTE FORCE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Brute Force</strong></span> is a way to decide who gets what and can be viewed as a fine system.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Brute force also wastes resources<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>QUEUING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Queuing</strong></span>: lining up or first-come, first-served systems<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If queuing were the dominant allocation mechanism, so much time would be spent in lines that little production would occur<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RANDOM SELECTION    <br />
</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TRADITION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Resources and human talent are wasted when tradition alone rules<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some efficient traditions are often reinforced by laws and government regulations<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOVERNMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Among the criteria government leaders might use to distribute production are equal share and need<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equal Shares<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">What is equal or fair to each individual?<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Need<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Difficult for anyone to judge someone else&#8217;s needs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Distribution by need causes special-interest groups to devote resources to lobbing to make decision-makers aware of their special needs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Misallocation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government decision making is often crude relative to the fine-tuning made possible through individual choice<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In consumption, when people have differing preferences<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In production, when policies specified centrally are not attuned to local conditions<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. ECONOMIC SYSTEMS IN TRANSITION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Every society attempts to cope with scarcity in certain basic ways<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Use of money to convey information about relative prices<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specialization according to comparative advantages<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Division of labor<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How and when different Allocative mechanisms are used determines how efficiently a society produces and delivers goods to its members<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic systems are conventionally classified by who makes decision and who owns which resources<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FOUNDATIONS OF CAPITALISM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Hallmarks of pure capitalism are private property and decentralized, laissez-faire policies by government<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Private Property Rights<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fee-Simple Property Rights</strong></span>, the broadest of private property rights, include rights to<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Use a good as you choose as long as no one else&#8217;s rights are violated<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Trade or give these rights to others people<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Deny use of the goods to others<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Labor Theory of Value</strong></span> asserts that human labor is the source of all value<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Rights</strong></span> theory suggests a need for more practical foundations for property rights.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Laws govern the ways we use both our own and our neighbors&#8217; property.  Government in a capitalist society establishes who owns what and how ownership rights can be transferred<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Socialism</strong></span> holds that most nonhuman resources should be owned by the state, acting as a trustee for all the people in society, and not by private individuals<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Laissez-Faire Policies<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A laissez-faire government only specifies property rights and enforces contracts<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decision-making is private and decentralized<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Capitalism allows people maximum freedom because it requires only minimal government<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CENTRAL PLANNING IN A COMMAND ECONOMY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Communism replaces the decentralized decisions of a market systems with central planning<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Under Marxist communism, <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Central Planning</strong></span>(centralized decision-making) accompanies socialist resources ownership in a command economy<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMY SYSTEMS AS INFORMATION PROCESSORS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One way to retain power is to monopolize information, so secrecy is common under all forms of totalitarianism<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Political freedom and decentralized markets expedite flows of information and technological advances<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ARE ECONOMIC SYSTEMS COVERGING?<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The efficiency of capitalism depends on how well it meets consumer wants, given the resources available<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market allocations of goods and resources are a key element of capitalism<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 3. DEMAND AND SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginalism</strong></span>: The idea that most decision entail weighing the relative costs and benefits of small changes in behavior<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THINKING AT THE MARGIN<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Adjusting rational decisions to changes in relative costs and benefits tends to be a Marginal or Incremental Process<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists often refer to a marginal unit of something as its <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Extra</strong></span> or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Last Unit</strong></span>, which is often misinterpreted as a specific unit.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decisions about buying or selling are based on opportunity costs, which ultimately depend on the relative marginal benefits and costs of goods<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Demand</strong></span> is the quantity of a specific good that people are willing and able to buy during a specific period, given the choices available<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The market prices of goods and the amounts consumers purchases are negatively related<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Purchasing patterns depend on two sets of relative prices<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Market Prices</strong></span> are the prices charged for goods whether we buy them or not<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Demand Prices</strong></span> reflect the relative values an individual subjectively places on having a bit more or less of a good<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE LAW OF DEMAND</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two reasons for the purchases of a good rise when its price falls<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Substitution Effect<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">People find substitutes for goods that become relatively more costly and wider uses for goods that become cheaper<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Demand</strong></span>: All else being equal, consumers buy more of a good during a given period the lower its relative price, and vice versa<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Principle of Diminishing Marginal Utility(Satisfactions):</strong></span> The more your have of any good relative to other goods, the less you desire and are willing to pay for additional units of that good<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Income Effect<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The purchasing power of a given money income increases, so you can buy more of the good while maintaining or even increasing your other purchases<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Note that all influences on consumption of a good other than its own price are assumed constant in deriving the law of demand<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INDIVIDUALS&#8217; DEMAND CURVES</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The law of demand&#8217;s negative relationship between the price of any good and the quantity consumed yields a negatively sloped demand curve<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Demand Curve</strong></span> depicts the maximum quantities of a good that give individuals are willing and able to purchase at various prices during a given period, all else assumed equal<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand curves reflect subjectively determined marginal benefits of goods<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARKET DEMAND CURVES</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Market Demand</strong></span> Curve is the horizontal summation of the individual demand curves of all potential buyers of a good<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OTHER INFLUENCES ON DEMAND</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A good&#8217;s relative price is joined by six other broad determinants of the amounts consumer purchase<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tastes and preference<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Preferences mirror our perceptions of the desirability of goods and our individual idiosyncrasies<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Income and its distribution<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demands for higher quality goods tends to rise if income grows<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Goods for which demand is positively related to income are <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Normal Goods</strong></span> (luxuries)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When a poor family&#8217;s income rises, its demands fall for such <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Inferior Goods<br />
</strong></span></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">With all else being equal, it follows that income redistribution alters the structure of demand<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transferring income from rich to the poor causes declines in demands for both inferior goods and luxuries<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising inequality stimulates demands for both<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, that one family&#8217;s inferior good can be another&#8217;s luxury good<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prices of related good<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A good&#8217;s own price is important, but prices of related product also influence demand.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most goods are at least weak substitutes for one another<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Substitutes</strong></span> are the goods increasingly purchased in place of the item in questions when its price rises or vice versa<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Complementary Goods</strong></span> generate more consumer satisfaction if consumed together.  Increases in the price of a good tend to reduce demands for its complements, and vise versa.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Numbers and ages of buyers<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Population growth expands the numbers of potential buyers and, therefore, the market demands for most goods<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations about future prices, income, and availability<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers who expect shortages or price hikes in the near future may rush to buy storable products now, thus booting current demands<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations of higher income often tempt people to splurge<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations about government actions also affect buying patterns<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government taxes, subsidies, and regulations<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulation and taxes or subsidies also influence demand<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand grows when<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Preferences change so that people are more inclined to buy a good<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer incomes rise in the case of a normal good<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The price of a substitute good rises or the price of a complement falls<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The population of consumers expands<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers expect higher prices or incomes or anticipate shortages of the goods<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Favorable regulation is adopted, taxes are cut, or government subsidies the good<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN DEMAND</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If a determinants of demand other than a good&#8217;s own price changes, there is a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Change in Demand</strong></span> and a shift in the demand curve<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN QUANTITY DEMANDED VS. CHANGES IN DEMAND</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in Quantity Demanded<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Follow changes in the price of the good<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Movements along a demand curve<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in Demand<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reflect changes in influences on purchase other than a good&#8217;s own price<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Involve shifts of demand curves<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Supply </strong></span>refers to the quantity of a specific good that sellers will provide under alternative conditions during a given period<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE LAW OF SUPPLY</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Supply</strong></span>: All else being equal, higher prices induce greater production and offers to sell more output during a given period, and vise versa<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The law of supply generates positively sloped supply curves<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Supply Curve</strong></span> shows the maximum amounts of a good that firms are willing to furnish at various prices during a given period<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The positive slopes of supply curves reflect eventual increases in costs per extra unit when output grows because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ultimately encounter diminishing returns<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">May be forced to pay current works overtimes wages for extra hours<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Successfully attract more labor or other resources only by paying more for them<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Supply Price</strong></span> is the minimum price that will induce a seller to increase production beyond its current level<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Market Supply Curves</strong></span> entail horizontally summing all firms&#8217; supply curves.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. OTHER INFLUENCES ON SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An increase in the supply of a good means that more is available at each price; the supply price required for each output level falls.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, decreases in supply raise supply prices<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations of price hikes that immediately raised the opportunity of oil, and thus reduced the supply of oil, and thus reduced the supply of gasoline<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gasoline sold today is not available for sale at a later date at a potentially higher price<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A supply curve reflects the positive relationship between price and quantity supplied per period, holding constant<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technology<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Included such influences on production costs as the state of knowledge, the quantities of resources, the legal environments, and such natural phenomena as physical laws and weather<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Costs fall and supply grows when technology advances<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Resource Costs<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply declines when resource costs rise<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prices of Other Producible Goods<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in the prices of other potential outputs can shift the supply of the current good<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, when goods are byproducts, an increase in the price of one joint product yields an increase in the supply of the other even if the price of the other good falls<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Durable Goods (Storable Goods)</strong></span> provide benefits across time<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Non Durable Goods (Perishable Goods)</strong></span> can become worthless unless consumed soon after production<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The longer term effect of expectations of rising prices is that supplies of durable goods grow when<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Swollen inventories are sold and<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New investments become productive<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Number of Sellers in the Market<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes, Subsidies, and Government Regulations<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN QUANTITY SUPPLIED VS. CHANGES IN SUPPLY</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Change in Supply</strong></span> occurs only when the supply curve shift<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Change in the Quantity Supplied</strong></span> is caused by a change in the price of the good in question.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. MARKET EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply and demand jointly determine prices and quantities so that market achieve equilibrium<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In an <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Equilibrium</strong></span>, any pressures for change must be offset by opposing forces<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Market Equilibrium</strong></span> occurs at the price-quantity combination where the quantities demanded and supplied are equal<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amounts buyers will purchase at the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Equilibrium Price</strong></span> exactly equal the amounts producers are willing to sell<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Surplus</strong></span> is the excess of the quantity supplied over quantity demanded when the price is above equilibrium<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Shortage </strong></span>is the excess of quantity demanded over quantity supplied when the price is below equilibrium<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equilibrium is not instantaneous<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">How rapidly markets adjust to changed circumstances depends on<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The quality of information and how widely and quickly the relevant information is disseminated<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market structure-the vigor or lack of competition<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUPPLIES AND DEMANDS ARE INDEPENDENT</strong><br />
				</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supplies and demands are normally independent of each other, at least in the short run<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., Supply curves can be constructed for mud pies even if there is no demand for them<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:72pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 4. MARKETS AND EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THE SEARCH FOR EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">When demand is constant<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expanding supplies push down prices and increase the quantities sold<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decreases in supply exert upward pressures on prices and decrease the quantities traded in the market<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">When supply is constant<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expanding demand exerts upward pressure on both prices and quantities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decreases in demand exerts downward pressures on both prices and quantities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHIFTS IN SUPPLY AND DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When both demand and supply grow, quantity increases but price changes are unknowable without more information<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If demand rises while supply falls, the price rises, but we cannot predict quantity changes without more information<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Declines in demand and increases in supply cause prices to fall, but predicting quantity changes requires more data<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. TRANSACTION COSTS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Transaction Costs</strong></span> are the costs associated with<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gathering information about prices and availability<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Mobility, or transporting goods, resources, information costs, time, risk or potential buyers between markets<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transaction costs create opportunity cost wedges between the various market prices for the same good<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Seller would always sell at the highest possible price if transaction costs were zero, while buyers would only pay the lowest possible price<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Paying a higher monetary price is often efficient if acquiring the good at a lower monetary price entails high transaction costs<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The speed of equilibrium is negatively related to the costs of mobility and information<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INTERMEDIARIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Intermediaries</strong></span> specialize in reducing uncertainness and cutting the transaction costs of conveying goods from original producers to the final users, often transforming the good to make it more compatible with ultimate users&#8217; demands<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Intermediaries help minimize transactions costs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Retail stores and wholesalers are examples of operations that cut transaction costs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One important way in which intermediaries reduce transaction costs is by absorbing risk<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Arbitrage</strong></span> is the process of buying at a lower price in one market and selling at a higher price in another, where the arbitrageur knows both prices and the price differential exceeds transaction costs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Speculators</strong></span> derive income by buying something at a low price and storing it in the hope of selling it later at a higher price<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. MARKETS AND PUBLIC POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRICE CONTROLS    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Ceiling</strong></span> is a maximum legal price<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A price ceiling set above the equilibrium market-clearing price is usually as irrelevant as a la limiting joggers to 65 mph<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price ceilings below equilibrium create shortages and drive up opportunity costs which unnecessarily exceed free-market prices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Black Market</strong></span> is an illegal market where price controls are ignored<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Floor</strong></span> is a minimum legal price<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price floors set below equilibrium tend to be as irrelevant as laws requiring pilots to fly above sea level<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price floors exceeding equilibrium create artificial surpluses and raise costs.  Production costs of the surplus goods exceed their values to consumers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most common in labor market and agriculture<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inefficiency is a major problem<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MINIMUM WAGES AND UNEMPLOYMENT    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wage floors create surpluses of workers and unemployment just as surely as price floors for goods cause surpluses of goods.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Minimum wage laws deprive some unemployed workers of job opportunities and can cause them to give up hope<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE WAR ON DRUGS<br />
</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. THE MARKET IN OPERATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>WHAT?    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Our exploration of the price system has relied on two critical assumptions<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Individuals are self-interested and try to maximize their personal satisfaction through the goods they consume<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms try to maximize profits when they sell goods to consumers willing to pay for them<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The market system answers the What? Question by producing the things people demand<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>HOW?    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A firm&#8217;s ability to exploit consumers is limited<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competition keeps prices from straying much above costs for long<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Suppliers try to be efficient<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competition ensures that priced is approximately equal to the opportunity cost incurred in production<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competitive markets answer the How? Questions by shifting resources into goods where production costs are relatively the lowest<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FOR WHOM?    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers who hold dollar votes and are willing to pay market prices purchase and consume goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The market offers some major compensating advantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decisions are decentralized<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">No government agency dictates what everyone must buy or produce<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Markets tend to be efficient<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers usually pay prices for good that roughly reflect the minimal costs of producing these goods<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Although markets may not provide perfect stability, the forces that drive markets toward equilibrium tend to yield more stability than most other mechanisms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. GOVERNMENT IN A MARKET ECONOMY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Widely accepted economic goals for government in a market economy are<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To provide a stable legal environment for business activity<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In a market economy, government establishes rules about legal relationships between parties, sets standards for money and weights and measures and engages in other activities intended to promote the public welfare<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To promote and maintain competitive markets<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Market Power (Monopoly Power)</strong></span> exists whenever individual firms significantly influence the supply and price of a good and may be present even if several firms share a market<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The basic approach to controlling monopoly power in US has been through antitrust laws and regulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To allocate resources to meet public wants efficiently<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Because no individual willingly bears the costs of adequately accommodating everyone&#8217;s desires for pollution or National defense, price signals emitted by consumers are distorted and firms cannot privately market these goods profitably<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Externalities</strong></span> occur when some benefits or costs of an activity spill over to parties not directly involved in the activity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Private decisions result in underproduction and overpricing of goods that generate positive externalities because the value to society exceeds the demand price individuals willing to pay when they are uncompensated for external benefits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Public Goods</strong></span> are both<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Nonrival</strong></span> because numerous people can consume the same unit of such a good simultaneously and <strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Nonexclusive</strong></span> because denying access to such goods is prohibitively expensive<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Public goods cannot be privately and profitably marketed to efficiently service our collective demands for them<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To facilitate equity through redistributions of income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Through welfare and disaster relief<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To ensure full employment, a stable price level. Economic security, and a growing standard of living<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market systems may lack strong natural mechanisms that consistently yield full employments without inflation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major tools government uses to try to achieve macroeconomic goals includes<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Variations in taxes<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government spending<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The supply of money<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">International policies also have macroeconomic ramifications<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6.  THE SCOPE OF GOVERNMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Federal Level<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expenditures tend to focus on activities with national implication<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Almost 60% of revenues come from taxes on individual or corp. incomes<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Additional 30% is from Social Security taxes<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Local and State Level<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expenditures is directly at services that affect people in more limited geographical areas<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">2/3 of revenues are from<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Grants from the federal government<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Property taxes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sales taxes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes can be related to income in three basic ways<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Progressive<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher income, higher taxes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Proportional<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes collected at a fixed percentage of income regardless of income level<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regressive<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The percentage of income paid as taxes declines as income rises<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., Social Security Tax: only 15% upto $60,000<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market tend to be inefficient when<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms exercise market power or<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Property rights are uncertain or unenforceable<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">At the macroeconomic level, persistent high employment, erratic swings of the price level, and unbalanced or sluggish growth may also signal inefficiency.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 5. FOUNDATIONS OF MACROECONOMICS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The central goals of macroeconomics are<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">High employment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price level stability (keeping inflation in check)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic growth<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. BUSINESS CYCLES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Periods of economic expansion and contraction alternate over a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Business Cycles</strong></span><br />
			</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A typical business cycle<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Peak (Boom)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Recession (Contraction)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Depression (Trough)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Recovery (Expansion)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TURNING POINTS IN BUSINESS CYCLES    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Turning Points</span><br />
							</strong>are unofficial until the next peak or trough is passed<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Troughs</strong></span> of the cycle occur when most measures of business activity indicate low point<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Peaks</strong></span> are dated when most data point to cyclic highs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SPECIAL ASPECTS OF BUSINESS CYCLE    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social losses from recession<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Waves of crime, illness, and breakdowns of family structures<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Marriage and divorce are both positively related to economic swings<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Trigger epidemics of stress-related disease<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Suicide<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. BUSINESS CYCLE THEORIES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXTERNAL SHOCK THOERIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">External Shocks are economic disturbances that originate outside an economy<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., Wars, weather, oil<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Sunspot Theory</strong></span> is an exotic external shot theory developed by W. Staney Jevons in 1875<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Sunspot</strong></span>: nuclear storms on the sun&#8217;s surface affect weather and, hence, agriculture<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>POPULATION DYNAMICS THOERIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Population Dynamics</strong></span> approach, which concludes that bare subsistence is all that people can ultimately expect.  A theory from biology illustrates why these early forecasts were pessimistic<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Population S-curve<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Birth rates depend primarily on maternal health.  Favorable events trigger population explosions because birth rates rise while death rates fall<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARXIAN CAPITALISTIC CRISES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Marx condemned markets as permitting the rich and powerful to exploit workers<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Marxists view business cycles as driven by increasing concentrations of wealth in the hands of capitalists<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LONG WAVES AND INNOVATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Joseph Schumpeter proposed a long-wave theory of business cycles in which development is fueled when entrepreneurs initiate such innovations as<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Discoveries of raw materials<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New goods or new quality in familiar products<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological advances<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The opening of new markets<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major reorganizations of industries<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major innovations generates <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Spinoffs</strong></span>, which are related inventions, mimicries of an original innovation, or the births of new industries<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic growth peaks by the time society fully adapts to a major innovations; saturated markets cannot absorb further supply increases or emulation of the new technology<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The next long-wave process is sparked by a new wave of innovation and minor innovations might explain shorter cycles<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Institutional features in a society as essential for innovation and economic vitality identified by Schumpeter<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Entrepreneurs must have broad discretion about how to operate<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Well-developed financial markets must channel credit to entrepreneurs, allowing investment in new capital and R&amp;D even before they actually contribute anything to national income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PYSCHOLOGICAL THOERIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Psychological theories of cycles focus on how human herd instincts make prolonged optimism or pessimism contagious<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CLASSICAL MACROECONOMIC THEORY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most modern economists now focus on two general theories that compete in explaining broad cyclic activity<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical theory<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Classical Macroeconomic Theory</strong></span> stress coping with scarcity from the supply side as the key to macroeconomic vitality and supports<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market solutions to problems and<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Laissez-fairs (minimal) government policies<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economics relies heavily on the self-correcting power of automatic market adjustments (Smith&#8217;s &#8220;invisible hand&#8221;) to cure macroeconomic instability including excessive unemployment<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists inspired by classical reasoning would rely primarily on market forces, with changes in government policies being used only as a last resort to cure an economy in tumult<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian theory<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Keynesian Theory</strong></span> views inadequate demand as the cause of cyclic downturns and recommends actively adjusting government policies to combat instability<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists who follow in the footsteps of Keynes tend to advocate activist government policies, with reliance on market forces<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. AGGREGATE DEMAND AND AGGREGATE SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand and supply analysis describes not only movements in the prices and quantities of individual goods, but also trends in such broad macroeconomic aggregates as national income and the price level<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply curves are useful in tracing business cycles and describing the broad effects of change in macroeconomic policies<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Demand for national output is underpinned by the purchases of four groups of ultimate buyers<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investors<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Foreigners<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Their spending plans are interdependent, and are combined in an Aggregate Demand curve<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amount of national output each group buys depends, in part, one the price level<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An Aggregate Demand Curve depicts a negative relationship between the price level and purchases of national output<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Aggregate Demand curve is negatively sloped because<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Wealth Effect<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher average prices reduce the amount of domestic production sold along an Aggregate Demand curve<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Foreign-Sector Substitute Effect<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher US prices cause domestic consumers to buy more imports and fewer US goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A higher price level shrinks investment in US because both foreign and US firms would find it relatively more profitable to invest abroad<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Trends toward imports and foreign investments reinforce the wealth effect in making Aggregate Demand curves negatively sloped<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Interest Rate Effect<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amount of borrowing required to finance a major purchase rises if the price level rises<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A higher price level increases the demand for loanable funds and, consequently, increases the interest rate, which is the cost of credit<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. SHIFTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in national income and the price level reflect movements along the Aggregate Demand curve; they do not cause it to shift<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Demand curve shift when planned spending changes for consumption (C), investment (I), government (G), or net export to foreigners (X-M, or exports minus imports)<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CONSUMER SPENDING (C)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer living standards and buying habits helps shape consumption spending, which represents about 2/3 of Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Planned Consumed is also influenced by<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disposable income<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disposable income is the amount available to spend after subtracting federal and state taxes and then adding any transfer payment<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transfer payments : such as income received, but not earned, as unemployment compensation or Social Security<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On balance, these adjustments shrink aggregate disposable income to less than national income<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian theory emphasizes disposable income as the driving force behind consumer spending<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changing relationship between national income and disposable income alter consumers&#8217; spending plans and shift Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wealth or expected income<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expected higher income after graduation makes the accountant over philosophy the more probable buyer<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wealthy people or those who expect higher incomes typically spend more than poorer people with identical current incomes<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When expectations change, the Aggregate Demand curve shifts<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Average size and ages of households<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Societies full of young or large families consume proportionally more from a given current income than societies composed of older or smaller families<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Stocks of consumer goods on hand and household balance sheets<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Shrinking debt stimulated consumption<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer expectations about future price, incomes, and availability of goods<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer debt usually climbs when buyers stockpile goods to guard against inflations, but shaky confidence may reduce use of credit<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INVESTMENT (I)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic investment enhances future consumption<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Three basic investment categories<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New building and all other construction<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New equipments<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inventory accumulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">All investment is cyclically sensitive, but inventories are especially volatile<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unexpected inventory changes signal firms to adjust their hiring of resources and their orders to suppliers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Planned investment spending depends powerfully on expected rates of returns<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rate of Return</strong></span> is the annual percentage earned from an investment after all costs are considered<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rates of return, the level of investment, and Aggregate Demand are positively related to the net revenue expected from investment across time<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investors prefer more income to less and lower costs to higher while current income to delayed income and try to postpone cost whenever possible<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Another major influence on rates of return and investment is risk<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment is stimulated when technological advances are innovated.  Innovations yielding high rates of return tend to arrive erratically and in waves<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Costs of investment<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expected returns rise when capital prices fall and shrink when construction or machinery costs rise<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Interest is the major cost of investment<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investors&#8217; opportunity costs rise when interest rates rise<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes on investment income are another consideration<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOVERNMENT (G)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectation about government policies also affect investment and government affects Aggregate Demand most directly through its spending and its tax policies<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government purchases<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government purchases both consumption and investment types and they directly increase Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some government outlays, however, do not entail direct spending such as cash transfer payments in terms of SS or unemployment compensations<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax rate<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher tax rates generally decrease Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When people have more money they tend to spend it<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A larger money supply, all else being equal, allows a greater supply of loanable funds, so interest rates will be lower<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lower interest rates stimulate borrowing and spending by both consumers and investors<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE FOREIGN SECTOR (X-M)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Exports (X)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Exports reflect foreign demands for US goods.  Thus, they increase Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Import (M)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Import augment Aggregate Supply but may reduce Aggregate Demand for domestic production because imports sometimes replace purchases of domestic output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">National income influences US imports<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">US exports depend primarily on economic conditions abroad<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Net Export (X-M) are usually only a negligible percentage of Aggregate Spending (10% of national income of US)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. AGGREGATE SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Aggregate Supply Curve</strong></span> reflects a positive relationship between the price level and the real quantity of national output<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The positive slopes of Aggregate Supply curves mirror those of market supplies<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SLOPES OF THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The general law of diminishing returns partially accounts for the upward slope of supply curves for individual firms and for market supply curves<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Additional production eventually becomes ever more costly as output levels grow<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Then, firms may require higher prices to justify expanding their output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Moreover, higher prices embody greater incentives for firms to produce more output  because profit opportunities are enhanced<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A similar logic applies for the economy as a whole<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Capacity and Price-Cost Dynamics<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prices adjust more rapidly than production costs; costs are relative more &#8220;sticky.&#8221;  When the price level rises, delayed hikes in costs yield profit incentives to expand production<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The prices a firm can charge in a growing economy tend to rise faster than its resource costs<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, prices tend to fall faster than costs when business activity slows down<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Production costs per unit are much slower to adjust to changes in Aggregate Demand than are the prices of output.  This is the major reason why a society&#8217;s Aggregate Supply is positively sloped in the short run<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">National Output and the Work Force<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As the economy approaches its capacity, additional output becomes increasingly costly, pushing prices up sharply<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising employment and output levels generate pressure for hikes in wages and prices, while falling employment and output create pressure for wage and price cuts <strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHIFTS IN AGGREGATE SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Supply is determined by how technology is used to combine the available quantities and qualities of labor, land, capital, and entrepreneurship, ultimately determining productive capacity and costs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major determinants in addition to prices are<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Resources costs<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As resource cost climb, Aggregate Supply falls and vice versa<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor supplies depend on how individuals balance income from work against their enjoyment of leisure<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher wages due to power of unions and organized labor<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rightward shifts occur when new resources are discovered and push prices down<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some costs may rise artificially if economic power becomes more concentrated<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Supply grows if competition intensifies because<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">External firms&#8217; quests for share of monopolists&#8217; profits<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Vigorous antitrust actions<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The invasion of a market by imports<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Production technology<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological advances shift Aggregate Supply curves rightward<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changing expectations about inflation or future prosperity acutely affect Aggregate Supply<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes or subsidies or regulations on producers<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Work versus leisure choices are influenced by taxes and social welfare policies<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher taxes make earning additional income worth less<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Abolishing burdensome regulations shifts Aggregate Supply rightward<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Efficient regulations expand Aggregate Supply<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government may also enhance Aggregate Supply through<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Direct funding of R&amp;D that advance technology<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subsidies or tax incentives that stimulate private R&amp;D<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Patent or copyright protection<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The prices of other producible goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number of producers in the market<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>7. MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply meet to yield a unique short-run equilibrium for aggregate levels of prices and outputs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Once explanation for recession or depression is a drop in Aggregate Demand<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real growth accompanies by mild inflation conform to expansion of Aggregate Demand relative to Aggregate Supply<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in Aggregate Supply can lead to growth or stagflation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If Aggregate Supply shrinks, rising price accompany declines in output and more unemployment, a condition known as <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Stagflation</strong></span><br />
					</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>8. THE AMERICAN BUSINESS CYCLE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PROSPEROUS 1920S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prosperity was sparked by<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rapid growth of technology, labor productivity, and productive capacity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The popularity of such new and important goods as telephone, radio, and auto<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The electrification of homes and industries<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A wave of optimism lasting until 1929<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE GREAT DEPRESSION OF THE 1930S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real disposable income fell more than 26% between 1929 and 1933, while unemployment rates mounted from 3.2% to nearly 25%<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The 6% to 8% annual drop in average prices between 1929 and 1933 but did not help the unemployed<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Recessions and depressions are almost uniformly periods when Aggregate Demand has plummeted <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>WARE AND ITS AFTERMATH IN THE 1940S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Massive defense spending during WW II snapped the economy out of the depression in the early 1040s<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE SLUGGISH 1950S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">John F. Kennedy was the first major US politician to propose tax cuts to stimulate Aggregate Demand when the economy was not in deep depression<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE BOOMING 1960S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The general law of diminishing returns partially accounts for the upward slope of <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STAGFLATION IN THE 1970S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Declines in Aggregate Supply relative to Aggregate Demand may account for economic stagnation<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ERRATIC 1980S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The US national debt, which had tripled in the 1970s, tripled again between 1980 and 1990<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The international competitiveness of the US economy became a paramount issue when goods from Pacific Rim countries and the European Community began flooding world markets, dislodging US products from markets they had once dominated<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MUDDLING THROUGH IN THE 1990S<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Hugh deficits in the federal budget and the US balances of trade and payments persisted into the mid-1990s<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In US, movements were launched to reinvent government and to reform the health-care system, which had grown from about 5% of national income in the 1950s to absorb roughly 14% of income by 1994<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 6. EMPLOYEMENT AND UNEMPLOYEMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. LABOR MARKETS IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN THE SUPPLY OF LABOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Labor Force (LF)</strong></span> consists of all employed (E) or unemployed (U) civilians over age 16 plus members of the Armed Forced stationed in the US<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">LF = E + U<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR)</strong></span> is the proportion in the labor force from a specific group.  For the total labor force, <strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The LFPR = LF / Population of the specific group<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Employment to Population Ratio</strong></span> is the total employment (E) relative to that population (Pop) or E / Pop<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Unemployment Rate</strong></span> is the number unemployed as a percentage of the labor force or U / LF<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The labor-force participation rates have been grown by<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Women<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Immigration<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two demographic trends have profound affected labor supplies<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The growth in the number of two-income households<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number of households headed by women<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN THE DEMAND FOR LABOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Broad changes to the supply side of our national labor market have been matched by dramatic changes in demands for labor.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The demand for labor ultimately derives from consumer demands for goods and depend on workers&#8217; productivity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ongoing changes in product markets profoundly affect labor productivity<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Globalization has intensified competition in many industries<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The drive for cost-efficiency means that skilled labor commands premium wages<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Less-skilled Americans increasingly must compete with lower-cost foreign labor<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">International trade tends to equalize the wages of domestic workers with those of comparably skilled foreign workers<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Free international trade erodes the incomes of less-skilled Americans while boosting wages for low-skilled foreign workers<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Skilled Americans gain by producing for foreign markets and by buying imported goods at lower prices<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competing successfully in the global economy requires flexibility<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For several decades US employment has been shifting from commodity production to the provision of services<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government policies about labor markets have altered employer-employee relationships<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increased cost of hiring, retaining, firing, and laying off workers<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growing numbers of workers are lumped together as the contingency work force<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Contingency Work Force</strong></span> consists of part-time and temporary employee plus business service providers plus the self-employed<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. THE CONCEPT OF UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN THE SUPPLY OF LABOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Conceptually, <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Unemployment</strong></span> occurs when people are able to work and would willingly accept the prevailing wage paid to someone with their skills, but either cannot find or have not yet secured suitable employment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Although markets for most good remedy surpluses rapidly through price cuts, similar remedies do not seem to work as quickly in labor markets when there are gluts of workers<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wages are seldom perfectly flexible; they tend to be downwardly sticky, which prolongs unemployment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>VOLUNTARY VS. INVOLUNTARY UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Voluntary Unemployment</strong></span> occurs when people could find work quickly, but choose to search for what they view as better jobs in terms of pay or working conditions<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Involuntary Employment</strong></span> occurs when people lack jobs, but they are willing , able, and even eager to work at wages commensurate with their skills<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STICKY WAGES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Sticky Wages and Prices</strong></span> occurs when wages or prices fail to instantaneously adjust to clear a market at the point where the quantities demanded and supplied are equal<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Barriers to wage cut<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Psychological aversion to accept wage cut<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Minimum wage laws<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Individual workers cannot negotiate their own wages with unionized employers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Seniority rule<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Employee moral<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, even if wages are sticky in the short run, they ultimately fall if business is depressed for a sufficient period<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. MEASURING UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHANGES IN THE SUPPLY OF LABOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major source of US unemployment statistics is a monthly Dept. of Labor surveys of about 60,000 households<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Employed Person</strong></span>s include<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Anyone who worked for pay any time during the week that included the 12<sup>th</sup> day of the month or without pay for 15 hours or more in a family-operated firm and<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Those temporarily absent from regular jobs because of illness, vacation, strike, or similar reason,  Armed Forced personnel stationed in the US are also counted as employed<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Unemployed Persons</strong></span> are those who did not work during the survey week but were available for work, except for temporary illness, and who looked for jobs within the preceding four weeks,  Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted as unemployed<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LIMITATIONS OF UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Failure to include discouraged workers and the part-time unemployed in unemployment statistics biases official unemployed statistics downward<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Discouraged Workers</strong></span> are so pessimistic about their prospects that they do not look for jobs. Although they would like to work<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The discouraged worker syndrome is probably most pronounced during recession, when job openings are perceived as few and far between<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All part-time employees are considered employed<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dishonest nonworkers bias unemployment data upwards<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Dishonest Nonworkers</strong></span> claim to be available for work so they can draw unemployment benefits even though they do not intend to work<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. SOURCES OF UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FRICTINAL UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Frictional Unemployment</strong></span> arises from transaction costs incurred in matching workers with jobs (i.e., job relocation)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Many economists refer to frictional unemployment as <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Search Unemployment</span><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Search process can be viewed as investments in information<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment rate naturally rise as the average duration of search increases<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The existence of frictional unemployment implies that a target of zero unemployment would be neither reasonable  nor desirable<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Zero unemployment would freeze all workers in their current jobs, no matter how unsatisfactory<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms would be stuck with their currents workers, no mater how bad the mismatch<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SEASONAL UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Seasonal Unemployment</strong></span> varies systematically over the year <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Structural Unemployment</strong></span> occurs when a worker&#8217;s skills fail to match the requirements of virtually any job opening<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reasons why people who are structurally unemployed usually jobless for long periods<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Structural change displaces some workers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms may find it unprofitable to hire and train certain workers (high school dropouts or exconvicts) if expected training costs outweight benefits to the firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CYCLICAL UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Cyclical Unemployment</strong></span> coincides with downturns in business cycle<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Marginal firms are especially vulnerable to recessions<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Historically, cyclical unemployment bore most heavily on manufacturing and construction workers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INDUCED UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Induced Unemployment</strong></span> is a consequence of government policies that create &#8220;wedges&#8221; so that wages are not at their equilibrium values<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Minimum-Wage Laws<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Overprice the labor of unskilled and inexperienced workers and limit job opportunities<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment Compensation<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Provides incentives for people who sincerely desire work to turn down some job offers in hopes that they will find the perfect position if they keep looking<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Payment of unemployment compensation in the US is usually limited to 26 weeks<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher relative rates of unemployment compensation make it easier for unemployed people to cling to unrealistic expectations and to remain out of work longer<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It biases official unemployment statistics upward because cheaters who don&#8217;t truly want to work are counted as jobless<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ACCOUNTING FOR JOBLESSNESS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Different government programs broadly aimed at different types of unemployment<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">State employment offices match job applicants with vacancies to reduce transaction cost the boost frictional and seasonal unemployment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government retraining programs are intended to provide marketable skills to the structurally unemployed, and firms that hire the hard-core unemployed receive tax subsidies<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Occasional reforms to unemployment compensation systems are aimed at reducing induced unemployment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Policymakers attempt to reduce cyclical unemployment by trying to dampen the frequency, intensity, and duration of economic downturns<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. COSTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LOSSES OF AGGREGATE INCOME<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Lost-Income Costs</strong></span> of unemployment consist of the value of the output the unemployed could have produced<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOCIAL COSTS OF AGGREGATE INCOME<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The social and psychic costs of unemployment may outweigh all the financial losses<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The self-confidence of workers who view their jobs as central to their lives may be crushed by extended unemployment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Joblessness wreaks havoc with family structures<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. BENEFITS FROM UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ALLOCATIVE BENEFITS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Frictional unemployment yields Allocative benefits by matching workers and jobs<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Finding a new job tends to be easier if you are not working fulltime<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pools of idle labor allow firms to screen more potential employees than if unemployment were zero<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lower transaction costs enhance economic efficiency<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment also prompts some workers to return to school or to acquire skills through on-the-job apprenticeships<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DISCIPLINARY BENEFITS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some economists view possible layoffs as curbs to undue demands for wages and fringe benefits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Threats of unemployment are also powerful work incentives for people who respond better to sticks than to carrots<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Due to the higher costs of unemployment in general than its benefits includes the emphasis policymakers devote to curing it<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 7. INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THE CONCEPT OF INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Inflation</strong></span> occurs when the <span style="text-decoration:underline;">average</span> level of prices rises; the average price level falls during <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Deflation</span><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price increase for a single good may not be inflationary.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. PRICE INDEX NUMBERS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">An <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Index</strong></span> is a series of numbers that summarize what has happened over time to prices (inflation or deflation), productivity, labor markets, construction, or some aggregation of other items<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Index = (Value of Variable in Current Period) / (Value of Variable in Base Period) X<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;">100<br />
</span></p>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Index numbers are easier ways to interpret change than trying to digest that original numbers<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most indices are seasonally adjusted to make data more comparable over time<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Three principal indices used to measure inflation<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Consumer Price Index (CPI)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Producer Price Index (PPI)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Gross Domestic Product Deflator (GDP Deflator)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MEASURING CONSUMER PRICES (CPI)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Consumer Price Index  (CPI) is</strong></span> a statistical measures of changes across time in the prices of a basket of typical goods purchases by typical consumers<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The CPI estimates purchasing power by tracking the costs of a sample market basket that consists of over 650 products and service3s<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To update the CPI, each month the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) samples prices of items in this representative market basket in nearly 100 different major markets<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The BLS also conduct annual surveys of the prices paid and spending patterns of thousands of households in over 1,000 marketing areas to calculate weights for the CPI&#8217;s components.  The components of the CPI are weighted to reflect relative importance<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The base period is changed every few years because spending patterns change, which requires updating weights for various goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>HOW THE CPI IS USED<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">CPI is used to estimate changes in the purchase power of money and as an escalator (cost-of-living adjustment) in some contracts calling for future payments<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Moving from Nominal to Real Values<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Nomina</strong></span>l or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Monetary Values</strong></span> are the dollar amounts received or paid today<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Nominal values lose comparability over time unless adjusted for inflation or deflation<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Real Values</strong></span> are nominal values adjusted for changes in the price level<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Yreal = Ycurrent / (CPI / 100)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Yreal = The purchasing power of real income<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ycurrent = The purchasing power of current income<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Deflation</strong></span> is the process of ensuring the comparability of nominal values by adjusting them for inflation<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real Value = Nominal Value in Dollars / (Price Level / 100)<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The CPI may either overstate or understate the amount of inflation experienced by any given individual<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation is especially harmful if the prices of goods you like rise faster than inflation, but you could actually gain during inflation if prices drop for the goods you buy most<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation also affects people less to the extent that they easily substitute goods for which nominal prices changes at different rates<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">CPI as an Income or Payment Escalator<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">CPI as an Economic Indicator<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PROBLEMS WITH THE CPI<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Estimating changes in consumer prices poses conceptual problems for the BLS<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">How can the BLS adjust the CPI to accurately reflect changes in?<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumption patterns<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation tends to overstated because consumers purchase more goods whose prices rise more slowly and cut back on items where prices rise most rapidly<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The availability for new products<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The BLS now conducts annual Consumer Expenditure Surveys in attempts to keep pace with changing consumption patters<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">New qualities in older goods<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The CPI overstates inflation if the BLS ignores the fact that price hikes sometime merely reflect quality improvements<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Direct measures of the value of quality changes are impossible, so the BLS uses an indirect methods; it estimates the costs of quality changes<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The prices of major assets such as homes, which some family bought earlier at lower prices, while others must pay higher current prices to buy now<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OTHER PRICE INDICES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Producer Price Index (PPI)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Producer Price Index</strong></span> covers nonretail markets, averaging price changes for over 2,800 primary products and intermediate goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most prices summarized by PPI are the wholesale selling prices of representative producers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The prices used for imported products are the prices paid by the original importer<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">PPI often signals the direction consumer prices will take<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The GDP Deflator<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>GDP Deflator</strong></span> is used to deflate the nominal value of our GDP<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">GDP is the total market value of all goods produced in an economy in a year<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The GDP deflator is largely based on other price indices<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Each component of consumer spending is adjusted using appropriate data from CPI<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Business spending for capital equipment or raw materials is deflated with appropriate parts of the PPI<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. TYPES OF INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation can be classified by how rapidly average prices rise, by whether people expect, or distinction pinpoint its causes<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CREEPING OR GALLOPIN INFLATION VS. HYPERINFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Creeping Inflation</strong></span> occurs when average prices rise at fairly low rates<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Galloping Inflation</strong></span> occurs if average prices rise at double-digit annual rates<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Hyperinflation</strong></span> occurs when average prices rise more than 50% per month<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">During hyperinflation<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transaction costs skyrocket<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Barter takes over and goods and resources are traded directly for other goods or resources, without money as an economic lubricant<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ANTICIPATED VS. UNEXPECTED INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Categorized by how accurately people anticipate changes in the price level<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unexpected changes in average prices do far more harm than anticipated ones<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The rate of inflation may be less harmful than its volatility<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Hedging is one way people try to buffer against expected losses of purchasing power<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Attempt to avoid possible losses from foreseeable possibilities are <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Hedges</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DEMAND-SIDE INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">We can use the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply model to help identify different sources and types of inflation<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">When a given prices rises, then<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand increased<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply decreased<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some combination of both<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Demand-Pull (Demand-Side)</strong></span> Inflation occurs when average prices rise because Aggregate Demand grows excessively relative to Aggregate Supply<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUPPLY-SIDE INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Supply-Side Inflation</strong></span> results when Aggregate Supply shrinks (i.e, because of rising resource prices or technological reversal), causing the price level to rise and aggregate output to fall<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Cost-Push Theory of Inflation<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising labor costs are passed forward to consumers as pushed-up prices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising oil prices or increases in the prices of imported goods or raw materials pass forwarded to consumers as pushed-up prices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Administered-Price Inflation<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms with market power may be reluctant to raise prices because they fear adverse publicity, antitrust actions, or similar threats to their dominance in a market<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, they use hikes in wages or other resource costs as excuses to raise prices, generally by more than their higher costs would justify<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MIXED THEORIES OF INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Composition-Shift Inflation Theory<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It is assumption that prices are rise more easily than they fall at least in the short run<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As sales shrink, firms reduce output and lay off workers rather than reducing prices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectational Inflation<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">We create our own future realities by what we anticipate<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Producers who expect inflation build inventories by boosting output while cutting back on current sales<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Buyers expect inflation, they will try to accumulate their own inventories of durable goods<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">At the end inflationary expectations quickly cause price hikes because this reduces supplies (by producers) and increase demands (by consumers)<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Demand grows excessively if the money supply grows faster than real output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. INFLATION&#8217;S COSTS AND BENEFITS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>REAL-INCOME COSTS OF INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation increases transaction costs and reduces real income by<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Making the information about market conditions summarized in monetary prices less certain<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unnecessarily shifting resources into the repricing of goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflated Transaction Cost<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transaction costs increase because perceptions about prices and purchasing power turn out to be mistaken far more frequently during inflationary periods than when average prices are stable<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Also because resources that could have been used productively elsewhere are used to reprice goods (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Menu Costs of Inflation</strong></span>) <strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Distortion Costs<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Distortion costs emerge from feelings of uncertainty among savers and investors<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inefficiencies in decision making caused by inflation are termed <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Distortion Costs<br />
</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Funds that would normally flow into new capital may be diverted into real estate or inventories, so that growth and technological advances sputter well below the levels needed fro a healthy economy<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOCIAL COSTS OF INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation is roughly what mathematicians call a Zero Sum Game<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Income redistributions from inflation are a major source of inflation&#8217;s social costs<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Even though losses to some are offset by gains to others, the process seems capricious and erodes the trust we have in each other<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The prices of physical assets such as land and housing often rise even more rapidly than the rate of inflation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BENEFITS OF INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A little inflationary pressure may ease needed changes in relative prices.  This is especially true if price reductions are resisted more vigorously than price increase<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation&#8217;s effects on capital accumulation and economic growth may also be positive at times<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation may ease expanding government spending relative to private spending<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE DISCOMFORT INDEX<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The economic Discomfort Index equals the inflation rate plus the overall unemployment rate<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Index intended to summarize the general state of the economy<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:144pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:72pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 8. MEASURING ECONOMICS PERFORMANCE AND GRWOTH<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total market value of goods and services produced within a country during some period, usually one year<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incomes of all foreign individuals who work in the US and all profits from the US operations of foreign-owned corps. are included in US GDP<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">C     = Consumer spending<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">I     = Business investment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">G     = Government spending<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">X – M = Net export<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GDP AS AND ECONOMIC INDICATOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Official estimates of GDP are reported in nominal dollar amounts<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, these data series must be deflated (divided by [GDP deflator/100]) to make them truly comparable across time<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This yields estimated of real GP that indicate the effectiveness of government policies<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Forecasts of GDP help government decision-makers time corrective policies<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GDP AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real GDP provides a crude gauge of national well-being<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Income and employment are tied to aggregate output, so individual incomes and spending tend to swing with macroeconomic activity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dividing real GDP by population yields a rough measure of the average well-being of individuals.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Per capital real GDP indicates how well-off average Americans are now relative to earlier times or to typical people in other countries and helps us compare growth rates among countries<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. MEASURING GDP<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">GDP is measured in two basic ways<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The expenditure approach<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The income approach<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE EXPENDITURE APPROACH<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Measuring GDP by the expenditure approach leads us to the final buyers of all US output<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Aggregate Expenditures</strong></span> are the sum of <strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer Spending (C)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Household outlays include spending on non-durable goods, durable goods, and services<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Person Consumption Expenditures</strong></span> are the value of all commodities and services that household and individuals buy<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Business Investments (I)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic Investment refers to acquisition of new physical capital<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment does not refer to flows of money or documents that we term financial investment<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The purely financial transactions such as purchases of new stocks and bonds are not economic investment<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Business spending for new capitals is called <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Gross Private Domestic Investment (GPDI)</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Foreign investments by American firms not included<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment by foreign companies in US is part of US GPDI<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major components of investment spending are<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All new construction, including housing<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All final purchases of new equipments<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in business inventories<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Raw materials<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">WIP<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Finished goods<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government Purchases (G)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The most important resource government buys is its employee&#8217;s labor<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">All government goods enter the GDP accounts at the prices government pays for them<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For GDP accounting purposes, government is assumed to add nothing to the value of the labor and other resources it uses<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government purchases do not include transfer payments (i.e., SS payments)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Net Spending by Foreigners (X-M)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Net exports are defined by as export (X) minus imports (M)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Exports</strong></span> are goods manufactured domestically and bought by foreigners<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Imports</strong></span> are goods produced in foreign countries and consumed or invested in the US<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE INCOME APPROACH<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">All spending ultimately translates into income.  Thus, national output calculated by the expenditure approach must equal National Income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>National Income (NI)</strong></span> is computed by summing all payments to resources owners-wages, rents, interest, and profits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, due to the limitations of accounting data cause NI to be measured as the sum of five slightly different categories<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wages and Salaries<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The category covers both money wages and fringe benefits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Noncorporate Proprietors&#8217; Income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Proprietors&#8217; incomes are received by sole proprietors, partnerships, certain professional association, and unincorporated farms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, given the limitations of accounting data, proprietors&#8217; income is considered as &#8220;profit,&#8221; only for purpose of GDP accounting<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporate Profits Before Taxes<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporations use their accounting profit in three ways<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporate income tax<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dividends paid to stockholders from after-tax income<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Undistributed corporate profits for remaining profits kept in the firm as working capital or to finance either internal expansion or external acquisitions<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rental Income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Accounting rents are usually derived the leasing of real property and from renting any assets (i.e., videotapes or U-Haul trailers)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Interest<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">NI accounting conventions treat interest paid to holders of government bonds as a transfer payment and exclude it from the interest component of NI<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. RECONCILING GDP AND NI<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two major adjustments required to reconcile GDP and NI<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subtract depreciation from GDP to compute Net Domestic Product (NDP)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gross Private Domestic Investment (GPDI) overstates growth of the nation&#8217;s stock of capital because some capital wears out each year<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Accountants refer to the decline in value of capital because of wear and tear or obsolescence as <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Depreciation</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subtracting depreciation from GDPI yields <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Net Private Domestic Investment</strong></span>, an estimate of annual growth in a nation&#8217;s capital<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Net Domestic Product (NDP)</strong></span> is the net value of an economy&#8217;s annual output after adjusting for depreciation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subtract indirect business taxes from Net Domestic Product to compute NI<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The funds paid for goods and the funds firms receive are not equal due to sales and excise taxes known as <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Indirect Business Taxes</strong></span> collected<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE VALUE-ADDED APPROACH<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">NI is calculated primarily as a double check on GDP figures<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To avoid double counting sales figures, NI accounts use the value-added techniques<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A firm&#8217;s Value Added is computed by subtracting from its sales revenues any purchases of intermediate goods from other firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. MOVING FROM GDP TO DISPOSALBE PERSONAL INCOME<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FROM NI TO PERSONAL INCOME (PI)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Personal Income (PI) is the money income received by households before they pay their personal taxes<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">PI = NI – Corp. profits with inventory adjustments – Corp. contributions for SS – Net interest + Government transfer payments + Personal interest income + Dividends + Business transfer payments<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">NI = GDP – Depreciation – Indirect Business Taxes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FROM PI TO DISPOSALBE PERSONAL INCOME (DPI)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disposable Personal Income (DPI) is income households can choose to consume or save after subtracting income taxes from personal income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">DPI = PI – Person Income Taxes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. LIMITATIONS OF GDP ACCOUNTING<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Limitations that fall into four broad categories<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inaccuracy<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incompleteness<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Misclassification<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ambiguity<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INACCURACY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Underreporting of income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most accounts are reported to the exact dollar<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INCOMPLETENESS: NONMARKET TRANSACTIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Not all productive activity is marketed<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Values of homemakers&#8217; services are not included<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cash or barter transactions not included<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MISCLASSIFICATION<br />
</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AMBIGUIRY: GOVERNMENT OUTPUT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The government seldom directly charges prices for its services to final users, so the value of government output is somewhat ambiguous<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AMBIGUIRY: INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Exchange Rate Approach<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">International exchange rates for currencies often fail to reflect the relative costs of living in different countries<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Exchange Rate</strong></span> is the relative price of one currency in terms of another<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of One Price</strong></span> assumes that transaction costs are zero and concludes that only one price can exist at any given moment for identical items<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Approach<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)</strong></span> approach adjusts exchanges rate conversions for differences in costs of living before comparing GDPs between countries<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GDP AND SOCIAL WELFARE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The GDP accounting system fails to deduct for negative aspects of economic growth, particularly environmental degradation<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Measure of Economic Welfare (MEW)</strong></span> deducts items that do not contribute to economic welfare and adds beneficial items not new counted in GDP<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major items deducted from GDP<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Spending that does not add a better life<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., Commuting costs and national defense<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Losses associated with pollution, urban congestion<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major items added to GDP<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">More inclusive estimates for unmarketed output<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., do-it-yourself projects<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The value of increased leisure<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 9. CLASSICAL MACROECONOMICS AND KEYNESIAN AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical and Keynesian theories are at the core of the major alternative approaches to modern macroeconomics.<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economics <strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Focuses on how automatic adjustments in microeconomic markets ensure macroeconomic stability in the long run, pinpointing increases to Aggregate Supply as the key to resolving problems posed by scarcity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Its conclusions tend to support laissez-faire government policies.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian economic theory<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Suggests that shocks to Aggregate Demand may destabilize an economy for prolonged periods, concluding that simulative government policies are appropriate cures for excessive unemployment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. CLASSICAL THEORY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Classic Economics</strong></span> conclude that, without government interventions, Aggregate Supplies and Aggregate Demands adjust naturally  to offset pressures for long-term unemployment or substantial economic inefficiency<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical macroeconomics predicts that any negative effects of business cycles will be overcome by market forces automatically<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economics suggests that a market economy with flexible prices, wages, and interest rates automatically moves toward full employment and economic health<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SAY&#8217;S LAW<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Say&#8217;s Law</strong></span> asserts that &#8220;Supply creates its own demand.&#8221;<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Say acknowledged the possibility of sporadic gluts of some goods but, reasoning that surpluses in any market must be offset by shortages in others, concluded that economy-wide gluts for most goods cannot occur.  Surpluses or shortages in specific markets are remedied because surpluses drive down prices and production in the long run, while both rise to cure shortages.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Challenge of Underconsumption<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Critics of Say&#8217;s Law point out that people seldom spend all they earn, so saving might result in inadequate Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The classical rebuttal is that, in a pure market economy, all consumer saving is invested by business<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Early classical reasoning asserted that people save only to facilitate higher future consumption<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The rate of saving is positively related to the interest rate<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lower interest rates stimulate more rapid investment<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Saving is positively related to interest rates while investment is negatively related to interest rates<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FLEXIBLE WAGES, PRICES, AND INTEREST RATES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Flexible Interest Rates </strong></span> tend to equalize the amounts of saving and investment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economists went a step farther, arguing that flexible wages and prices ensure full employment even if interest rate adjustments in capital markets fail to do so<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If saving exceeds investment, then Aggregate Supply exceeds Aggregate Demand.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If people are saving more, they are thus consuming less, and this deficiency of demand presses prices down when unwanted inventories accumulate, resulting in layoffs and creating temporary surpluses in labor markets.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As wages and prices fall, the quantities of goods and labor demanded will rise, restoring the economy to full employment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, any excess of Aggregate Demand over Aggregate Supply would cause the thermostat of price adjustments to generate wage hikes and price increases<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economists use intuition and logic to conclude that involuntary unemployment is impossible and joblessness is not a social problem; it is an individual choice<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical Theory and The Price Level<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Say&#8217;s Law, coupled with flexible interest rates, prices, and wages would, according to classical theory, keep workers fully employed.  Essentially, classical reasoning views that Aggregate Supply curves as vertical at full employment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economics depends on Say&#8217;s Law and flexible interest rates, prices, and wages to ensure full employment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical analysis teaches that the price level is directly related to Aggregate Demand, which in turn depends strictly on the money supply.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Thus, classical reasoning supports a stable money supply as the key to price-level stability, precluding significant inflation or deflation.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:72pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE GREAT DEPRESSION: CLASSICAL THEORY AT BAY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical macroeconomics stressed the stability of a market system and had as its central goals<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expansion of Aggregate Supply-our productive capacity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Limiting growth of Aggregate Demand to muzzle inflation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">According to Say&#8217;s Law, supply creates its won demand, so classical theory predicts that rampant unemployment will be rare, and certainly cannot persist<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The paradox for classical theory presented by the Great Depression set the stage for development of a theory to explain involuntary unemployment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Keynesian theory concludes that &#8220;demand creates its own supply.&#8221;<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Keynesian focus yields a mode of depression<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian analysis indicates that high unemployment may plague a market economy in a short-run equilibrium that may persist for so long that the long run becomes almost irrelevant<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">The widespread acceptance of Keynes&#8217;s model in more prosperous times stems from its appealing policy prescriptions to remedy a depression: lower taxes and increased government spending<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. THE KEYNESIAN FOCUS ON AGGREGATE DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynes&#8217;s major concern was ensuring that Aggregate Demand is adequate for full employment of all resources<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynes&#8217;s perception that Aggregate Supply is effectively horizontal in a depression let him focus on Aggregate Expenditures while ignoring changes in the price level<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>KEYNESIAN AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Aggregate Expenditures (AE) or Aggregate Spending</strong></span> is the total value of annual spending on domestic production.  An <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Aggregate Expenditure Curve</strong></span> is the relationship between total spending and national income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Components of Aggregate Spending<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">AE = C + I + G + (X-M)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">C      : Spending for consumer goods<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">I      : Capital investment by private firms<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">G      : Government spending<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">X-M: Net exports<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">X: Export<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">M: Import<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. CONSUMPTION AND SAVING<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The most important factor determining total consumer spending is household&#8217;s current income<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumption and Saving Schedules<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Saving</strong></span> is unconsumed income, or the change in total wealth over some period<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Wealth</strong></span> is the stock of saving accumulated during past saving periods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Dissaving</strong></span> occurs when people spend more on consumption than their income.  It is financed by borrowing, or by spending past savings<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AUTONOMOUS AND INDUCED CONSUMPTION AND SAVING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Autonomous Consumption (C<sub>a</sub>)</strong></span> is consumer spending unrelated to income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">People must consume something to live even if they have zero income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Autonomous consumption accounts for most of consumption behavior only at very low levels of disposable income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Induced Consumption</strong></span> occurs only because people have income to spend<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The bulk of consumption in a prosperous economy is induced<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARGINAL PROPENSITIES TO CONSUME AND SAVE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Propensity to Consume (mpc)</strong></span> is the relative change in consumption induced by a small change in disposable income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>mpc </strong>= Change in planned consumption (∆C) / Change in disposable income (∆Y<sub>d</sub>)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Propensity to Save (mps)</strong></span> is the relative change in saving induced by a small change in disposable income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>mps </strong>= Change in planned saving (∆S) / Change in disposable income (∆Y<sub>d</sub>)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>mps = 1- mpc<br />
</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OTHER DETERMINANTS OF CONSUMPTION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Five other types of variables that largely determine autonomous consumption<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wealth and expectations about future income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Customary standards of living<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Household sizes and age structures<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Household balance sheets and stocks of consumer goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer expectations about the prices and availability of products<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumption spending accounts for about two-thirds of Aggregate Expenditures.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment is relatively the least stable.  According to Keynesian theory, the volatility of investment may be the root cause of most business cycles<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><br />
				</span></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TYPES OF INVE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic investment can be classified into three basic groups<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New construction<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New machinery and equipment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inventory accumulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXPECTED RETURNS FROM INVESTMENTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rate of Return</strong></span> is the annual percentage of earnings from an investment after all opportunity costs or, more analytically, the annual percentage by which assets will grow if the profits from an investment are continually reinvested<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Factors that influence expected returns from investment before delving into some intricacies of the costs of investment<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations About the Business Environment<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Confidence about future demand is necessary before firms make investments to produce more output<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expected changes in government policies may either encourage or squelch investment<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological Innovations<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Stocks of Capital Relative to Total Productions (GDP)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Strong investment incentives emerge when near-peak business activity presses against capital capacity<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, purchases of new capital fall when economic activity slips, idling substantial amounts of capital<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. THE EQUILIBRIUM RATE OF INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DIMINISHING RETURNS TO INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment, like other economic activities, is subject to the law of diminishing returns<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For a given mood among investors, the greater the level of economic investment, the lower the expected rate of return on additional investment.  Typical rates of return are negatively related to the level of investment in part because the most profitable investments are the first undertaken.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COSTS OF INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment decisions depend in part, on costs for new capital<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes and Subsidies<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes on investment income are another cost consideration.<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher corp. income taxes lower the rate of return curve.<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment tax credits or government funding of research and development may boost demands for investment<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Interest Rates<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When interest rates rise, investors&#8217; opportunity costs rise<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Interest rates (<em>i</em>) and rates of return (<em>r</em>) are both expressed as annual percentages<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in interest rates involve movements along rate of return curves, while other types of changes shift these curves<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment occurs as long as the expected rate of return is at least as great as the interest rate<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The expected rate of return schedule rises (shifts to the right) when GDP grows and investors become optimistic or when capital prices decline.<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investor pessimism or higher capital prices shrink expected rates of return and investment.<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Interest rate changes induce movements along a rate of return curve: for a given expected rate of return, higher interest rates discourage investment, but falling interest rates foster investment and economic growth<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The real world volatility of investment is probably attributable to changes both in expectations and in interest rates<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INVESTMENT AND AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment is affected by the level of National Income because the state of the economy significantly shapes investors&#8217; expectation.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Business profits are bolstered by economic growth, which gives corp. greater opportunities to retain earnings for investment purposes<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Autonomous Investment (I<sub>a</sub>)</strong></span> is investment that is assumed independent of income in simple Keynesian models<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Optimism joined with low interest rates creates high levels of autonomous investment<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pessimism or high interest rates cause autonomous investment to be very low.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Keynesians believe that during severe economic downturns pessimism may so overwhelm even very low interest rates that investment will be trivial<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. GOVERNMENT PURCHASES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Autonomous Government Purchases (G<sub>a</sub>)</strong></span> are government purchases of goods and resources assumed to be independent of income in simple Keynesian models<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>7. THE FOREIGN SECTOR<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Keynesian convention is to look only at the net effect of the foreign sector on Aggregate Expenditures, so AE = C + I + G + (X – M)<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The net effect of international trade on US Aggregate Expenditure is relatively small<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Autonomous Net Export (X<sub>a</sub> – M<sub>a</sub>)</strong></span> are the difference between exports and imports that are treated as independent of income in simple Keynesian models<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">International trade augments both the purchasing power of National Income and the value of US domestic output through<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specialization according to comparative advantage<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dissemination of new technology<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competition to<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Improve quality<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reduce prices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cut production costs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Provision of certain goods that otherwise might not be available<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>8. AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Keynesian convention is to look only at the net effect of the foreign sector on Aggregate Expenditures, so AE = C + I + G + (X – M) = C<sub>a</sub> + (mpc x Y) +I<sub>a</sub> + G<sub>a</sub> + (X<sub>a</sub> – M<sub>a</sub>P)<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">mpc x Y = Induced Spending<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Y = Income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most modern economists now recognize that<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The overall health of any economy depends on both Aggregate Supplier (the classical perspective) and Aggregate Demand (the Keynesian emphasis)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Macroeconomic adjustments entail both changes in wages and price (classical) and quantity adjustments (Keynesian) whereby output and employment vary<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumption and saving are influenced by both interest rates (classical) and income (Keynesian)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The structure of incentives embedded in relative wages and prices affects macroeconomic performance (classical theory and modern Keynesian structural macroeconomics)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 10. MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES AND EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Employment rises if National Income grows<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Expenditures and National Output interact to yield a macroequilibrium<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>NATIONAL OUTPUT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consider the National Output schedule as reflecting a Keynesian Aggregate Supply curve because firms willingly produce whatever is demanded<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">&#8220;Demand creates its own supply&#8221; in Keynesian analysis <strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AGGREGATE EXPEDITURES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Basic Keynesian models of closed, private economies simplify analysis by ignoring government and the foreign sector, so Aggregate Expenditures is the sum of only planned consumptions and planned investment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>KEYNESIAN EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Keynesian Equilibrium</strong></span> is achieved when Aggregate Output and Income precisely equals planned Aggregate Expenditures<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Disequilibrium</span><br />
						</strong>occurs whenever plans for Aggregate Expenditures differ from Aggregate Output and Income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">What happens if National Output exceeds planned AE?<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inventories of unsold goods increase<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cutting back production and employee layoffs by firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Output drops<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">What happens if planned AE exceeds National Output?<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inventories of goods reduce<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expanding employment and output by firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Income increases<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRICE VS. QUALITY ADJUSTMENTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price rises in individual markets if quantity demanded exceeds quantity supplied; if quantity supplied exceeds quantity demanded, price falls<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Why price adjustments are absent in Keynesian depression models? <strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"> The reason is that Keynesians assume that quantity adjustments predominate in situations of excess capacity and high unemployment; the Aggregate Supply curve is treated as horizontal<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The classical Aggregate Supply curve is vertical, and the classical model relies on price-level adjustments to buffer against shocks to Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. A KEYNESIAN SAVING = INVESTMENT EQUILIBIRUM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Actual and planned saving and investment are all equals (S = I) in a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Macroequilibrium</strong></span> in a private economy without government or foreign trade<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Households&#8217; saving plans and firms&#8217; investment plans must both be realized for equilibrium to occur, regardless of whether the model used to Keynesian or classical<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PLANNED SAVING AND INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Withdrawals</strong></span> occur when income is not spent on domestic output<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In addition to saving, withdrawals include taxes and imports<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Autonomous spending (regardless of source) represents an <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Injection</strong></span> into the Keynesian spending stream.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"> Excess saving causes unwanted inventories to pile up; output exceeds sales because withdrawals create excess supplies of most goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BALANCING PLANNED AND ACTUAL SAVING AND INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When households&#8217; plans to save and firms&#8217; plans to invest are both realized, sales precisely sustain equilibrium output with no net pressure for growth or stagnation<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. THE MULTIPLIER EFFECT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Multiplier Effect</strong></span> occurs when one person&#8217;s spending becomes someone else&#8217;s income, and some of the second person&#8217;s income is subsequently spent, becoming the income of a third person, and so on.<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Autonomous Spending Multiplier</strong></span> is the total change in income generated, divided by the change in autonomous spending that triggered the spending -&gt; income -&gt; spending sequence<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When investment is the source of new autonomous spending, this autonomous spending multiplier equals the ratio ∆Y / ∆I = 1 / mps = 1 / (1 – mpc) <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The multiplier is the reciprocal of the mps<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real-World Multipliers<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The historical mps is about 7%, suggesting a multiplier of between 14 and 15<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The linkages between spending rounds are much looser in the real world than in this model<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The full multiplier effect is felt only after all spending rounds have been completed<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Realistically, only the first few rounds of spending occur in the same year as any new injection<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Statistical estimates of the value of the autonomous spending multiplier place its maximum real value at around 2, even during the Great Depression<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PARADOX OF THRIFT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian theory suggests that attempts to save more may cause income to fall so much that actual saving shrinks, a problem known as the <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Paradox of Thrift</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The paradox of thrift suggests that increased desired to save may shrink actual saving and investment, with income and consumption also falling, leaving people with lower standards of living<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE INVESTMENT ACCELERATOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Investment Accelerator</strong></span> exerts pressure for accelerated income growth when rising consumption and income stimulate new capital investment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggregate Expenditure is both multiplied by induced consumption and accelerated by induced investment.  Thus, a change in autonomous spending may increase income by even more than the multiplier effect along<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. EQUILIBRIUM BELOW POTENTIAL GDP<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>POTENTIAL GDP<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Potential GDP (Full-Employment GDP)</strong></span> is an estimate of what the economy could produce at high rates of utilization of our available resources, especially full employment of labor<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Potential GDP is not an absolute limit on productive capacity in the same way a production possibilities frontier is<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For example, potential GDP might be exceeded through slavery, or if people who would normally choose not to work took temporary jobs to support a national defense effort.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ideally, potential GDP reflects only activities that are informed and voluntary<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE GDP GAP<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>GDP Gap</strong></span> is the difference between potential and actual GDP<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE RECESSIONARY GAP<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Recessionary Gap</strong></span> measures the amount by which autonomous spending falls short of that needed to bring equilibrium income to full employment<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The recessionary gap is defined by any shortfall in autonomous spending, not by the amount  by which equilibrium income falls short of full-employment income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">GDP Gap = Recessionary Gap x Multiplier<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any shortfall in equilibrium income is a GDP gap and equals the recessionary gap times the autonomous spending multiplier<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE INFLATIONARY GAP<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Inflationary Gap</strong></span> is the amount by which autonomous spending exceeds that needed to achieve full-employment equilibrium<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. AGGREGATE DEMAND AND AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Positive relationships between Aggregate Expenditure curve (AE) and Aggregate Demand curve (AD)<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRICE LEVELS AND AGGREGATE EXPEDITURES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the price level changes, the amount of domestic output demanded changes, but the Aggregate Demand curve itself does not shift<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">How do changes in the price level affect Keynesian Aggregate Expenditure curves?<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price Levels and Autonomous Spending<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Deriving Aggregate Demand from Aggregate Expenditure Curves<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHIFTS IN AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in the price level will shift the Aggregate Expenditure curve, but spending can change for other reasons, including changes in consumer confidence or in the business climate<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the price level is stable, changes in autonomous spending shift the Aggregate Demand curve horizontally by the amount of autonomous spending times the multiplier<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRICE LEVELS AND AGGREGATE EXPEDITURES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the price level changes, the amount of domestic output demanded changes, but the Aggregate Demand curve itself does not shift<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 11. FISCAL POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians traditionally viewed fiscal policy as a tool to fine-tune Aggregate Expenditures and protect people from turbulent swings in their well-being<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fiscal Policy</strong></span> entails the use of government spending and tax policies to stimulate or contract macroeconomic activity<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">One offshoot of new classical macroeconomics, <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Supply-Side Economics</span><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply-siders argued that high tax rates discourage productive effort so much that reducing tax rates would increase Aggregate Supply, National Income, and tax revenue<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. FISCAL POLICY: THE DEMAND SIDE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The federal government operates a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Balanced Budget</strong></span> when its tax revenues equal its outlays of funds, a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Budget Deficit</strong></span> when its outlays exceed revenues, and a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Budget Surplus</strong></span> if tax revenues exceed outlays<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in taxes and government outlays fall into two categories: discretionary and automatic<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Discretionary Fiscal Policy</strong></span> involves deliberate legislative changes in government outlays or taxes to adjust Aggregate Demand and stabilize the economy<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DISCRETIONARY SPENDING AND EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The effect of government purchases can be described in a manner parallel to the planned saving = planned investment approach<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Saving and taxes are both withdrawals, while investment and government purchases are both injection.  Planned injections must equal planned withdrawal at equilibrium<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TAXES AND EQUILIBRIUM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Autonomous Tax Multiplier</strong></span> ins the proportional change in income causes by a given change in autonomous taxes and is written as ∆Y / ∆T<sub>a</sub><strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes, like saving, are withdrawals that pull down spending and income.  Thus, the autonomous tax multiplier is a negative number<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer decisions about spending depend on disposable income (Y<sub>d</sub>) instead of Aggregate Income (Y) because households along ultimately bear all tax burdens<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Tax Multiplier<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">One minus the autonomous spending multiplier equals the tax multiplier<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">1 – (1 / mps) = ∆Y / ∆T<sub>a</sub><strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The tax hike may be viewed by taxpayers as a cut in disposable income National Income is not affected initially.  Only after the drop in disposable income lowers consumer spending would output be reduced if all else were constant.  Thus, government purchases affect Aggregate Expenditure but new taxes do not<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Balanced-Budget Multiplier<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Balanced-Budget Multiplier indicates that identical increases in autonomous spending and in autonomous taxes will yield an identical increase in equilibrium income, so it always equals 1<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equal increases (or decreases) in government spending and taxes will raise (or lower) equilibrium National Income by an identical amount<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians traditionally prescribe to cure specific economic ills<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Inflationary pressures can be relieved through tax hikes, cuts in government outlays, or a mix of both<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax increases or cuts in government spending drive federal budgets toward surplus or reduce deficits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">If excessive unemployment is the major problem, then tax cuts or increased government outlays temporarily move the budget into a deficit (or reduce a surplus) and expand output, employment, and income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. AUTOMATIC STABILIZERS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Keynesians view budget deficits as the right medicine to cure a recession and surpluses as remedies for inflation.<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most politicians enjoy granting the tax cuts and new spending projects Keynesians prescribe for  recession<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, raising taxes and slashing budgets to fight inflation are poison for incumbents when reelection time rolls around<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New laws to create surpluses during business expansions that might erupt into inflation are not always necessary<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Certain features of our tax system and some government spending programs automatically push budgets toward surpluses during booms of the business cycle and into deficit during cyclical downturns.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Automatic Stabilizers</strong></span> are tax structures and government spending programs that cause budget deficits to grow automatically during recessions or surpluses to grow when expansion is rapid<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Automatic stabilizers are sometimes called nondiscretionary fiscal policy because no overt government action is required<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AUTOMATIC TAX ADJUSTMENTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Personal and corporate income tax revenues are both closely tied to income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">When prosperity boots National Income, federal revenues from progressive corporate and personal income taxes rise more than proportionally.<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporate profits is the most sensitive of all incomes to swings in economic activity<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A 10% decline in National Income might totally wipe out corporate profit, while 10% growth may cause aggregate profit to double or even triple<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax revenue from corporate income is highly cyclical<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Progressive personal income tax rates are the main reason why tax collections rise or fall proportionally faster than income.<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This process acts as an automatic stabilizer during inflationary episodes because as income rises, tax collections rise even faster, accelerating withdrawals from the economy and dampening inflationary growth of nominal income<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AUTOMATIC CHANGES IN GOVERNMENT OUTLAYS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transfer, unemployment, and social security payments rise during recession, thus, helping stabilize consumption, and ultimately Aggregate Expenditure<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Although inadequate to completely offset strong pressures for a recession, automatic stabilizers do slow abrupt changes in the economy, giving policymakers more time to formulate discretionary policy<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fiscal Drag</strong></span> may hinder the natural growth of GDP because rising income boosts tax revenue and may shrink outlays for transfer programs<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When potential income is growing rapidly, our built-in stabilizers may retard actual economic growth, a problem Keynesians refer to as fiscal drag<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. CYCLICAL VS. STRUCTURAL DEFICITS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Imbalance in the federal budget may be more a symptom of economic distress than a result of discretionary policy<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
					</strong></span></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Federal deficits or surpluses are affected by the level of GDP as well as by discretionary fiscal policy, so that appropriateness of fiscal policy is not obvious solely form the evidence of actual deficits or surpluses<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
						</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Structural Deficit</strong></span> (or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Surplus</strong></span>) is an estimate of the budget deficit (or surplus) that tax and spending structures would yield if the economy achieved its potential<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
								</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">During a recession, estimating the structural deficit entails adding to the actual deficit extra tax revenues that would be collected if full employment were achieved and deducting the outlays on unemployment benefits and other transfer payments caused by cyclical unemployment<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Cyclical Deficit</strong></span> occurs when falling income during a recession shrinks tax revenues while increasing transfer payments,  Prosperity, on the other hand, could yield a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Cyclical Surplus<br />
</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transfer payment can be treated as negative taxes which decline in importance as National Income rises<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An excessive structural surplus can create a cyclical deficit<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
					</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The actual deficit is determined by the fiscal mix of the federal budget and the state of the economy.  Expansionary fiscal policy creates structural deficits, and recession triggers cyclical deficits<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
					</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND FISCAL POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical theory tends to support policies that are relatively laissez-faire<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
						</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">High tax rates are alleged to<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
								</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inspire widespread tax evasion and tax avoidance<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Intensify lobbying for tax loopholes<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Smother productivity<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DOES TAXATION HAVE A NATURAL LIMIT?<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Laffer Curve</strong></span>: Very low tax rates might be raised to yield higher tax revenue, but raising tax rates excessively eventually drives tax revenues down when taxpayers decide either<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">That the extra effort necessary to generate extra taxable income is not worth it or<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">That cheating the tax system is okay<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Tax Rates</strong></span> are the percentage taxes on small amounts of extra income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TAX REVENUE AND PROGRESSIVE MARGINAL TAX RATES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Many economists in the classical camp argue that sharply progressive tax rates<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cannot accomplish the goal of flattening the distribution of income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Diminish and distort productive activity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Progressive Tax</strong></span> is one for which higher marginal tax rates fall on higher incomes<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">More evidence that increased progressivity may be counterproductive<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Critics of progressivity echo Schumpeter&#8217;s law, which suggests that people ultimately find ways to beat any tax system intended to collect more than about 27% of their income<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOVERNMENT PURCHAES AND TRANSFERS: NEW CLASSICAL VIEW<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians view government purchases as direct source of Aggregate Expenditures and transfer payments as quickly translated by recipients into new consumer spending.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians have traditionally focused on cures for short-run problems and stressed activist fiscal policy as a tool to adjust Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, advocates of the new classical economics sense that this focus on demand is shortsighted and worry about the incentive effects of government programs because<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">There is less incentive to sacrifice our time by working and less net gain from investing if the government guarantees us a reasonably comfortable life by providing many necessities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transfer programs are viewed as problems for two reasons<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incentives to work and invest are reduced for those who work and invest and who then pay taxes that government channels to others<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Those who received transfer payments also suffer disincentives against work or saving<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">New classical economics would redirect fiscal policymakers to<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Set nonintrusive economic policies that permit markets to make long-run adjustments<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Limit tax rates and government outlays because of disincentives that dampen Aggregate Supply.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 12. MONEY AND BANKING<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. BARTER: EXCHANGE WITHOUT MONEY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Barter</strong></span> occurs when people directly exchange their goods for someone else&#8217;s goods<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Barter systems fail to generate efficient amounts of information about potentially beneficial agreements<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transactions are infrequent because information is extremely costly<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Your <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Wealth</strong></span> is the difference between the value of your assets and the value of your liabilities<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. FUNCTIONS OF MONEY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money is<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
						</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A medium of exchange<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A measure of value or unit of account<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A store of value<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A standard of deferred payment<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MEDIUM OF EXCHANGE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money performs as a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Medium of Exchange </strong></span>when it is used to execute transactions<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MEASURE OF VALUE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money serves as a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Measure of Value </strong></span>or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Standard Unit of Account</strong></span> when used as a common denominator to rank the relative prices of goods<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Use of money as a standard unit of account reduces the information needed to make sound market decisions<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STORE OF VALUE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money performs as a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Store of Value </strong></span> when people hold it as an asset because it is relatively less risky or because they view the transaction costs of conversion into other assets as too high<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STANDARD OF DEFERRED PAYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money performs as a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Standard of Deferred Payment</strong></span> by allowing intertemporal contracts<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LIQUIDITY AND MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Liquidity</strong></span> is negatively related to the transaction costs incurred in the purchase or sale of an asset<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Time required to sell, certainly about price, and the quality of information are crucial aspects of asset liquidity, which hinges on transaction costs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One way to rank an asset&#8217;s liquidity is to estimate the percentage you would lose if you had to sell it immediately<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. TYPES OF MONEY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money can be classified as either commodity money or fiat money<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
						</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Commodity Money</strong></span> is valuable apart from what it will buy (i.e., gold)<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fiat Money</strong></span> has value only because of its use as money (i.e., $100 bill)<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COMMODITY MONIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Characteristics necessary for use of any commodity as money over a long period are<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Acceptability<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Durability<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Divisibility<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Homogeneity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Portability<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relative stability of supply<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Optimal scarcity<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Optimal Scarcity</strong></span> means that nay commodity used as money cannot be too common, nor can be counterfeited easily.<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The profit government makes when it coins or prints currencies whose face values exceed their commodity values is know as <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Seigniorage</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FIAT MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Paper money and coins are collectively called <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Currency</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fiat can be interpreted as &#8220;because we command.&#8221;<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major advantages of fiat money are<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Its supply can be controlled fairly precisely by government<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It is much less costly to produce than commodity money, making its use relatively efficient<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If monetary policymakers do a good job, fiat money has all the qualities required of a good commodity money<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major disadvantage of fiat money is that if irresponsible monetary policymakers run the printing presses too fast, they wreak havoc on the financial system and the economy in general<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. THE SUPPLY OF MONEY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>NARROWLY DEFINED MONEY (M1)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>M1</strong></span> = Currency + Demand deposits in financial institutions<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Demand Deposits</strong></span> are funds in checking accounts in commercial bank, savings and loans, or credit unions<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Currency is the most easily identified component of the money supply because it may be used<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For virtually all transactions<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To price goods and services<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As an asset<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>NEAR-MONEY (M2, M3, and L)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The economists who use broader definitions of the money supply than M1 believe that people&#8217;s spending levels are more predictably by monetary data if we include the liquid assets that are highly interchangeable with currency and demand deposits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>M2</strong></span> = M1 + Small time deposits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>M3</strong></span> = M2 + Institutional money market mutual funds + large time deposits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>L</strong></span> = M3 + Liquid such asset as short-term government bonds and commercial paper<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. BANKS AND THE CREATION OF MONEY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">US currency is printed by the Federal Reserve Systems (bills) and minted by the Treasury (coins)<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand deposits (checking accounts) are the largest component of our money supply<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Currency is little more than convenience money, less than 30% of Mi<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ORIGIN OF FRACTIONAL RESERVE BANKING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Beginning of checking accounts-the receipts issued by the goldsmiths were primitive demand deposits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The goldsmiths began lending some of the gold on deposit to borrowers who would pay interests<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Just like depositors, most borrowers preferred receipts to the actual gold<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DEMAND DEPOSIT EXPANSION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bankers keep <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Reserves</strong></span> on hand to meet withdrawals by depositors (or legal requirement)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reserves equal 20% of deposits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fractional Reserve Banking</strong></span> legally permits financial institutions to hold less than 100% of their deposits as currency in their vaults<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE POTENTIAL MONEY MULTIPLIER (m<sub>p</sub>)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Potential Money Multiplier</strong></span> (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>m<sub>p</sub> = 1 / rr</strong></span>) indicates the total demand deposits that can be generated from a new deposit of $1 in a banking system that is &#8220;fully loaned up,&#8221; if people keep all their currency in the bank (no one keeps any cash on hand)    <strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">rr = The reserve ratio or percentage of demand deposit (DD) held as reserves<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">potential money multiplier is 5<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ACTUAL MONEY MULTIPLIER (m<sub>a</sub>)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Actual Money Multiplier</strong></span> (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>ma</strong></span>) expresses the relationship between the money supply and currency in circulation or in bank vaults<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>m<sub>a</sub> = MS / MB<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">MS = The money supply<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">MB = The currency that legally can serve as reserves in banks<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"> = Known as the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Monetary Base</strong></span> or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>High-Powered Money</strong></span> which is the base on which the money multiplier operates in the money creation process<br />
</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Monetary Base</strong></span> equals currency in the hand of the nonbanking public plus all bank reserves<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The actual money multiplier (m<sub>a</sub>) could be as high as 1 / (rr + xr)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">xr = Excess reserves<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, people keep some money as cash, and firms hold some currency<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The historical average real money multiplier is at 2.6<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE MONEY DESTRUCTION PROCESS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Banks lend to, and borrow from each other through private banking network called the Federal Funds Market<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">These interbank lending mechanisms normally enable banks that have inadequate reserves to replenish their reserves and honor all their demand deposit liabilities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The &#8220;runs&#8221; on banks and financial panics that resulted finally caused the Congress to establish a &#8220;banker&#8217;s bank&#8221; Federal Reserve System<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major types of financial institutions include credit unions and savings and loan associations<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Important economic roles performed by financial institutions include<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Channeling funds from savers to investors<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Providing secure places for savers to keep their deposits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Facilitating flows and payments of funds<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Channeling savings to investors is the single most important macroeconomic function of our financial system<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Financial Intermediation</strong></span> occurs when financial institutions make the savings of households whose incomes exceed their spending available to investors, or to other households that wish to spend more on consumer goods than their incomes allow<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE DIVERSITY OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Commercial Banks<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Commercial banks provide more services to their depositors than simple maintenance of checking and savings accounts<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thrift Institutions<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Saving and loan association, mutual savings banks, and credit unions are called <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Thrift Institutions</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major difference between thrift institutions and commercial banks used to be that commercial banks offered checking accounts while thrift institutions could not<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most of the loans made by savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks are used to finance housing<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Insurance Companies<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Risk Aversion</strong></span> occurs when people are willing to pay a premium to avoid risk<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Insurance Companies</strong></span> can sell us a guarantee against risk for a fee that is large enough to cover their claims and operating costs and still permit a profit<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Securities Markets<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Brokers who buy and sell financial securities also provide financial intermediation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Securities</strong></span> include paper assets such as stock and bond<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Bond</strong></span> is simply an IOU issued by a corporation or government agency that pays interest to the lender<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Share of Stock</strong></span> is a claim to partial ownership of a corporation<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:72pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 13. CENTRAL BANKING: THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Central Bank</strong></span> of a country<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Controls the volumes of money in circulations<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Performs the government&#8217;s banking functions<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulates banks and other financial institutions<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Serves as a &#8220;banker&#8217;s bank&#8221;-holding deposits from commercial banks and making loans to them as needed<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THE PURPOSES OF FINANCIAL REGULATIONS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major goals for a central bank include<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Protection of depositors&#8217; savings<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Macroeconomic stability<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Promotion of efficiency<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEMS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed&#8217;s objectives are<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To act as a &#8220;lender of last resort&#8221;<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This means the Fed lends money to inherently sound banks so they can survive bank runs when financial panics drive armies of depositors to demand withdrawals<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fed processes checks drawn on one bank and deposited elsewhere<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed&#8217;s key role is to conduct monetary policy<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fed&#8217;s Board of Governors<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">There are seven members<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Appointed to staggered 14-year terms because Congress feared the central bank might become highly politicized<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Each president and Congress has limited power over the Fed because they appoint only one new member of the Board of Governors every other year<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FEDERAL RESERVE BANK DISTRICTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">There are 12 regional districts of the Federal Reserve Systems<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Each district has a primary bank and one or more branch offices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Member Banks<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>National Banks</strong></span> must be member of the Federal Reserve System<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>State Banks</strong></span> (chartered by individual states) may, upon approval, qualify as member banks<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Feb sets legal reserve requirements, so it has considerable direct power over most of our financial system<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ORGANIZATION OF THE FED<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">There are nine directors of each District Bank<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Feb member banks elect six of them<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The other three are appointed by the Board of Governors<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Board of Directors of District Banks elect District Bank Presidents<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real policymaking power is exercised by the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Federal Open Market Committee</strong></span> (FOMC)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">There are 12 members<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All seven members of the Board of Governors plus the president of the New York District Banks<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Four other District Bank presidents rotate on the committee<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. TOOLS OF THE FED<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Federal Reserve System&#8217;s major tools to control the money supply and broad financial conditions are<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reserve requirements<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Open-market operations<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Discounting operations<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Secondary tools of the Fed include controls over stock market credit and moral suasion (&#8220;jawboning&#8221;)<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RESERVE REQUIREMENTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Federal Reserve System sets the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Reserve-Requirement Ration (rr),</strong></span> a legal floor on the percentage of a bank&#8217;s deposits that must be held in reserve<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Bank Reserve</strong></span> = Required Reserve (rr x DD) + Excess reserves (XR)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">rr = Reserve-requirement ratio<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">DD = Demand deposits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fed&#8217;s reserve requirements are <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Bank Reserve</strong></span>, which include both excess reserve and required reserve<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Banks lend and borrow money from each other daily through the privately operated <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Federal Funds Market</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Electronic Banking and Real Money<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Banks deposit most of their reserve with Federal Reserve Branch of District Banks rather than carrying tens of millions of dollars in cash<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Even these Fed banks do not hold may deposits in the form of cash<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed does the same thing with reserves banks keep on deposit at Branch or District Banks-it is all in the computer<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Roughly two-thirds of the nation&#8217;s money supply now exists only in computer<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reserve Requirements and the Money Multiplier<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">One way the Fed adjusts the money supply is by changing the reserve-requirement ratio (rr)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the Fed increase the reserve-requirement ratio, then the potential money multiplier, 1/rr falls<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A decrease in the reserve-requirement ratio enables banks to increase the money supply through expansion of demand-deposit based loans<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, most banks try to hold rough the same percentage of excess reserves against demand deposits no matter what happens to the reserve-requirement ratio because fluctuations of bank deposits depend on people&#8217;s behavior, not on the Fed&#8217;s reserve requirements<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amount of excess reserves held by banks are negatively related to the expected profitability of lending any excess reserves, but positively related to the expected costs of acquiring reserves should borrowing be necessary to meet the Fed&#8217;s reserve requirements<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The percentage of deposit held as excess reserve will be negatively related to the difference between the interest rates banks can charge borrowers and the interest rates banks themselves must pay to borrow reserves from other banks or the Fed<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Curiously, this powerful tool is seldom used<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A second tool of the Fed, open-market operation, is the best tool available for the day-to-day conduct of monetary policy.<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It permits more subtle changes in the money supply<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS (OMO)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed&#8217;s most important tool, open-market operations, links monetary policy with the bonds issued by the US Treasury to finance federal budget deficits<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Open-Market Operations (OMO)</strong></span> entail buying and selling US Treasury securities and are used to increase or decrease the size of the monetary base (MB)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">MB = Currency + Bank reserves<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The foundation of our money supply because the money creation process builds from reserves in the banking system<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To increase the money supply by expanding the monetary base, the FOMC&#8217;s &#8220;open-market desk&#8221; buys Treasury bonds, primarily from banks, but also from private individuals or nonblank firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The FOMC sells bonds to reduce the monetary base<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regardless of with whom the Fed deals, the effects on total bank reserves and the money supply are similar<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Funds the Feb pays to nonblank sellers are invariably deposited in banks so they end up as bank reserves.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Similarly, private buyers of bonds withdrawal funds from banks to pay for their purchases.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Where the Fed gets the money to buy the bonds?<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed can prince new currency or<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It can simply credit the reserve accounts of the private banks via computer at one of the Federal Reserves District Banks<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Open-market operation ultimately affect the money supply only through changes in the amounts of reserves in the banking system, not through changes in the money multiplier<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, the Fed&#8217;s discounting operations affect both the size of the monetary base (MB) and the value of the actual money multiplier (m<sub>a</sub>)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed buys and sells bonds daily.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the Fed buys more bond than it sells, total bank reserves are increased and the money creation process leads to monetary growth<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the Fed sells more bonds than it buys, reserves are reduced and the money destruction process causes the money supply to shrink<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DISCOUTNING OPERATIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The interest rate the Fed charges bankers is called the <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Discount Rate (d)</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Whether banks will have deficient reserves depends strongly on the discount rates<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Whenever the discount rate (d) is substantially less than market rates (i), the monetary base grows; the Fed extends credit (reserves) to banks<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">All else being equal<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the discount rate is raised, banks borrow less, reducing total reserves or limiting their increase.  Banks also lend less, so excess reserves in individual banks grow while the actual money multiplier and money supply decline<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the Fed decrease the discount rate, banks borrow more from the Fed and cut holdings of excess reserves; this increases the actual money multiplier and money supply<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE FED&#8217;S SECONDAR TOOLS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Other devices in the Fed&#8217;s toolbox help it control financial markets and economic activity<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed sets margin requirements to control stock market credit<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed uses moral suasion (it &#8220;jawbones&#8221;), which means it rages at people or institutions who do things it does not like<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Margin Requirements<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed sets the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Margin Requirement</strong></span> (the percentage down payment required) for purchases of corporation financial securities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Presumably, higher margin requirements squelch speculation, and lower margin requirement stimulate speculation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, overspeculation in stocks because of low margin requirements is eliminated automatically because<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If low margin requirements prompt speculation that boosts stock prices slightly, the expected return per dollar invested in stocks decline<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Also, if the higher returns from the equally risky investment (i.e., real estate) than stock despite of higher speculation of stock due to low margin requirement is expected, then the stock market would fall since investors would invest in real estate until the returns were equalized<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Moral Suasion<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Moral Suasion</strong></span> is oratory or the threat of tighter regulation used when policymakers want people or institutions to act against their individual interests (or to see their interests in a different light)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed&#8217;s moral suasion may have some effect because it is backed up by the power to audit and otherwise harass banks.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A major problem is that moral suasion is less predictable than virtually any other tools <strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>WHICH TOOLS ARE USED?<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Open-market operations are the best tool to control the money supply by directly altering the reserves in the banking system.  In the long run, open-market operations do not affect the money multiplier<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN TRANSITION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Banking is increasingly concentrated in the hands of bigger banks<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pressure for financial reform continues, largely because of growth in international competition<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Internationalization of financial markets is preceding at even faster clip<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:108pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
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 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 14. MONETARY THEORY AND POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THE DEMAND FOR MONEY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money is identical to neither income nor wealth, although it is related to both<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Three basic motives for holding money<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transactions Demands<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Transactions Demand for Money</strong></span> arises because people anticipate spending it<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Precautionary Demands<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Precautionary Demand for Money </strong></span>arises because people know that unanticipated spending is required at times<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Asset Demands<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Asset Demand for Money</strong></span> arises because people sometimes want to hold part of their wealth in the form of money<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians argue that a desire to hold some wealth in the form of money originates from<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Speculative Balances<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">People hold <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Speculative Money Balances</strong></span> if they expect the prices of alternative assets to fall in the near future<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expectations that the prices of stocks of bonds will fall in the near future<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Present Value (Price) of Bond = Annual Payment / Yield Rate<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Risk Avoidance<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">People invest only if the assets they buy with money are expected to yield returns that compensate them for their reduced liquidity and the increased risk of loss<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Costs of Illiquidity<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Money is the most liquid of all assets<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If people have so little wealth that the costs of investing overshadow any potential gains, people will hold money instead of investing<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE COSTS OF HOLDING MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Classical View<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amount of consumption people sacrifice by holding a dollar falls as the cost of living rises<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New classical theory posits a negative relationship between expected inflation and the demand for money<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Keynesian View<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians perceive the interest rate as the cost of holding money<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. CLASSICAL MONETARY THEORY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Quantity Theories of Money</strong></span> identify the money supply as the primary determinant of nominal spending and, ultimately, the price level<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE EQUATION OF EXCHANGE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The average number of times a unit of money is used-change of hands-annually is called the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Income Velocity (V)</strong></span> of money<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Velocity is computed by dividing GDP by the money supply<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">V = PQ / M<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Equation of Exchange</strong></span> is written as <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">M x V = P x Q</span><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This equation suggest that the velocity of money is just as important as the quantity of money in circulations<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Arough Corollary</strong></span> is that the percentage change in the money supply plus the percentage change in velocity equals the percentage change in the price level plus the percentage change in real output<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>∆M / M + ∆V / V = ∆P / P + ∆Q / Q<br />
</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE CRUDE QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">From certain assumptions about the variables in the equation of exchange, classical economists concluded that, in equilibrium, the price level (P) is exactly proportional to the money supply (M) and following is how they arrived at this conclusion<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Constancy of Velocity<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Velocity is thought to be constant, at least in the short run, because changes tend to occur slowly<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In financial technologies<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the inflows and outflows of individuals&#8217; money<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">∆V / V = 0</span><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, that assuming constant velocity would be unrealistic for international monetary data in recent years.  Nor would this assumption fit US data for different measures of the money supply<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Constancy of Real Output<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical theory also assumes that real output (Q) does not depend on the other variables (M, V, and P) in the equation of exchange<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A crude Monetary Theory of the Price Level<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If velocity is constant and output is stable at a full employment in the short run then, <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>∆V / V = ∆Q / Q = 0<br />
</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In equilibrium, the rate of inflation exactly the percentage growth rate of the money supply; <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>∆M / M = ∆P / P<br />
</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any acceleration of monetary growth would not affect real output, just inflation<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
											</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE CLASSICAL VIEW OF INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economists assume relatively stable and predictable economies, so they focus on the cost of acquiring investment goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equilibrium investment occurs when the expected rate of return on investment equals the interest rate<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical theorist view investment as very sensitive to the interest rate and believe that large swing in investment follow minute changes in interest rates<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE CLASSICAL MONETARY TRANSMISSION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical monetary economists view linkages between the money supply and National Income as not only strong, but direct<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Summary: The Crude Quantity Theory<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major result of the crude classical quantity theory of money is that any changes in the money supply will be reflected in proportional changes in the price level<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Another conclusion is that real output (or any other &#8220;real&#8221; economic behavior) is unaffected in the long run by either the money supply of the price level<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. KEYNESIAN MONETARY THEORY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The brunt of Keynes&#8217;s attack on the classical quantity theory of money was aimed at its conclusions that<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Velocity is constant and<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Full employment is the natural state of a market economy<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynes emphasized financial investments (stocks or bonds) as the major way to reduce one&#8217;s money holdings<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ASSET DEMAND FOR MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One major difference between the classical model and Keynes&#8217; model is that classical economists view the world as a reasonably certain place, while Keynesian reasoning emphasizes uncertainty and describes how our expectations about uncertain futures might affect the economy.  <span style="text-decoration:underline;">Rising uncertainty is a major reason for growth of the asset demand for money<strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the economy nosedives, velocity falls as saving increases<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, money balances are increasingly held for transactions purposes when prosperity seems just around the corner and this causes velocity to rise.<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
							</strong></span></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Liquidity Trap<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
								</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economists viewed the interest rate as an incentive for saving: you are rewarded for postponing consumption<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynes&#8217;s rebuttal was that interest is a reward for sacrificing liquidity<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
									</strong></span></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Liquidity Trap</strong></span> occurs if people will absorb any extra money into idle balances because they are extremely pessimistic or risk averse, view transaction costs as prohibitive, or expect the price of nonmonetary assets to fall in the near future<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
										</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">It implies that if the money supply grew, any extra money you received would not be spend, but hoarded, that is, absorbed into idle cash balances<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Monetary growth would increase Aggregate Spending very little if at all<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Severe depressions may cause near-liquidity traps because<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
												</strong></span></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Banks pile up huge excess reserves when nominal interest rate are very low because the returns from lending are small<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
													</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bankers fear that all loans are very risky, even hose that normally would pose no problem of repayment<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
													</strong></span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Private individuals hoard their own funds, fearing that bank failures are probable and that neither their job prospects nor investment opportunities are very bright<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong><br />
													</strong></span></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE KEYNESIAN VIEW OF INVESTMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian analysis takes the position that the interest rate is only one aspect of investment planning and is not the overwhelming influence posited by classical economists<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">This perspective emphasizes changes in investors&#8217; expectations as far more important in explaining changes in investment<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians argue that investment is not very responsive to small changes in interest rates but investment demand responds strongly to changing expectations<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Both Keynesian and classical economists agree that equilibrium investment to equal the rate of interest<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, Keynesians attribute cyclical swings of investment to changes in investors&#8217; expectations of future returns<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">They believe that investment is less influenced by changes in interest rates than it is by the unpredictable expectations of investors<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>KEYNEISAN MONETARY TRANSMISSION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian theory suggests that during recession, changes in the interest rate may cause small changes in the level of investment, and thus in National Income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Interest rates may not decrease (or increase) very much as the money supply is increased (or decreased)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians argue that changes in the money supply do not affect consumer spending directly but only indirectly through a money-&gt; interest rate-&gt; investment-&gt; income sequence<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This view of the chain of events emanating from a change in the money supply is called the <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Keynesian Monetary Transmission Mechanism</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>KEYNESIAN ANALYSIS OF DEPRESSIONS AND INFLATIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical and Keynesian predictions differ most during a depression<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economists advocate laissez-faire policies because they believe the natural long-run state of the economy to be a full employments equilibrium<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If passed, most would assert that expansionary monetary policies increase Aggregate Spending enough to rapidly cure any depression<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical reasoning also suggests that restrictive monetary policies are the only lasting remedy for inflation<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians suggest that an economy in recession will not recover quickly in response to expansionary monetary policies, because any extra money people received is seldom spent but is hoarded<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The velocity of money falls to offset monetary growth<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expansionary monetary policy is viewed as stringlike both because banks may not lend out their reserves if their view of the economic horizon is pessimistic and because people may simply hoard rather than spend most of any extra money that comes their way <strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. MONETARISM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Keynesian Revolution stirred a counterrevolution by<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong> Monetarist</strong></span>, who recognize some holes in older versions of classical theory but reject any need for massive government intervention to stabilize an economy<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE DEMAND FOR MONEY REVISED<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists concede that money might be demanded for reasons other than anticipated transactions, but see no reason to compartmentalize the demand for money as Keynesians have<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Instead, they have identified certain variables that influence the amount of money demanded<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>New Quantity Theory of Money<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Distinguished the nominal money people hold from their &#8220;real&#8221; money holdings<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real Money is the purchasing power of the money a person holds<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It can be computed by dividing the face value of money assets by the price level (M / P)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DETERMINANTS OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The variables that will be positively related to the quantity of money demanded are<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">People&#8217;s total real wealth (including the value of their labor)<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarist suggest that expected lifetime income better explains both consumption patterns and money holdings<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The interest rate, if any, paid on money holdings<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most people would probably maintain higher checking account balances if the interest rates paid to depositors were increased<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The illiquidity of non monetary assets<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most college students hold wealth in the form of human capital but lack may other assets<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">According to Monetarist, if most of your assets are very illiquid, you will hold more money than will people who have similar amounts of wealth but whose major assets are more liquid<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The variables as negatively related to the real amount of money people will hold<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The interest rate on bonds<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists stress the value of consumption as the opportunity cost of holding money (1 / P), but they also recognize either direct investment or purchases of stocks or bonds are possibilities<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Their study concludes that the demand for money is relatively insensitive to the interest rate<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The rate of return on physical capital<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The expected rate of inflation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">During inflation expectations of inflation cause people to reduce their money holdings.  The greater the expected inflation, the more rapid the velocity of money<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE STABILITY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists are willing to accept the idea that the demand for money is influenced by variables other than income, but they view these relationships are very stable<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They believe that most variables that influence the demand for money are relatively constant because they are the outcomes of an inherently stable market system<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists believe that the bulk of any instability in a market economy arises because of erratic government policy; the Federal Reserve System is the main villain in their scenario<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE MONETARIST MONETARY TRANSMISSION MECHANISM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists believe that linkages between the money supply and nominal National Income are strong and direct<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists perceive the demand for money as stable, so an expansion in the money supply is viewed as generating surpluses of money in the hands of consumers and investors<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most monetarists believe that growth of the money supply can boost spending and drive a slumping economy toward full employment<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists perceive the market system as inherently stable and think that the economy will seldom deviate for long from full employment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Monetarists consequently predict that, in the long run, growth in the money supply will be translated strictly into higher prices, even if monetary expansion occurs during a recession<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most monetarists oppose active monetary policy to combat recessions<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They view long-run adjustments as fairly rapid, believing instead that deflation will quickly restore an economy to full employment<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Discretionary monetary policy might overshoot converting recession into inflation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Overly aggressive monetary expansion can eliminate recession and unemployment more quickly than do-nothing policies, but only at the risk of sparking inflation<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. SUMMARY: CLASSICAL, KEYNESIAN, AND MONETARISTS THEORIES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major differences in these traditional schools of though are found in<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The nature of the demand for money<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The nature of the investment relationship<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The monetary transmission mechanism<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Assumptions about the velocity of money<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. MONETARY POLICY VS. FISCAL POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical economics and supply-side approaches lead to the conclusion that Aggregate Demand matters little in the long run<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians and monetarists alike focus on Aggregate Demand<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Their differences lien in different views about<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How important monetary policy is relative to fiscal policy, not that one alone matters to the exclusion of the other<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How quickly and effectively government policies can adjust to reverse momentum towards an excessively inflationary expansion or into a recession<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>REALTIVE EFFECTIVENESS ARGUMENTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians argue that monetary growth will not raise spending or cut interest rates very much in a slump<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Slight drops in interest rates when the money supply grows will affect investment and output very little<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fiscal policy, on the other hand, is extremely powerful in a slump<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists see the demand for money as relatively insensitive to interest rates but perceive investment as highly dependent on interest<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They also see expansionary monetary policy as bolstering consumer spending, both because extra money burns holes in people&#8217;s pockets and because lower interest rates make buying on credit easier and cheaper<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, monetarists view money as a powerful tool<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They believe that fiscal policy has only a negligible effect because new government spending does not raise injections nearly as much as does even a small decline in interest rates<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians and monetarist agree that when an economy is at full employment, growth of Aggregate Demand raises the price level.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Both would agree that when an economy is in a severe slump, increased in Aggregate Demand will restore full employment<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, they would disagree on the appropriate way to expand Aggregate Demand<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists favor expansionary monetary policy to increase private consumption and investment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Keynesians view that approach as ineffective because of widespread pessimism on the parts of workers, consumers, and business firms.</span>  Thus, they favor expansionary fiscal policy<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RULES VS. DISCRETIONARY POLICIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most classical school economists favor doing away with all discretion in policymaking and adopting stable and permanent monetary and fiscal rules<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One mechanism to eliminate discretion in monetary policymaking is a monetary growth rule<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Monetary Growth Rule</strong></span> would dictate that the money supply be increased at a rate compatible with historical growth of GDP, say 3% annually<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In addition to a monetary growth rule, most economists opposed to discretion in policymaking advocate certain fiscal rules;<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government spending should be set at the amounts of government goods and services that the public would demand if the economy were at full employment; no make-work projects should be permitted<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax rates should then be structured so that the federal budget would be roughly in balance if the economy were at full employment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE CULPABILITY OF THE FED<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists view the market system as largely self-stabilizing and predictable; they perceive erratic government policies as the leading cause of business cycles<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarists also believe that the Feb tries too hard to control the economy<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Finally, political considerations too often dominate sound policymaking<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The solution, according to many monetarists, is to follow a rule of expanding the money supply at a fixed annual rate in the 2% to 4% range compatible with historical growth of our productive capacity<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE FAILURE OF DISCRETIONARY FINE-TUNING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monetarist believe that the Great Depression occurred despite expansionary monetary policies<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To them Federal Reserve System caused the Depression because it followed contractionary policies<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most monetarists believe that improper monetary policy is the major cause of business cycles;<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the money supply grows too slowly, economic downturns and stagnation soon follow<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the money supply mushrooms, increase in the price level are inevitable<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>7. NEW CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND NEW KEYNESIANS ECONOMICS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Differences among new classical economists and new Keynesian economists hinge primarily on differing theoretical views about the relative speeds of price adjustments versus quantity adjustments in response to changes in the economic climate<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, both tend to agree on more than was true in earlier debates-this may be a sign of slowly emerging consensus on a number of issue<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The new Keynesians focus on explanations for wage-price stickiness,<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If wages an prices are extremely sticky, major macroeconomic problems may be cured more rapidly if the government acts<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The new classical economics, on the other hand, assumes that markets clear through almost instantaneous price adjustments, and that active policymaking is likely to be dysfunctional<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 15. BUDGET DEFICITS AND PUBLIC DEBT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Budget Deficit</strong></span> is the annual difference between federal outlays and receipts (G – T)<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>National (Public) Debt</strong></span> results from cumulated federal deficits<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. PRIVATE VS. PUBLIC FIANCE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRIVATE BUDGET CONSTRAINTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The availability of funds limits spending by households, proprietors, and partnerships<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Funds are made available through<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sales of current assets<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Current income (including inheritance or gifts)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Borrowing against assets or expected future income<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporations<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Funds are made available through<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Line of credits with major financial intermediaries<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Issuing bonds due to superior credit risks<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Selling stocks<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LOCAL GOVERNMENT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Funds are made available through<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Revenue from selling goods and services or some of their assets<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Issuing bonds but do not sell ownership shares<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lotteries<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulation and confiscation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Resource allocations through regulation or confiscation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The right of eminent domain<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Military draft<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE FEDERAL BUDGET CONSTRAINTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A national government has another major tool at hand; it can print additional monetary base<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In US, financing deficit with monetary base is a more indirect process because, in an accounting sense, our Treasury &#8220;borrows&#8221; money from the Feb, which actually creates the additional monetary base<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Treasury first issues new bonds to cover a federal deficit<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed the buys the bonds through expansionary open-market operations<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In summary, government can secure resources to provide goods and services through<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sales of current assets or outputs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Loans from US citizens and firms, foreign citizens or government, or commercial banks<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Confiscation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expansion of the monetary base (currency in circulation plus bank reserves)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Government Budget Constraint identifies financing options open to the federal government; <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>G = T + ∆B + ∆MB</strong></span> or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>G – T = ∆B + ∆MB</strong></span><br />
						</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">G        = Total government outlays<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">T        = Total government revenues from taxes, charges, and sales<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">∆B       = Change in the national debt<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">∆MB = Change in the monetary base<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This equation means that if the federal government spends more than it collects (G – T &gt; 0), it must either borrow (∆B &gt; 0) or create (print) the monetary base difference (∆MB &gt; 0)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Budget deficits cause growth in the national debt or in the money supply, while government surpluses make it possible to pay off some of the national debt or remove some money from circulation or both<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. FUNCTIONAL FINANCE VS. BALANCED BUDGETS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BALANCING BUDGETS ANNUALLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Herbert Hoover&#8217;s dilemma<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Curing deficits may worsen unemployment and stymie economic growth<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If GDP began falling, tax revenues would fall<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">At the same time, rising unemployment would mandate more outlays for such transfer payments as unemployment compensations<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Raising tax rates would shrink both Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand and could actually reduce tax revenues<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Attempts to slash government spending might even shrink GDP so much that tax revenues would fall even more than any spending cuts, worsening the deficit<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FUNCTIONAL FINANCE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian economists traditionally favored activist fiscal policies, arguing that we should try to balance the economy at full employment, and that balancing or not balancing the budget is irrelevant per se.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In this view, injections (investment plus government spending plus exports) need to be set to equal withdrawal (saving plus taxes plus imports) at a high rate of capacity utilization<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A budget mix that yields full employment is best; taxes and government outlays never need to balance precisely<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Functional Finance</strong></span> approach to the government budget emphasizes that taxes are only one way to finance government outlays.  How best to pay for government depends on which policies are least costly under existing economic conditions<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxation to cover new government spending is the least expansionary mode and is most appropriate when the economy is close to full employment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bond financing is usually considered more expansionary than taxation as a way to finance government outlays<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The most expansionary method of all is to create more monetary base to cover a deficit<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. CROWDING OUT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians believe that increased government purchases can stimulate a depressed economy<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">New classical economists argue that government spending tends to crowd out private economic activity<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They point out that gross private saving is absorbed by government purchases<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Crowding Out</strong></span> is the idea that increase in government purchases inevitably cause reduction in private consumptions or investment<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government outlays may crowd out private activities through<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Less leisure for workers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reduced consumer purchasing power (caused by inflation or tax hikes)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lower profit for investor (because of higher interest rates)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOVERNMENT&#8217;S COSTS WHEN RESOURCES ARE IDLE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government might use direct confiscation to impose on the owners of idle resources the full cost of providing extra government goods<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If tax resources are used to pay the owners of the newly employed resources, the burden falls largely on taxpayers.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If government creates money to pay for these resources, then the higher incomes of the owners of previously idle resources may be partially offset by inflationary reduction in the purchasing power of other citizens<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">When more Treasury bonds are issued, raising the supply of bond will drop the bond prices and the falling price of bonds cause interest rates to climb.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Successful borrowers pay higher interest rate and some private investment is crowded out<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Borrowers and potential borrows pay the short-run burden of more government spending when a budget deficit is financed by sales of new government bonds<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the longer run, consumers will pay higher price because investment shrinks due to higher interest rates, adding less to stock of capital<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the economy is less than full employment the degree of crowding out depends in part on the interest sensitivity of demands for loans by investors and consumers<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOVERNMENT&#8217;S COSTS DURING FULL EMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">When all resources are efficiently and fully employed, any increase in government purchases necessitates decline in either private consumption, investment , or net exports<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government causes crowding out through tax hikes, confiscation, inflation, or higher interest rates.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Excessive reliance on any single mechanism may cause political turmoil and significantly reduce some resource owners&#8217; incentives to be productive; therefore, government commonly chooses a mix of these ways to cover new government spending<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Example of President Johnson to fight the war in Vietnam and the war on poverty in the late 1960s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Treasury initially covered the deficits by issuing new bonds<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fed elected to buy many of the new bonds issued by the Treasury<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This expanded the monetary base and caused brunt of financing the Vietnam War from falling exclusively on private investment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation caused prices and nominal income to swell, so total tax revenues increased<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The overall result was that crowding out spread the costs of the war on poverty and the Vietnam War across the four groups<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investors, who paid higher interest rates<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers, who paid higher prices<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxpayers, who paid higher taxes<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Selective Service draftees, being drafted was a form of confiscation of labor to pay for the Vietnam War<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. FEDERAL DEFICITS AND FOREIGN TRADE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TRADE DEFICITS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Foreigners make parts of their gross saving available by exporting more to us than we export to them; we experience a trade deficit in which imports exceed exports<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Explicitly considering the international sector in the government budget constraint suggest that federal deficits must = The domestic savings surplus (saving minus investment) + The trade deficit (imports minus exports)<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Federal deficits can be financed by increasing domestic saving or by borrowing foreigners&#8217; saving<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Alternatively, the deficit can be financed by a reduction in domestic investment or a reduction in our exports of goods and services<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In fact, a trade deficit represents net funds that the US borrows from abroad<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In summary, with aggregate levels of saving fixed, rising budget deficits will inevitably result in growing trade deficits or a reduction in domestic investment<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">The only options to borrowing from abroad (M – X) are<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">To cut government outlays<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">To increase taxes<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">To increase domestic saving rates<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">To suffer lower rates of domestic investment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. THE PUBLIC DEBT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Doomsayers of US being on the verge of bankruptcy fail to consider<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The ability of government to tax and to create money to cover budget deficits or to pay off the national debt<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The basic differences between internal and external debts<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The relative versus absolute size of the debt<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXTERNAL VS. INTERNAL DEBT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major difference between private and public debt is that all private debt is held externally-the borrowers owe other people-whereas public debt is primarily held internally-we owe most of our national debt to Americans<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>External Debt</strong></span> is owed to outsiders; <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Internal Debt</strong></span> is owed to those who, at least in part, are obligated to pay the debt<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Borrowing from internal sources does not change the total current amount that may be spent<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Repayment of internal debt does not simultaneously affect total American purchasing power<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INTEREST ON PUBLIC DEBT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Debt Rollover</strong></span> occurs if, when a bond issue comes due, the debt is refinanced<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Politically unstable countries find it difficult to borrow, because investors fear that the current government may fall or disavow the debt<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the economy is especially sluggish, increased deficits may not crowd out investment<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If saving rate rise, large deficits may not raise interest rate.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, in general, large deficits push up interest rates.  The end result is that future generation may inherit a smaller capital stock and, hence, reduced production possibilities-one real burden of the public debt<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BURDEN ON FUTURE GENERATIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Does national debt burden future generations?<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Future generations do not lose because of national debt per se.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rather, they lose because the current generation opts for more consumption and less investment out of today&#8217;s income<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOME BENEFITS OF PUBLIC DEBT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Stabilization policy depends heavily on the ability of the federal government to deficit spend and pay for this spending with bonds<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The national debt provides a relative risk-free asset (government bonds) for individuals who need to protect their financial capital<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>REMEASURING PUBLIC DEBT AND BUDGET DEFICITS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Correcting alleged flaws in budget deficit and debt data requires<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Converting the nominal budget and the public debt to real values<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For the same reasons that nominal GDP is adjusted for inflation to yield real GDP, the nominal budget deficit and public debt should be deflated to reflect changes in the price level<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Adjusting public debt for interest rate changes (converting the value of the debt from par value to market value)<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Par value means that if a government bond was issued for $100K in 1980, the public debt grew by $100K.  Public debt statistics are not adjusted to reflect changing market values if interest rate later change so that the market value of this bond changes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Revising the budget so that reported values conform to generally accepted accounting principles<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Current net worth of a large stock of tangible assets, including land, buildings, and equipment the government has should be used<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. THE ABILITY TO CONTROL GOVERNMENT SPENDING<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relatively Uncontrollable Outlays cannot be changed without changes in major federal laws.  They are often beyond administrative control and involve contractual obligations of government<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., SS, Medicare funding, legal obligations to provide public assistance<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This obligated portions has now grown to over 75% of budget<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major increase in spending share since 1970 have been in interest on the public debt and transfer payments<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gramm-Rudman Balanced-Budget Act of 1985<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This act sets specific deficit reduction targets beginning in 1986 until it reaches zero in 1991<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If these targets were not met, across-the-board spending cuts were mandated<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, federal deficit grew<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Deficit Reduction Act of 1990<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The failure of achieve the Gramm-Rudman objective of eliminating budget deficits culminated in passage of the Deficit Reduction Law of 1990<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This law mandated tax increase and spending cut, and it attempted to cap federal spending to further reduce the federal deficit<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Under the new law the focus was controlling federal spending, not cutting the deficit<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, funding for savings and loan bailout, Persian Gulf hostilities, and any emergencies fell outside of the spending targets.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Uncle Sam prohibited the right hand from writing checks over a certain amount, but the left hand could still sign at any time so that the 1990 Deficit Reduction Law failed to achieve its goals<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Deficit Reduction Act of 1993<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This act&#8217;s stated goal of reducing the deficit by a total $500 billion between 1993 and 1998 but failed<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In summary,<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Clearly debt, no mater how it&#8217;s measured, has been growing over the past decades<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Added debt is used for public investment, future generation may gain, but they will bear the burden if debt and deficits are used to finance consumption for the current generation.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Large deficits and debts can increase real interest rates that may soak up additional government resources in the future<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reducing government spending is quite difficult because so may federal outlays are uncontrollable<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Our national debt and deficits compare favorably to other developed countries<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All in all, the growing debt and continuing deficits in our country are a cause for concern and need to be addressed over the long haul, but they don&#8217;t appear to be the crisis that so may politicians and pundits would have us believe<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 16. MICROFUNATIONS OF MACROECONOMIC POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">The macroeconomic goals of high employment, a stable price level, and healthy economic growth are intertwined, but historical data seem to reveal few systematic connections between these variables.<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Aggregate Demand</strong></span> curve reflects a negative relationship between the price level (P) and the quantity demanded (Q) of National Output<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SLOPE OF THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">All else being equal, planned spending on US production falls when the domestic price level rises because of<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Interest Rate Effect</strong></span>, whereby higher interest rates reduce planned investments, Aggregate Expenditures, and ultimately output<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When prices rise, the real purchasing power of a fixed money supply falls<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equilibrium interest rates rise because of this decline in the real money supply<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, planned investment falls because higher interest rates drive up the costs of investment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This reduction in planned investment drives the Aggregate Expenditures schedule reduces real National Income<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This lower National Income at higher prices means that real output must fall<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In summary, higher interest rates that result from higher prices crowd out investment and, in addition, squeeze both consumer credit and government spending at the state and local level (especially that which is bond financed)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Wealth Effect</strong></span>, whereby the purchasing power of assets stated in money terms falls, causing declines in wealth, and, consequently, in spending<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Even if your monetary income kept up with the price level during inflation, you would still lose to the extent that your wealth was stored as bonds, as cash, or in bank accounts, so you would reduce your spending<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Even if your income rises as fast as the price level, you may temporarily reduce the proportion of income you consume to restore the purchasing power of your liquid assets through a short-term higher rate of saving<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Because consumption declines as the price level climbs, Aggregate Spending also falls in a manner similar to the interest rate-investment adjustment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Foreign Sector Substitution Effect</strong></span>, where by consumers substitute goods produced elsewhere for American-made goods, while investors find that profitability of foreign investment has risen relative to that for investment in the US<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the prices of US goods rise, you will buy more imported goods than previously because they will be relatively cheaper<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">At the same time, foreign consumers will reduce their purchases of now higher-priced American goods.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, inflation causes imports to increase and exports to decrease, resulting in reduced Aggregate Expenditures and National Income and Output<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In summary,<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher price levels are associated with lower quantities along Aggregate Demand curves because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher interest rates reduce investment and purchases of consumer durables<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Real values fall for financial assets stated in monetary terms<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Imports grow and export fall<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Domestic investment declines while foreign investment flourishes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHIFTS IN AGGREGATE DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Plans to spend more originate in tax cuts, increase in government purchases or transfer payments, or more optimistic expectations by consumers and investors<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Expansionary monetary policies such as open-market purchases of bonds or reductions in either reserve requirement or the discount rate also increase Aggregate Demand<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the short run, the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Aggregate Supply Curve</strong></span> reflects a positive relationship between the price level and the real quantity of National Output<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">This short-run positive relationship occurs primarily because production costs (e.g., wages) are sticky relative to output prices when demand changes<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increase to Aggregate Demand cause movement of the AD curve up along the Aggregate Supply curve in which prices rise more quickly than wages, so higher profit per unit induced more output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Declines in AD reverse these movements along the AS curve: prices fall more quickly than costs, so profits decline and firms reduce production<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>NATIONAL OUTPUT AND THE WORK FORCE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increases in the total demand for labor generate pressure for more employment and output and for hikes in wages and prices as well<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, declines in economy-wide demand for labor create pressure for lower employment, output, wages, and prices<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, there are differences between short-run and long-run adjustments<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor Markets: The Short Run<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian models emphasizes short-run adjustments<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the demand for labor grows during a depression, employment and output rise, but wages and prices may not due to idle capitals and going wages<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This results in a moderately positive slope in the AS curve in its intermediate range<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Workers know that higher prices lower their real wages during inflation, but there is a lag between a given inflationary decline in real wages and labor&#8217;s recognition of this loss<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Worker may temporarily be &#8220;fooled&#8221; by hikes in money wages that are less than inflation, so more labor services may be offered even if real wages decline<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor Markets: The Longer Run<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The long-run orientation of classical reasoning represents the polar extreme from Keynesian analysis.  New classical economics assume that workers react to changes in real wages almost instantly<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Workers try to base decision about work on real wages, not on nominal money wages<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the longer run, workers recognize that price hikes reduce their real wages (w / P) and react by reducing the real supply of labor<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Once workers recognize that prices have risen, they demand commensurate raises.  This yields the almost vertical long-run AS curve<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In reality, workers react slowly to changes in real earning because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major decision by a big firm may put millions of dollars on the line, while individual workers have only their salary at risk.  Thus, firms devote more resources to forecasts of inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A firm only need to estimate how much extra revenue will be generated if extra workers are hired to know how much of a monetary wage (w) it can profitably afford to pay<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms may need less information about future price to make profitable decisions than workers need (forecasts of most prices in the CPI) as a guide for personally beneficial decision<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In reality, when real wages drop, the options open to most workers are limited<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Workers also respond relatively slowly because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most long-term union contracts set nominal wages for the length of these agreements<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Both employers and employees often implicitly agree to contracts where wages are adjusted only at scheduled intervals<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changing jobs often entails considerable costs in search time and lost income<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHIFTS IN AGGREGATE SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Aggregate Supply curve shifts when technology changes or when resource availability or cost change<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological advances boost AS, while disruptions in resource market, higher tax rates, or inefficient new government regulations are among negative shocks to AS<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Shocks Operating Through the Labor Market<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher marginal tax rates would reduce the effective supply of labor and AS<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor market disturbance would occur if the power of unions grew and they commanded higher wages<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The restructuring of American industry has led to serious changes in most labor market resulted in corporate downsizing and more intensive use of a contingency labor force<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any rise in the inflation rate workers expect.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflationary expectation continuously shift labor supply curve leftward<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decrease in inflationary expectations or in union power will shift the labor supply and AS curves toward the right<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">People&#8217;s preferences between work and leisure affect AS as well<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incomes Policies<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The term &#8220;Incomes Policy&#8221; refers to measures intended to curb inflation without altering monetary or fiscal policies.  These methods include<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Moral suasion<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wage-and-price guidelines or controls<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wage-price freezes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incomes policies may perversely affect inflationary expectations and AS<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incomes policies also hinder necessary relative price adjustments<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Other Shock Affecting Productive Capacity<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New regulations that hamper production shift the AS curve to the left but eliminating of inefficient regulation shift the curve rightward<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. UNEMPLOYMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The traditional Keynesian model explains unemployment as a consequence of inadequate AS and sticky wages.  However, according to Keynes labor market may not clear<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">New Keynesians have developed explanations for failures of labor markets to clear can be grouped under labor contract consideration, efficiency wage theories, and dual labor markets (insiders and outsiders) <strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Long-term labor contracts, efficiency wages, and dual labor markets all provide microfoundations to help explain stickiness and unemployment in an AD-AS framework<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LABOR CONTRACTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Labor Contracts</strong></span>, whether written (explicit) or unwritten (implicit), mean that wages and benefits are set for lengthy period and adjust in a lagged fashion to changes in economic condition<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, when the economy turns downwards, wages fall only slowly to created job opening for the unemployed.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EFFICIENCY WAGES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A worker who failed to perform conscientiously is a problem known as <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Shirking</strong></span><br />
					</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Employers are aware that shirking must be offset by other incentives<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">One strategy is for the firm to engage in <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Reputation Building</strong></span><br />
								</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A reputation for seldom laying off workers, even when business is slack, may attract topnotch workers without requiring wage premiums<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The other strategy is through Efficiency Wages<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Efficiency Wages</strong></span> are wage that exceed market clearing wages and are intended<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To raise the costs to employees of being dismissed, thereby reducing shirking<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To retain key people during a recession because it is difficult to replace them once they are hired by competing firms<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DUAL LABOR MARKET<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The concept of <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Dual Labor Markets</strong></span> involves segmenting the national labor market in two sectors<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A primary nonmarket-clearing sector paying efficiency wages (insiders)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A secondary sector where the market clears, but which is much more competitive (outsiders)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. SHOCKS TO AGGREGATE DEMAND AND AGGREGATE SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equilibrium prices rise only if demands increase or supplies decreases<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation that originates on the demand side is referred to as &#8220;demand-pull inflation,&#8221; while supply-side inflation is commonly termed &#8216;cost-push inflation.&#8221;<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DEMAND-SIDE INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growth of AD in an economy operating below capacity increases employment, output, income, and perhaps, the price level<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price-level increases initiated when the AD curve expands (shifts to the right) are called <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Demand-Side (or Demand-Pull) Inflation</strong></span><br />
					</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUPPLY-SIDE INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The double whammy of high unemployment and rapid inflation was once thought quite unlikely<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A major reason neither conventional classical nor Keynesian theories offer much insight into why high rates of inflation and unemployment might occur simultaneously is that, from the 1940s into the 1970s, both school of though largely ignored shifts in AS<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Stagflation</strong></span> entails simultaneous high unemployment and rapid inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Supply-Side Inflation</strong></span> is initiated when the AS curve shifts to the left and the price levels rises as output falls<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE U.S. ECONOMIC RECORD<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand-side inflation equilibrate in a counterclockwise fashion, while supply-side inflations cause the economy to follow a clockwise patterns<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation in the 1960s and 1970s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The demand-pull inflation of the 1960s resulted primarily from increased government spending for domestic programs, the space program, the escalation of the Vietnam conflict, stimulation from the 1964 tax cut, and rising monetary growth.  The equilibrium process followed a counterclockwise path<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Mid-1970s which may have been triggered by rising prices for OPEC oil and other imported goods and worldwide agricultural drought.  The system equilibrated in a clockwise fashion<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Contrast Between the 1930s and the 1970s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Declines in either AS or AD tend to increase unemployment<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">During the Great Depression in 1930s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Investment collapsed<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">AD reduced<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment rates rose<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Commodity price shocks in 1970s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reduced AS<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disinflation in the 1980s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disinflation is a significant reduction in the rate of inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">During disinflation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Productivity growth and new products are keys to business success because price cannot be raised<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New products typically yield higher profits and facilitate growth<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Also, cutting labor cost would be another solution for the firms<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pressure to raise productivity during disinflation alter firms&#8217; investment patters<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">More investment is directed toward productivity-enhancing plant and equipment, and less is aimed at expanding capacity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">More investment is financed internally to limit firms&#8217; debt burden<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Acquisition binges that some firms undertake during inflationary periods are reversed when debt consolidation pressures them to sell subsidiaries<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporate Restructuring in the 1990s<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher merger activities during 1980s and 1990s left many skilled but high paid middle managers unemployed for more than 26 weeks (hardcore unemployment)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Computer networks along with improved transportation and communication networks have made it easier for managers to directly monitor increasing numbers of subordinates<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 17. ACTIVE VS. PASSIVE POLICYMAKING<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="text-align:center;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic growth may be squelched if policymakers limit AD to combat inflation, but trying to stimulate growth and reduce unemployment rates by boosting AD can spark inflation<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">National income is positively related to employment and tend to be negatively related to unemployment<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflation and interest rates seem positively related<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. TRADE-OFFS BETWEEN UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The concept of elasticity provides a systematic way to estimate how one variable responds to changes in some other variable<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TRADE-OFFS BETWEEN UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Phillips Curve</strong></span> portrays an inverse statistical relationship between the rate of inflation and the unemployment rate<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For example, reducing inflation to zero might require unemployment of 8%, while pressing unemployment below 5% might require 6% annual inflation<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Productivity and Inflation<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A fairly tight relationship links nominal wage inflation, price inflation, and productivity<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The % rate of inflation = The % change in wage – The % change in productivity<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For example, if workers produce 5% more this year than last, then wages can rise 5% before firms feel pressure to maintain profit margins by raising prices<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHITS IN AD: A STABLE TRADE-OFF<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">National Output and Income are closely tied to employment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An AS curve is a positive relationship between national output and price level, while a typical Phillips curve depicts an inverse correlation between unemployment and inflation.  Thus, Phillips curves roughly mirror AS curve<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUPPLY SHOCKS AND UNSTABLE PHILLIPS CURVES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Continually expanding the growth rate of AD while AS remains stable results in upward movements along a stable Phillips curve<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists of a classical bent dismiss the Phillips curve as a short-run artifact and hold that policymakers who try to swap inflation for lower unemployment will soon find the relationship illusory<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Their <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Rate Theories</strong></span> suggest that, in the long run, macroeconomic policies affect only absolute prices, not such real variables as unemployment, output, or interest rates<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. KEYNESIAN PHILLIPS CURVES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">After it became apparent that trade-offs between unemployment and inflation might be unstable, a Structural Shock Theory by Keynesians was developed to show why Phillips curves might shift<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE KEYNESIAN STRUCTURALIST APPROACH<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">An early Keynesian explanation for the Phillips curves-the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Structuralist Approach</strong></span>-goes like this<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As unemployment falls and full employment is approached<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">It becomes increasingly costly to product extra out because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As more and more industries operate nearer their capacities, firms increasingly encounter bottlenecks that boost costs, which are then passed on to consumers as higher prices<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major structural bottlenecks occur in labor market<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STRUCTURAL SHOCKS AND WAGE-PRICE STICKINESS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">More sophisticated Keynesian explanations for Philips curves&#8217; shapes hinge on two key idea<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Shocks to market demands and supplies continually bombard all economies<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wages and prices are assumed downwardly sticky<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">That is wages and prices rise more easily than they fall<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Structural Shocks</strong></span> cause AS to fall temporarily because of friction encountered in moving resources from declining to growing sectors<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Continuous changes in the structure of economic activity create a natural inflationary bias in the economy<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>A KEYNESIAN THEORY OF STAGFLATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Classical theory discounts the possibility of lasting Phillip curves and emphasizes the stabilizing qualities of automatic market adjustments<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Erratic government policy is cited as a major source of macroeconomics shocks<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian Structuralist and shock theories, on the other hand, help rationalize the existence of Phillips curves<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesians considered multiple disruptions as important in disrupting AS and Phillips curves in the 1970s, classifying shocks under five broad headings<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflationary expectation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">External shocks<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor market disturbances<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Structural changes in product markets<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disruptions emerging in the public sector<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Adaptive Inflationary Expectations<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any event that reduced AS induces supply-side inflation and worsens the trade-off between unemployment and inflation (shifts the Phillips curve to the right)<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian recognize that inflation expectations negatively affect AS<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Theory of Adaptive Expectations</strong></span> suggest that expectations about future inflation are typically a weighted average of past rates of inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This approach suggests that the more severe the recent history of inflation, the faster AS recedes to the left because of expectations and the more severe will be the trade-off between unemployment and inflation<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Shocks to the System<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Events reducing AS and eroding the Phillips curves<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Oil price hikes<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Wars and bad weather<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural disasters<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Events improving the Phillips trade-off<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Discoveries of new resources<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological advances<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prolonged period of economic stability<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reductions in international tensions<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor Market Changes<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incentive structures that affect work effort also help explain the Phillips curve&#8217;s location<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment compensation affect many workers&#8217; labor-leisure choices<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Higher unemployment compensation payments will encourage greater unemployment, intensifying inflationary pressure<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment compensations<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Encourages temporary layoffs by firms because it eases hardships on firms&#8217; workers when orders for output drop<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Extends the average duration of unemployment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social Security currently encourages early retirement<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demographic changes also affect how unemployment and inflation are related<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Collective bargaining may also affect the Phillips curve<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Structural Changes in Product Markets<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One explanation for the shape and existence of Phillips curves is drawn from continuous changes in the structure of demands for goods, combined with wage and price stickiness and a policy of trying to maintain full employment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The menu of choices between unemployment and inflation worsens if external shocks become stronger or if structural changes occurs more rapidly<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If consumers&#8217; preferences or investors&#8217; perceptions of the economic outlook change markedly, the structure of output may also change drastically<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in laws governing foreign trade become more important as our economy becomes more internationally oriented<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Hikes in tariffs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cuts in import quotas<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Growth of domestic monopoly power and the resulting drives for greater profits will worsen the inflation-unemployment trade-off<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Public Sector Changes<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disruptions to the composition of public sector demand for goods and resources can shift the Phillips curve<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in tax structures, subsidies, and transfer payments also affect the trade-off<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major revisions of such regulations as those policed by the OSHA, leasing policies for mineral exploration on public lands, or changes in property rights structures may all shift the Phillips curve relationship<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">For modern Keynesians, an explanation for the stagflation of the 1970s goes like this<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising inflationary expectations and disruptions associated with the Vietnam War causes the first deterioration in the Phillips curve in the early 1970s<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The increase in world oil prices in 1974 caused the second shift<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">More oil hikes in 1979 and 1981, coupled with worldwide crop failures, caused further erosion of the Phillips curve in the early 1980s<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relative cessation of shocks to the economy later in the 1980s ultimately improved the Phillips curve trade-off<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. THE NEW CLASSICAL NATURAL RATE THEORY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Rate Theory</strong></span>, a strand of new classical economics, rejects the idea that macroeconomic policy ultimately affects any &#8220;real&#8221; variable.  Thus, these theorists perceive no permanent connection between unemployment and inflation<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural rate theory concludes that any negatively sloped Phillips curve is transitory and that AS will shift persistently only because of changing inflationary expectations<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYEMNT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Zero unemployment is not as attractive as it sounds since workers are forced to accept any jobs or firms to hire any workers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural rate analysis concluded that nearly all unemployment is voluntary, the sole exceptions being unskilled people who are unemployed because minimum wage laws prevent employers from hiring these workers a the low wages commensurate with their productivity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">According to natural rate theory, expansionary macroeconomic policy reduced frictional unemployment only because workers are fooled by unanticipated inflation into thinking that the higher wages offered by firms represent real increases in the purchasing power of their earning<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Why do employers offer higher wages when expansionary policies are followed?<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Because expansionary policies cause business firms to forecast booming sales that will enable them to raise the prices of their products<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The natural rate of unemployment is the rate that exists before expansionary policy in initiated; it is achieved when all transactors have accurate expectations about inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If expansionary policies are continued, workers will learn to expect inflation and will demand wages that rise continuously to compensate for inflation<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE LONG-RUN PHILLIPS CURVE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural rate theory suggests that Phillips curves do not present policymakers with stable frontiers along with inflation can be traded off against unemployment<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Rate Theory</strong></span> maintains that each Phillips curve is associated with a particular rate of expected inflation.  If workers foresee higher rates of inflation, the Phillips curve worsens by shifting outwards<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pure natural rate theorists view rising expectations of inflation as the only explanation for any worsening of any short-term relationship between inflation and unemployment<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unemployment will gravitate back to its natural rate in the long run.  Thus, no long-run trade-off exists between inflation and unemployment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">According to natural rate theory, if policymakers try to hold unemployment below the natural rate, the short-run Phillips curve trade-off worsens.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Accelerating  bouts of inflation are inevitable until policymakers accept the futility of trying to hold unemployment below its natural rate<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. THE NATURAL RATE OF INTEREST<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural rate theory also views attempts to achieve lower interest rates than are consistent with individuals&#8217; decisions as ultimately self-defeating<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE NATURAL REAL RATE OF INTEREST HYPOTHESIS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Real Rate of Interest</strong></span> is the annual percentage of purchasing power paid by a borrow to a lender for the use of money<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Real rate of interest =  The nominal interest rate – Inflation rate<br />
</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The natural rate hypothesis suggests that borrowers and lenders adjust nominal interest to expected inflation so that the willingness of borrowers to pay purchasing power premiums exactly equals the purchasing power premiums lenders require for the use of money<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Rate Theory of Real Interest</strong></span> suggest that the desired real rate of interest reflect<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Purchasing power premiums needed to induce savers to delay gratification<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Premiums needed to induce people to hold wealth in less liquid forms<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The expected productivity of new capital, which yields extra goods in the future<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>KEYNES AND FISHER EFFECTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">According to the natural rate hypothesis, expansionary monetary policy might temporarily reduce nominal interest rates, but in the long run, expansionary policies drive nominal interest rates up, not down<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Keynes Effect</strong></span> predicts declines in interest rates following expansionary monetary policy and vice versa (short-run)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fisher Effect</strong></span> predict upward adjustments in nominal interest rates as borrowers and lenders compensate for expected inflation and downward shifts if deflation is expected (long-run)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Overall, natural rate analysis suggests that active policy is futile in the long run; it cannot permanently reduce either real interest rates or unemployment<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. COMPETITIVE MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">New Classical Macroeconomists doubt that activist macroeconomic policies will work consistently<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The theory of competitive markets is predicated on a number of assumptions<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market participants have perfect information about all potential transactions<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transportation cost are zero, so all goods and resources can move freely and instantaneously between markets<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Buyers try to maximize their satisfaction; seller, their profits; and workers, their net well-being<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All prices are perfectly flexible<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EFFICIENT MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Efficient market theories suggest that activist policymakers try to fool people in the fashion of riverboat gamblers, but these policies do not work<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Efficient Markets</strong></span> theory assumes vigorous competition for any ideas or information that might prove profitable.  Competition causes any predictable abnormal gain from an investment to be exploited almost instantly<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The theory of <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rational Expectations</strong></span> suggests that after policymakers pursue either expansionary or contractionary policies a few times, people learn to predict both likely changes in policies and the effects of such changes.  Consumers and investors will then offset predictable policies, preventing them from having any real effect<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Unless the government disguises its policies, an expansionary policy will almost instantly drive up the price level and nominal interest rates, with little or no effect on employment and output.  A reversal of this story can be told for contractionary policies<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Note that one essential difference between the simple natural rate theory and rational expectations theory is the speed with which, accurate expectations are assumed to be realized<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Limitations of Rational Expectations Theory<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rational expectations analysis assumes that people are able to accurately forecast government policymaking when it often seems the government is unable to do this itself<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">This theory assumes that many people understand how the economy will adjust to particular policies<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The idea that anyone can systematically forecast the effects of policy with precision is extremely dubious<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rational expectations theory assumes that wages and prices are perfectly flexible and adjust instantaneously to market forces. However, union contracts efficiency wages, certain laws and regulations, long-term business contracts, and numerous other obstacles all keep wages and price from adjusting immediately to changes in AD and AS.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">It takes time for private investors and households to<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Recognize that policies and situations have changed<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Implement plans to reflect new circumstances<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Have their new plans take affect<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>REAL BUSINESS CYCLES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Real Business Cycle Analysts</strong></span>, a subset of new classical macroeconomists,<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disputes the assumed transitory nature of business cycles and differs with the traditional view that erratic AD is responsible for changes in economic activity.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Contend that most fluctuations in real GNP are permanent, not temporary.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Content that shocks to AS are the principal causes of business cycles<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most economists largely reject the real business cycle model since<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Its advocates have had difficulty in showing that periodic supply shocks have been sufficiently strong to explain cycles that have averaged roughly four years in duration<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Proponents of real business cycle theory have been unable to connect particular technological events to subsequent business cycles<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This theory suggests that negative AS shocks reduce productivity and demand for labor, thereby reducing real wages.  The empirical record of business cycles and wages does not support this chain of events.<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 18. LIMITATIONS OF STABILIZATION POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. LAGS, DOSES, AND STABILIZATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Stabilization policy suffers from fits and starts because of lags in reorganization, administration, and impact<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RECOGNITION LAGS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The time required for policymakers to realize that macroeconomic conditions have changed is the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Recognition Lag</strong></span><br />
					</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ADMINISTRATION LAGS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The time required to implement new policies is called the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Administrative Lag</strong></span><br />
						</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Changes in monetary policy can be implemented quickly by the Fed&#8217;s Open Market Committee<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fiscal policymaking, however, confronts major administrative lags, because discretionary changes in taxation or government outlays require legal changes<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The longer administrative lag for fiscal policy might suggest a preference for monetary policy<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>IMPACT LAGS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The time required for new policies to affect the economy is the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Impact Lag</strong></span><br />
						</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The impact lag for fiscal policy may be long for changes in government purchases, but it is comparatively short when tax rates are changed<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In contrast, the impact lags of monetary policy may be relatively long and variable<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Although fiscal policy has a longer administrative lag than monetary policy does, this may be offset by a shorter impact lag and the more certain outcome of revisions in tax rates<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DESTABILIZING EFFECTS OF POLICY LAGS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Mistimed or incorrect policies may create chaos out of minor economic fluctuations<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OVERDOSING OR UNDERMEDICATING A SICK ECONOMY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inflationary and recessionary gaps are, respectively, the decreases or increases in autonomous spending needed to decompress inflationary pressure or to push the economy out of a recession by filling the GDP gap.<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, these gaps cannot be measured precisely<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">We never know the exact limits of our productive capacity, nor do we know the precise size of autonomous spending or tax multipliers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The growth rates of M1, M2, and M3 may vary substantially<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">These difficulties make it nearly impossible for policymakers to know how much stimulus to inject or withdraw<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lags in discretionary policies make it easy to overdose the economy so that recessions lead into periods of hyperactivity and inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Alternatively, excessive doses of sedatives may causes an overstimulated economy to crash into a deep depression<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. INSULATION AGAINST MONETARY POLICYMAKING<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some modern Keynesians are skeptical that countercyclical monetary policy can be consistently effective.  Their objection is based on a belief that technological changes in financial institutions are induced by tight money and easy money policies<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Financial Insulation</strong></span> occurs when organizations develop new technologies that allow the to use money more efficiently so that more transactions can be supported from a given amount of monetary base<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Financial insulation tends to raise the income velocity of money <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. POLITICAL DIMENSIONS OF MACRO POLICY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>POLITICAL BUSINESS CYCLES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Political Business Cycles</strong></span> may occur if incumbent policymakers try to manipulate macroeconomic policies to enhance their reelection prospects<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Several studies indicate that incumbents&#8217; success in retaining their offices is closely related to how fast disposable income grows during the year immediately preceding elections<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>HAS KEYNESIAN THEORY INDUCED GOVERNMENT GROWTH?<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A final criticism of activist policies is that as politicians use these tools, the government sector will grow larger relative to the private sector<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Keynesian cure for inflation is a healthy budget surplus<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Deficits cause inflation, inflation should be viewed as a hidden tax<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In summary, macroeconomic policies may be misused by politicians who cut taxes and increase government spending<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Shortly before elections, anticipating a short-lived prosperity that will aid them in reelection<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"> During economic slumps, without offsetting increases in taxes or cuts in government spending during prosperity or inflation<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. ARE RECESSIONS ENGINEERED TO DECOMPRESS INFLATION?<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RECESSION TO DISCIPLINE LABOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some observers argue that extended prosperity may necessitate a recession to dampen inflationary expectations and &#8216;discipline labor&#8221; so that workers will work harder and accept less<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Among the major benefits of recessions are the opportunities afforded firms to clear out deadwood and to boost labor productivity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The natural long-run result of a recession is that profits rise and owners and managers of firms are again happy<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. INCOMES POLICIES TO COMBAT INFLATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Incomes Policies</strong></span> include such strategies as wage and price controls, wage and price guideposts or guideline, and presidential jawboning<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Incomes policies are designed to reduce inflationary pressures without actually changing government spending, taxing, or monetary policy<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A wage and price freeze is the most restrictive form of incomes policy, followed by wage and price controls, guidelines and guideposts, and, finally, jawboning <strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EVALUATION OF INCOMES POLICIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supporters of wage-price policies point principally to their impression that market shares in many important markets in the US are so concentrated that pricing decisions made within these &#8220;monopolistic&#8221; industries are not in the public interest<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Properly administered controls presumably will make the behavior of these firms more compatible with the interests of society.<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic attempts to expand profits are thought to cause price hikes that translate into supply-side inflation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Proponents also argue that when the major underlying cause of continuing inflation is the inflationary expectation of workers and firms, controls can reduce both these expectations and the basic rate of inflation<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Opponents cite the 1971 to 1973 wage and price controls for evidence that controls do not work<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Opponents contend that controls actually create the worst kind of expectation-the expectation that when the controls are lifted, prices will rise more rapidly than before the restraints were instituted<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Critics maintain that artificial wage and price restraints warp market signals and lead to widespread shortages<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Distortions are greater the tighter controls are or the longer they are in effect.  Price signals to reallocate production from less desired to more desired items get lost in the shuffle because they are masked by controls<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Incomes policies will fail to hold the economy together for any longer than the very short run<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 20. ELASTICITY<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><br />
				</span></strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. ELASTICITY AND RESPONSIVENESS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The concept of elasticity provides a systematic way to estimate how one variable responds to changes in some other variable<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., How much less of demand if prices go up? <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Elasticity</strong></span> measures the proportional responsiveness of one variable with respect to changes in another<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If X influences Y, then the elasticity of Y with respect to X = (∆Y/Y)/(∆X/X)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The elasticity is useful whenever variables are systematically related<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. THE PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price Elasticity of Demand is a measure of the proportional change in units purchased when price is <span style="text-decoration:underline;">changed by a given small proportion</span><strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">e<sub>d ~ </sub>Percentage Change in Q<sub>d</sub>/ Percentage Change in P<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;">   =   %∆ Q<sub>d </sub>/ %∆P = (∆ Q<sub>d</sub> / Q<sub>d</sub>) / (∆P / P) = (∆ Q<sub>d</sub> / ∆P) / (P / Q<sub>d</sub>)<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;">    Here, P = Initial Price, Q<sub>d</sub> = Initial Quantity, and e<sub>d</sub> is elasticity coefficient<br />
</span></p>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If both changes are quite small, this roughly equals the percentage change in quantity divided by the percentage change in price<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Calculations of the price elasticity of demand always yield negative numbers because if price is increased, quantity demanded falls, and vise versa<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To simply things, economists conventionally use the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Absolute Value</strong></span> of price elasticity.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">e<sub>d </sub>= l (∆ Q<sub>d</sub> / ∆P) / (P / Q<sub>d</sub>) l<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PROBLEM OF BASES AND PERCENTAGES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Calculations using the percentage formula depend on whether prices rise or fall (Even though all values are the same, we will get two different e<sub>d</sub> depending on whether prices rise or fall) <strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The basic problem results from a standard practice in math courses of using initial values as bases to calculate percentage changes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Percentage changes computed this way ma create substantial ambiguity<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;text-decoration:underline;">Thus, when prices or quantities change drastically, <strong>Arc Elasticity</strong> is used by using the midpoints of changed in prices and quantities.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">e<sub>d </sub>= l (Q<sub>n </sub>– Q<sub>o</sub> / (Q<sub>n </sub>+ Q<sub>o</sub>)/2 / (P<sub>n </sub>– P<sub>o</sub> / (P<sub>n +</sub> P<sub>o</sub>)/2) l<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;">Here Q<sub>o</sub> and P<sub>o </sub>refer to initial quantity and price while Q<sub>n</sub> and P<sub>n</sub> refer to new quantity and price<br />
</span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RANGES OF ELASTICITY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Inelastic</strong></span> if the absolute value of the elasticity coefficient is less than 1.0<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price changes are proportionally greater than the resulting quantity changes for goods with inelastic demands<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Goods with an inelastic demand are products where the amounts you demand are substantially immune to price changes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Elastic</strong></span> if the absolute value of the elasticity coefficient exceeds 1.0<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Many consumers are willing to change elastically demanded goods if their prices rise significantly<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The demand for any specific brand will be more elastic than the overall demand for the product itself<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., Pepsi vs. coal<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Elasticity is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Dimensionless</strong></span>, which means that units of measure do not bias results because units of measurement affect slope<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ELASTICITY AND TOTAL REVENUE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price elasticities of demand are guides to what will happen to <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Total Revenue</strong></span> if prices change slightly.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Total Revenue (TR) = The Price Charged (P) times the Quantity Sold (Q)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the demand is inelastic, then when prices fall, the increase in quantity will be relatively less than the decrease in price and total revenue will fall<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If demand is elastic and price falls, then revenue rises because quantity grows relatively far more than price falls<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Perfectly Elastic Demand</strong></span> curves have price elasticities of infinity and are horizontal<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Attempts by one firm to raise the price even slightly above the market price will chase all potential buyers to other firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Since price will not vary from a fixed point, the firm&#8217;s total revenue is exactly proportional to its output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Perfectly Inelastic Demand</strong></span> curves would have zero elasticity and be vertical<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The firm&#8217;s total revenue would be exactly proportional to the price charged<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Zero price elasticity implies not only a total lack of substitutes for the good , but also that consumers could and would pay any price to receive a specific quantity of it.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Unitarily Elastic Demand</strong></span> curves occurs when the elasticity coefficient equal one, so total revenue from the good is unaffected by a change in price<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Total spending on a good does not vary with the price charged<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the price elasticity of demand for a product is greater than zero but less than one, the demand curve is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Relatively Inelastic</strong></span>.<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists sometimes shorten this to <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Inelastic</strong></span>.<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A firm facing a demand curve with price elasticity of one or less always finds it profitable to raise the product&#8217;s price because revenue will rise, and as output and unit sold fall, total production costs will decline<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the price elasticity is greater than one but less than infinity, the demand for the product is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Relatively Elastic</strong></span>, or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Elastic</strong></span>.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price elasticities of demand are important<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To firms since they indicate what will happened to sales revenues when price are raised or lowered<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">To consumers since they reflect how desperately buyers want particular goods and how the composition of consumer budget will change as relative prices change<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<div style="margin-left:135pt;">
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;" border="0">
<col>
<col>
<col>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr style="height:17px;">
<td rowspan="2" vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:solid 1.5pt;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid black 1pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Price Elasticity of Demand</span> </p>
</td>
<td colspan="2" vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:solid 1.5pt;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">How Total Revenue Change</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:18px;">
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid 1.5pt;border-right:solid 0.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Price Increases</span> </p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 1.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Price Decrease</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:21px;">
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Perfectly Inelastic (∆e<sub>d</sub> = 0)</span></p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 0.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Increase</span> </p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Decrease</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:21px;">
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Inelastic (0 &lt; ∆e<sub>d</sub> &lt; 1)</span></p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 0.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Increase</span> </p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Decrease</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:21px;">
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Unitarily Elastic (∆e<sub>d</sub> = 1)</span></p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 0.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">No Change in TR</span> </p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">No Change in TR</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:21px;">
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Elastic (∞ &gt; ∆e<sub>d</sub> &gt; 1)</span></p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 0.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Decrease</span> </p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 0.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Increase</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:22px;">
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:solid 1.5pt;border-bottom:solid 1.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">Perfectly Elastic (∆e<sub>d</sub> = ∞)</span></p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 1.5pt;border-right:solid 0.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR falls to Zero</span></p>
</td>
<td vAlign="middle" style="padding-left:7px;padding-right:7px;border-top:none;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid 1.5pt;border-right:solid 1.5pt;">
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;">TR Decrease</span> </p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<p style="margin-left:72pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ELASTICITY ALONG A DEMAND CURVE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Constant elasticities of demand are rare<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The linear demand curve does not have a constant price elasticity<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price elasticities of demand tend to rise as higher and higher prices are changed<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DITERMINANTS OF ELASTICITY OF DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major determinants of elasticities of demand include<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Substitutes<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number, quality, and availability<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number of substitutes available is the dominant influence<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The proportion an item absorbs from a typical budge<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Period allowed for adjustments to price change (Time)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Elasticity generally rises as longer intervals are considered, because as time elapses, more substitutes become feasible<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Elasticities are measured for a specific period for this reason<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some goods requires substantial time for consumption<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OTHER  ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Income Elasticity of Demand</strong></span> for a good measures the proportional change in the quantity demanded resulting from a given small proportional change in income<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising income stimulate purchases of all <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Normal Goods</strong></span> (income elasticities are positive)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Purchase of <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Inferior Goods</strong></span> decline as income rises, and their income elasticities are negative<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Cross Price Elasticity of Demand</strong></span> estimates the proportional change in the quantity of one good demanded when the price of another related good is changed<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When cross price elasticities of demand are positive, the items in questions are <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Substitute Goods</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sets of goods for which cross price elasticity of demand is negative are <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Complementary Goods</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. THE PRICE ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Elasticity of Supply</strong></span> measures the responsiveness of quantity supplied to change in price<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price elasticities of supply are typically positive because supply curves slope up<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The formula for this elasticity is the same as price elasticities of demand<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If extending the supply curve of a good would result in an intersection with the vertical price axis, the amount of the good supplied is highly responsive to its price<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When the elasticity of supply exceeds one (1), then the supply curve is relative elastic<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If a supply curve is horizontal, then the elasticity of supply is infinity and supply is perfectly price elastic<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Buyers can demand any amounts of these goods without affecting the price at all<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If extending the supply curve would result in intersection with the quantity axis, the amount of a good supplied is comparatively unresponsive to its price.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Perfectly inelastic supplies look just like perfectly inelastic demands and that perfectly elastic demands and supplies also appear to be identical <strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUPPLY ELASTICITIES AND TIME<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Longer periods enable firms to make more of a good available<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supplies respond more strongly to price changes as time elapses because the ranges of feasible adjustment grow<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The price elasticity of supply is also positively related to the time interval considered<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. ELASTICITY AND TAX BURDEN<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUPPLY ELASTICITIES AND TIME<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Incidence</strong></span> of taxation (or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Tax Burden</strong></span>) falls on the person who suffers reduced purchasing power because of the tax<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax Forward Shifting: A tax passed on to the consumer in the form of higher price<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes will be 100% forward shifted when<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand is perfectly inelastic or<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply is perfectly elastic <strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax Backward Shifting: A tax burdens are borne by sellers in the form of lower price<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes will be 100% backward shifted when<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Demand is perfectly elastic or<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply is perfectly inelastic<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The greater the elasticity of market demands relative to the elasticity of market supply, the greater the backward shifting of any tax burden.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The smaller the ratio (elasticity of demand / elasticity of supply), the greater the forward shifting of the tax burden<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Governments are fond of taxes on inelastically demanded goods (tobacco, alcohol, and energy) or inelastically supplied resources (property): such taxes maximize government revenue because they have little effect on quantity consumed<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">After adjusting for taxes, the quantity demanded at the total price paid by the buyer must equal the quantity supplied at the net price received  by the seller; neither excess demands (shortages) nor excess supplies (surpluses) can exist<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 21. CONSUMER CHOICE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. COMMODITIES AND SERVICES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Goods can be distinguished by its use<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Consumer Goods</strong></span> directly enhance satisfaction and include most ordinary objects of everyday use<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Capital Goods</strong></span> include machines and other produced resources that benefit us less directly by generating consumer goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All goods are ultimately reducible to services<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Development of a consumer theory to explain how individuals select among service-producing goods begins with a look at the concept of utility<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. UTILITY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Utilitarianism</strong></span> is the idea that the pleasure or pain from any activity respectively adds or detracts from a person&#8217;s utility, or satisfaction<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Modern economics rejects direct utility measures because<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most of us cannot specify our preferences more precisely than by a rank order of possible bundles of goods and<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Satisfaction is not scientifically comparable between individuals<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TOTAL AND MARGINAL UTILITY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Utility (MU)</strong></span> is the gain in satisfaction derived through the consumption of one additional unit of a good<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Total Utility</strong></span> is the sum of the marginal utilities for each goods you consume<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE LAW OF DIMINISHING MARGINAL UTILITY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility:</strong></span> The marginal utility from consuming equal units of a good eventually declines as the amount consumed increases<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. CONSUMER EQUILIBRIUM AND DEMAND<br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Individuals try to maximize their satisfaction, and firms try to maximize their profits.  These types of optimization require minimizing costs incurred in accomplishing any given task.  The following concept governs all optimization processes<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Marginal Advantage</strong></span> requires equivalent goods or similar resources to be allocated in equally advantageous ways at the margin<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">You settle into a stable consumption pattern only when the last dollar spent on any good yields satisfaction equal to that gained from the last dollar spent on any other good<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Similar <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Adjustments</strong></span> span al economic decision-making<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Whenever equivalent resources are not used to equal advantage, there is economic inefficiency<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BALANCING MARGINAL UTILTIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Principle of Equal Marginal Utilities Per Dollar:</strong></span> A consumer maximize utility when the last dollar spent on any good generates the same satisfaction as the last dollar spent on every other good<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Satisfaction from the last spending on a good is calculated by dividing its marginal utility by its price<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A corollary of the principle of equal marginal utilities per dollar is that consumer equilibrium requires that marginal benefits from every good are proportional to their relative market price<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRICE ADJUSTMENTS AND MARGINAL UTILITIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The higher-priced goods you buy uniformly generate more marginal utility than your lower-priced purchases: the more you pay for a good, the more it is worth to you at the margin<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">You are in equilibrium when the marginal utilities per dollar are equal for all goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EFFECTS OF PRICE CHANGES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Substitution Effect</strong></span> is that portion of the change in quantity demanded due solely to a change in relative prices<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Substitution is the primary cause of negative slopes along demand curves<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It is always advantageous to substitute away from goods that become relatively more costly and to expand uses for good that become cheaper<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Income Effects</strong></span> are adjustments people make because the purchasing power of a given income is altered when prices changes<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The income effect is negative for inferior goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CONSUMER SURPLUS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Consumer Surplus</strong></span> is the difference between the amounts people would willingly pay for various amounts of specific good and the amount they do pay at market prices<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This is roughly the area below the demand curve but above the price line, assuming that income effects are trivial<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PARADOX OF VALUE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Paradox of Value</strong></span> addresses why absolute necessities such as water are valued (priced) so cheaply, while frivolities like diamonds are highly valued and command outrageous prices<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">It arises from difficulties in distinguishing between total utility and marginal utility<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Water yields an enormous consumer surplus<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The total utility of water is substantially higher than its marginal utility and price, while the total utility of diamonds is close to their marginal utility and price<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, marginal utility, not total utility, determines the value and market price of individual products<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. INFORMATION AND RATIONAL CHOICE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>GOODS AS BUNDLES OF ATTRIBUTES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumer theory has been expanded recently to consider every goods as embodying a variety of utility-relevant characteristics, or<strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"> Attributes</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>UNCERTAINTY AND IMPERFECT INFORMATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rational Ignorance</strong></span> occurs because people seek information only as long as their expected benefit exceeds their expected cost.  Thus, consumers choose to be rationally ignorant of much information<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE BEWILDERING MAZE OF CHOICES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One result of having many choices and constant flux in markets is that the additional information required for wise consumer decision is costly<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>QUALITY AND PRICES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The price people are willing to pay is positively related to the perceived quality of a good or resources is not a secret<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In many instances, prices exceeding the minimums necessary reflect attempts to ensure that suppliers help buyers avoid mistakes in contending with uncertainty and imperfect information<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Asymmetric Information</strong></span> occurs when people have different levels of knowledge about a bargaining situation<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">There are two major groups; moral hazard and adverse selection<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MORAL HAZARD<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Moral Hazard</strong></span> occurs when on party to a contract can unexpectedly raise the costs or lower the benefits of the other party, who cannot perfectly monitor or control the first party&#8217;s actions<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Moral hazard arise because choices tend to reflect personal costs and benefits; the effects on others are, at most, secondary consideration<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Opportunistic behavior after an arrangement is made is most severe if parties to a contract do not anticipate its renewal<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Moral hazard is less important if both parties expect future agreements<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ADVERSE SELECTION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Adverse Section</strong></span> occurs when one bargaining party ultimately suffers unexpected disadvantages because the other party conceals information prior to a contract<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The problem of adverse selection is a major reason for laws that forbid fraud, and a common rule of law is that ambiguity in a contract will be interpreted against the party who wrote the agreement<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Adverse selection and moral hazard are most significant in markets dominated by onetime transaction<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 22. THEORY OF THE FIRM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms coordinate team production to<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reduce transaction costs and<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Exploit economies of scale<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. MODERN BUSINESS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Firms</strong></span> are specialized organizations that buy resources from households and other firms to produce goods or services for sale to customers<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Activities once operated by government are increasingly being privatized throughout the world<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRODUCTION    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Production</strong></span> transforms inputs into outputs (products or services) that are more valuable in form, place, possession, or time<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Input</strong></span>: Resources that enter a production process<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Output</strong></span>: The transformed materials and services<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">&#8220;More valuable&#8221; means that the goods ultimately generate greater consumer utility<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE SHORT RUN AND THE LONG RUN<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Short Run</strong></span> is a period during which the amount of at least one resource is fixed and firms can neither enter nor exit a market<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms will face some costs that cannot be avoided even if the firm produces no output at all<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Long run</strong></span> is a period of sufficient duration for all feasible resource adjustments to any event to be completed, including entry into and exit from the market<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PLANTS, FIRMS, AND INDUSTRIES    <br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Plants,</strong></span> which are production facilities ranging in size<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Multiplant</strong></span> firms operate more than one plant<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Diversified</strong></span> firms produce several types of gods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Conglomerates</strong></span> giant, multiproduct firms that operate plants in several industries<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">An <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Industry</strong></span> is composed of all firms competing in the same market<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Horizontally Integrated</span><br />
								</strong>firms are those operate at a number of sites using similar methods to produce the same goods and service<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Vertically Integrated</span><br />
								</strong>firms are those who operate at different levels within an industry<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. WHY DO FIRMS EXIST?<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms exist because they are efficient<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms can produce existing goods more efficiently or innovate new goods only if entrepreneurs recognize opportunities in the marketplace and then act<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The unique role defining an <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Entrepreneur</strong></span> is the establishment of a firms that, with luck, generates profit<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">To success, a firm&#8217;s production and management teams must<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reduce transaction costs and<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Exploit economies of scale and scope<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>REDUCING TRANSACTION COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Transaction costs shrink consumers&#8217; purchasing power and resource suppliers&#8217; incomes<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Intermediaries reduce transaction cost and virtually all firms are intermediaries<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIES OF SCALE AND SCOPE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specialization and the division of labor are at the heart of modern production<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economies of Scale</strong></span> in production or distribution occur when average costs decline in the long run as a firm expands its productive and distributive capacity<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economies of Scope</strong></span> occur when a firm realized lower costs by producing or distributing multiple products which utilize the same technologies or marketing and distribution networks<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. LEGAL FORMS OF BUSINESS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOLE PROPRIETORSHIP<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Sole Proprietorship</strong></span> is a firm owned and operated by one individuals<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Advantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Easy to organize<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Simple to control<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Offer freedom of operation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Not subject to much government regulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disadvantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Difficult to acquire funds for expansion<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Lacks permanence<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subject to unlimited liability<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Makes owner perform all management functions<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PARTNERSHIPS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Partnerships</strong></span> are businesses formed by two or more people combining their resources<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Advantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Easy to organize<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Makes greater specialization of management possible<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Makes securing financial resources easier than in sole proprietorship (pooling of funds)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subject to limited regulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disadvantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prone to disagreement by division of ownership<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ends automatically with death or withdrawal of one partner<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subject to unlimited liability<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subject to limited financial resources<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CORPORATIONS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Corporations</strong></span> are firm sanctioned by state laws and considered legal entities separate and distinct from their owners<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Advantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Capable of raising large amounts of capital through sales of stocks and bond<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Limits liabilities of stockholders<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Stable and permanent, a legal entity (person) all its own<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Allows employment of specialized management personnel<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Disadvantages<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subject to considerable government regulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Burdened by heavy taxes and organizing costs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subject to double taxation of corporate income and dividends<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Separates ownership and control (principal-agent problems)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OTHER FORMS OF ENTERPRISE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Producer Cooperatives</strong></span> share profits from marketing such things as handicrafts or farm outputs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Consumer Cooperatives </strong></span>share savings achieved by buying in quantity<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Nonprofit Corporation</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Closely Held Corporations </strong></span>and <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Limited Partnerships</strong></span> are intended to secure tax advantages and limited liability for family-owned business or partnership<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Professional Corporations </strong></span>are treated as corporations for tax purposes but do not allow for unlimited liability<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. FIANCING BUSINESS OPERATIONS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Financial Intermediaries</strong></span> channels people&#8217;s saving to investors in economic capital<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Commercial banks, insurance companies, and stockbrokers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The ultimate capital suppliers in our economy are savers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SELF-FINANCING AND RETAINED EARNINGS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Corporate growth may also be financed by <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Retained Earnings</strong></span>, that is, after-tax income that is not distributed as dividends to stockholders<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COMMON STOCK<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Common Stock</strong></span> provides holders with shares of ownership in a corporation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Dividends</strong></span>: The shares of corporate profits distributed to stockholders are call<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Capital Gains (or Loss)</strong></span>: Increase or decrease of market values of stocks realized by stockholders<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Initial Offering</strong></span> of a stock raises funds for business firms, but most stock transaction occur in the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Secondary Market</strong></span>, in which stockholders rather than firms transfer stocks to other financial investor<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CORPORATE BONDS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bonds (corporate IOUs) are assets for their holders but liabilities for the corporations that issue them<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bonds are also transacted primarily in secondary markets<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Only the initial sale of a bond generates funds for the firm that issues it<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bondholders have legal rights to received interest payments as long as the firm operates<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">High probabilities of default by start-up companies leave only large, well-established corporations with much access to funding through bond sales<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LOANS FROM FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Venture Capital</strong></span> firms do specialize in funding new firms that develop promising business plans, most loans are made to huge, well-established firms<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. BUSINESS GOALS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PROFIT MAXIMIZATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Profit Maximization</strong></span> is the standard economic assumption used to analyze the behavior of firms<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Profit</strong></span> is a firm&#8217;s total revenue minus its total cost<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Loss </strong></span>is incurred when revenue fails to cover cost<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Costs </strong></span>of production include both explicit and implicit costs<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Explicit Costs </strong></span>requires outlays of money (Accounting costs)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Implicit Costs </strong></span>are opportunity costs of resources the firm&#8217;s owner makes available for production with no direct cash outlays (Economic costs)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economic Profit </strong></span>occurs only when a firm&#8217;s revenue exceeds all costs, including explicit and implicit costs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Psychic Income </strong></span>is an implicit revenue that refers to nonmonetary satisfaction gained from an activity<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bookkeeping profit typically overstates economic profit because bookkeeper fail to subtract implicit costs, which tend to be significant, while implicit benefits are usually small<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>NORMAL PROFITS AS PRODUCTION COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Implicit costs should be considered in production costs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic profits and losses will be zero in the long run in competitive markets because profits attract new sellers and persistent losses drive firms from the market<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OTHER BUSINESS GOALS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Executives&#8217; career ambitions and desires for job security sometimes conflict with maximizing corporate profit<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social responsible policies<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consideration for other stakeholders, including employees, the communities, and customers<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. PROBLEMS FACING BUSINESS ORGANIZATIONS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SEPARATION OF OWNERSHIP AND CONTROL<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some economists contend that unless most stockholders become restless, managers pursue goals other than maximizing profits<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PRINCIPAL-AGENT PROBLEM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Principal-Agent Problem</strong></span> arises when the agent pursues personal goals that conflict with the principal&#8217;s contractual rights and cause inefficiency<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This may arise when maximizing a firm&#8217;s profit conflicts with the self-interests of business decision-makers<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Specialization and the complexity of everyday life lead to countless situations where one party, a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Principal (Company)</strong></span>, contracts with another, an <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Agent (Employees)</strong></span>, in expectation that the agent will serve the principal&#8217;s interest<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The principal-agent problem of <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Shirking</strong></span> occurs when workers fail to perform properly<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARKET PRESSURES AND EVOLUTION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists typically find the profit maximization goal persuasive because competition for lucrative managerial slots pressures top managers to try to maximize profits<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A key to success as an executive is to be relatively more efficient than your competitors<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The most powerful pressures for efficiency in corporate giants emerge from the market for corporate control<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">John Kenneth Galbraith rejects economic theories that stress competitive markets and goal of profit maximization argues that giant corporations<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dominate economic activity because small competitive firms cannot afford the modern technologies required for efficient economies of scale and scope<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Are controlled by corporate managers who seek maximum power and pay for themselves instead of maximum profits for stockholders<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tend to corrupt government policies to help consolidate managerial power and achieve managers&#8217; goals rather than the public interest<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Use extensive advertising to avoid meaningful competition<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 23. PRODUCTION AND COSTS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Production Functions (q)</strong></span> summarized relationships between combinations of inputs and the maximum outputs that each combination can produce<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">q = f(K, L)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">q = Output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">K = Capital services used per production period<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">L = Labor services used per production period<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A firm can vary all productive resources in the long run, but at least one resource is fixed in the short run<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. PRODUCTION IN THE SHORT RUN<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most firms can vary labor more easily than any other basic resource<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Eventually, however, the gains from specialization will be overwhelmed as the law of diminishing marginal returns comes into play, and each extra worker adds less than the preceding worker did to total production<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARGINAL AND AVERAGE PHYSICAL PRODUCTS OF LABOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The total production curves and production functions are not the same thing<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A production function allows all inputs to vary<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, the total product curve assumes that only one input changes<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Average Physical Product of Labor (APP<sub>L</sub></strong></span>) equals total output divided by labor (q/L)<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Physical Product of Labor (MPP<sub>L</sub>)</strong></span> is the additional output produced by an additional unit of labor, computed by dividing the change in total output(∆q) by the change in labor (∆L) = ∆q/∆L<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In most cases, each worker&#8217;s MPP<sub>L</sub> is will be higher as the amount of other resources used rise<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The MPP<sub>L</sub>  is calculated by looking at small changes in labor hired the resulting changes in output<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE SHORT-RUN LAW OF DIMINISHING MARGINAL RETURNS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns</strong></span> occurs when equal increases of variable resources are successively added to some fixed resources; marginal physical products eventually decline<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The fixity of at least one resources in the short run makes diminishing marginal returns unavoidable; not all resources can be varied proportionally, so capital and land per worker fall as more workers are hired, inevitable leading to diminishing additions of output as extra labor is hired<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. SHORT-RUN PRODUCTION COST<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Total Production Cost (TC) = Total Fixed Costs (TFC) + Total Variable Costs (TVC)<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">TFC is also called overhead<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">TVC is also called direct costs or operating costs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FIXED COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Fixed Costs (Historical or Sunk Costs)</strong></span> are the sum of all short-run costs that are not related to the level of output<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fixed costs have no bearing on rational decisions about how much to produce, how much to charge for your input<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Since they are fixed, there is a sense in which no alternative exists, so the opportunity costs of fixed resources are zero, at least in the short run<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>VARIALBE COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Variable Costs</strong></span> are cost incurred when a firm produces, which vary with the level of productions<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any costs incurred only when a firm produces<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Labor is the only variable resources in the short run<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>AVERAGE COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Average Total Costs (Unit Cost </strong></span>or<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong> Average Cost)</strong></span> equal total costs divided by output (TC/q)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Average Fixed Cost (AFC)</strong></span> is the fixed cost per unit of output (TFC/q)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Total fixed costs are constant, so, as output increases, fixed costs per unit of output decline, a process that many managers describes as spreading overhead through high volume<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Average Variable Cost (AVC) </strong></span>is the variable cost per unit (TVC/q)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As output grows, the AVC initially tends to fall<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, eventually, diminishing marginal returns will drive up average variable costs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARGINAL COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Cost (MC)</strong></span> is the change in total cost associated with producing an additional unit of output<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fixed cost does not depend on the output level<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, producing an extra unit of output incurs marginal cost that equals either<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The change in the total cost or<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The change in the total variable cost<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Graphically Summing Average Costs<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">As output increase, difference between the AVC and ATC curves shrink<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The ATC and AVC converge, because their vertical differences equal AFC, which falls as output rises<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. COSTS IN THE LONG RUN<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The long run allows a firm to completely adjust all resources and cost<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fixed costs eventually become variable because no resource is fixed in the long run<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LEAST COST PRODUCTION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Principle of Equal Marginal Productivities per Dollar</strong></span>: Marginal Physical Product of Resources must be proportional to their Prices<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">MPP<sub>L</sub> / w = MPP<sub>K</sub> / I = MPP<sub>N</sub> / n = …..<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">w = Wage<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">MPP<sub>K</sub> = The marginal physical product of capital<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i = Interest<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">MPP<sub>N</sub><strong> = </strong>The marginal physical product of land<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">n = The rental rate for land<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Least Cost Production</strong></span> in the long run entails adjustments until this principle of equal marginal productivities per dollar is met<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Resources are not only substitute for one another.  Rather, resources may also be complements in production<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LONG-RUN AVERAGE COSTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Long-Run Average Total Cost (LRATC)</strong></span> curve reflects the plant size than allows the minimum possible short-run average costs to produce each possible level of output<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">LRATC curves falls as output rises and then increases as output rises further<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIES AND DISECONOMIES OF SCALE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economies of Scale </strong></span> exists when long-run average costs decline as output rises<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Gains from specialization may expand output more than proportionally as the scale of operation grows from some small level.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">These advantages give rise to economies of scale, causing average production costs to fall<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Diseconomies of Scale </strong></span>occurs in the range where long-run average costs rise with increases in output<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When diseconomies are encountered, reducing the scale of operations allows production at lower average costs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Reasons for diseconomies of scale<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Limitations of efficient management<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Vertically hierarchies require decision-making at many different levels.  The principal-agent problem becomes pervasive because monitoring performance is increasingly difficult<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIES OF SCOPE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Economies of Scope</strong></span> occur when one firm produces or distributes several different products that share the same production facility or input<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economies of scope eventually face the same managerial control problems common to economies of scale<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MEASURING LONG-RUN AVERAGE COST<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any firm that fails to exploit economies of scale will have higher average costs than those of competing firms that do; firms that are too small for efficient operation must either grow or fail<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Bigger plants may encounter diseconomies of scale and be forced to reduce the scope of their operations or sink<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sometimes big firms are simply too large to be efficient<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Survival Principle</strong></span> suggest that clustering within an industry of firms or plants of a particular size is conclusive evidence about the efficient scale of operations<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Critics argue that survival depends on a multitude of factor (luck, monopoly power, business acumen, growth or decline of an industry) and, thus, that some inefficient firms may survive, while some efficient firms fail<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Minimum Efficient Scale (MES</strong></span>) plants are the smallest that will produce output at minimum average total cost<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">MES is reported as a percentage of the total market<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Technological Change</strong></span> increases output from a given set of resources or allows distribution of previously unknown goods<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Technological change takes two basic forms<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Improvements to nonhuman resources or<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">New knowledge about how to combine resources<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 24. THE COMPETITIVE IDEAL<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. MARKET STRUCTURES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Factors that define the intensity of competition within an industry<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number of firms in the industry<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The nature of the product itself<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The significant of entry barriers<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The extent to which individual firms can control prices<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. THE WORLD OF PURE COMPETITION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Pure Competition</strong></span> requires that<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Potential buyers and sellers are numerous and each is so small relative to the market that individual decisions about purchases or output do not noticeably affect market demand or supply, nor, consequently, do individual decision affect the market price<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Takers</strong></span> are buyers and seller who are so small relative to a market that the effects of their transactions are inconsequential for market prices<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Buyers or seller have not choice but to accept the price set in the market<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Individual competitive buyers view the supply curves facing them as perfectly elastic (horizontal) at the current market price<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Similarly, competitive seller perceive the demand curves they face as horizontal at the market price<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms in the industry produce a homogeneous (standardized) goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Barrier to entry or exit are insignificant in the long run; new firms are free to enter the industry if doing so appears profitable or exit if they anticipate losses<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COMPETITION VS. RIVALRY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competitive price setting occurs  for basic farm product, raw materials, primary products, and precious metals roughly 240 business days each year at commodity exchanges in major cities around the globe<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market prices are set for these commodities in an auction environment by the bids and offers of thousands of buyers and sellers or their broker representatives<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Purely competitive firms decide what amounts of output to produce and sell at current prices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Purely competitive firms compete in one dimension: technically efficient production<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Freedom of Entry and Exit</strong></span> means, in the long run, firms can enter an industry with no cost disadvantages relative to established firms, and established firms can costlessly transfer resources to other industries<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. SHORT-RUN COMPETITIVE PRICING AND OUTPUT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TOTAL REVENUE – TOTAL COST APPROACH<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The simplest explanation of short run profit maximization is the total revenue minus total (TR – TC) approach<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A pure competitor is a price taker, so how much to produce is its major decision<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Break-Even</strong></span> or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Normal Profit Point</strong></span> occurs where total revenue = total cost; economic profit is zero<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two aspects of profit maximization, regardless of market structure<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Total revenue minus total cost approach<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Marginal cost equals marginal revenue (MC = MR) approach<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">These two approaches yield mathematically identical results, but they arrive at profit maximization by different routes and provide different insights<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARGIANL REVENUE = MARGINAL COST APPROACH<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Revenue</strong></span> is the increase in total revenue from selling one more unit<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For a purely competitive firm of the commodity, marginal revenue equal price (MR = P)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Revenue = Marginal Cost Rule</strong></span>: All profit-maximizing firms produce and sell an extra unit of output only if marginal revenue is at least as great as marginal cost<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price and marginal revenue are identical in pure competition, so a profit-maximizing pure competitor produces where marginal cost equal price: P = MR = MC<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All profit-maximizing firms produce and sell until marginal cost just equals the marginal revenue (MR = MC+ derived from the sale of the good<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The lowest break-even or normal profit price in a competitive industry occurs when the demand curve facing each individual firms (the price line) is tangent to the minimum point of the firm&#8217;s average cost curve<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Zero economic profit means the firm generates positive accounting profits just sufficient to keep the firm&#8217;s owners satisfied<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">One of two choices must be made if sales revenues cannot cover all cost.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The firm will experience losses if it elects to produce and sell output<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If the firm shuts down, however, in incurs losses equal to fixed costs.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A firm will be ahead by closing its doors if the price of a good fails to cover its average <span style="text-decoration:underline;">variable</span> cost.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Shutdown-Point</strong></span>: Profit-maximizing (and loss-minimizing) firms shut down when the market price falls below the minimum point of the average <span style="text-decoration:underline;">variable</span> curve<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Profit can be realized if the demand curve (price line) facing a firm intersects its ATC curve<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHORT-RUN SUPPLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A pure competitor&#8217;s <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Short-Run Supply Curve </strong></span>is the segment of the marginal cost curve that lies above the minimum point of the firm&#8217;s average variable cost curve<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A competitive firm&#8217;s marginal curve is also its short-run supply curve as long as price exceeds the minim point of the average variable cost curve<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Whenever the price exceeds the shutdown point (the minimum AVC), the firm minimizes losses or maximize profit by supply the amount of output where P = MR = MC.  This is a firm&#8217;s short-run supply response<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If price falls below minimum average variable cost, marginal costs and marginal revenue become irrelevant; the firm&#8217;s best move is to close its plant and suffer losses equal to fixed costs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Short-Run Industry Supply Curve </strong></span>is the horizontal sum of the supply curves of all firms in a purely competitive industry<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply responses are classified as occurring in<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Market (immediate) period<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Short run (SR)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Long run (LR)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The more time an industry has to adapt to changes in demands, the greater are quantity adjustments and the smaller are price adjustments<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, the market elasticity of supply is positively related to the time allowed for an industry to adjust<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supply is purely inelastic because neither resources nor inventories can be adjusted<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Supplies are somewhat elastic in the short run and even more elastic in the long run<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENTS IN PURELY COMPETITIVE INDUSTRIES<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIC PROFITS AS MARKET SIGNALS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic profit ultimately self-destructs by attracting new competitors into the industry<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic profits are a surplus after all implicit and explicit costs of production are subtracted from total revenue<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic losses push a firm&#8217;s owners into moving their resources into other activities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If revenues exceed all costs, a firm may try to expand in an attempt to capture as much economic profit as possible<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PROCESS OF COMPETITION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social gains from competition depend heavily on freedom to enter or exit markets as firms seek profits or try to avoid loss<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If typical firms make zero economic profit and all else being equal<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">There will be no long-run changes in the number of firms in the industry<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The amount of output supplies, or the price of the good<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All costs are covered, that is, the firm&#8217;s resources cannot be used more advantageously elsewhere<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Zero</strong></span>, or <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Normal, Economic Profit </strong></span>is a long-run equilibrium condition for firms in a competitive industry.  The output, price, and number of firms in the industry will all be stable.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In a long-run equilibrium no pure competitor will want to<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Change its output since price equals marginal cost (P = MC)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Change its plant size, since short-run average total cost equals long-run average total cost (SRATC = LRATC)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Enter or leave the industry, since price equals long-run average total cost (P = LRATC)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price changes eliminate economic profits or losses<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If firms in an industry ear positive economic profits<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Existing firms try to capture greater profits by expanding capacity and output<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Entrepreneurs outside the industry also have incentives to enter these markets in the long run<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Both types of adjustments increase an industry&#8217;s output, reducing prices because consumers will increase their purchases only if prices decline<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If most firms in an industry experience economic losses<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some will cut their production<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the long run the firms with the highest opportunity costs will leave the industry<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, the long-run effects of economic losses are that the industry&#8217;s supply will decline and prices will rise<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">How profits or losses affect costs<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competition will grow for the resources used by a profitable industry<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Resources costs will rise as production in an industry rises, however, to the extent that some resources are especially suited for certain industries and not others<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Costs rise to reduce profits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM IN A PURELY COMPETITIVE INDUSTRY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">At the ends of periods with economic losses or profits, why does profit settle at normal levels (zero economic profits)?<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competitive theory presumes that entry and exit are virtually costless, so the logical stopping point occurs when each firm in the industry earns only normal profits<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Only then will there be no net incentive for firms to enter or leave the industry<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Another important result of long-run competitive adjustments is that all firms in the industry are force to adopt the most efficient technology available<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Outputs in competitive markets will be produced at the lowest possible long-run average total cost<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LONG-RUN INDUSTRY SUPPLY CURVES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Horizontal summation of existing firms&#8217; short-run supply curves yields the short-run industry supply curve<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Long-Run Industry Supply Curves</strong></span> reflect the effects on output as entry and exit occur in response to changes in demand<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The industry is in long-run equilibrium only after all desired entries and exits have occurred so that active firms realize only normal profits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Long-run industry supply curves can take three general forms<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Constant costs<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Constant Cost Industry</strong></span>, average production costs are unaffected if the market demand shifts and the number of firms in the industry changes<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The long-run supply curve for a constant cost industry is perfectly elastic<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increasing costs<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In an <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Increasing Cost Industry</strong></span>, average production costs rise as market demand and the number of firms in the industry grow<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising equilibrium costs and prices yield a positively sloped long-run supply (LRS) curve<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising costs cause fewer firms to enter the industry than would enter constant cost industries experiencing similar growth of demand<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decreasing costs<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ina <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Decreasing Cost Industry</strong></span>, average production costs falls as market demand and the number of firms in the industry grow<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In a decreasing cost industry, growing demand yields lower equilibrium prices as an industry&#8217;s output expands<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, most industries eventually encounter increasing costs, so growing demand yields higher prices in the long run<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. EVALUATING COMPETITIVE MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some important points useful in evaluating competition<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pure competition is characterized by freedom of entry and exit by firms that are price takers and quantity adjusters<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A pure competitor maximizes profit or minimizes loss by producing the level of output that equates prices, marginal revenues, and marginal cost (P = MR = MC)<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the long run, pure competitors use the most efficient technology available, and MC = P.  This will also be the minimum point on the LRATC curve, because the long-run dynamics of entry and exit drive economic profits to zero regardless of whether the industry is characterized by constant, increasing, or decreasing costs<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the long run P = MR =  MC = SRATC = LRATC and profits will be normal levels, or zero economic profits<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Social Costs (MSC):</strong></span> the value to society of the resources used to produce one more unit of a good<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One aspect of economic efficiency is that all goods must be produced at their lowest possible opportunity cost (technological efficiency).  Competition meets this requirement by ensuring productions at minimal LRATC.<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Allocative Efficiency</strong></span> requires the mix of goods produced to match consumer preferences<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competition meets the criterion because consumers get the products they want at the least opportunity cost<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOCIAL WELFARE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When we sum all consumer demands, we derive the market demand curve for an industry&#8217;s product, which is also the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Marginal Social Benefit (MSB</strong></span>) to all of society from having a bit more of the goods<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When a purely competitive industry is in long-run equilibrium, marginal social cost equal marginal social benefit and this condition is optimal from society&#8217;s point of view<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DECENTRALIZED DECISION AND FREEDOM<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most advocates of the market system point to the economic efficiency of competition as its major virtue, but prize even more the absence of any need for a central economic authority<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In a truly competitive market system, each household and firm make decisions that, in large measure, affect only themselves<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Efficiency and the absence of centralized coercion are major reasons why purely competitive markets are the ideal against which we measure industrial performance<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, competition and access to market may be very limited if technology dictates that large firms, relative to market demand, will be most efficient<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOME SHORTCOMINGS OF MARKET ECONOMIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Many industries are far from competitive due to<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Type of technology used<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consequence of illegal collusion or government policies to protect other goals<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Problems of fraud, information asymmetries, inequity in the distributions of income and wealth, or externalities that the market would not resolve in ways society deems appropriate<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 25. MONOPOLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. MONOPOLY MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Monopoly</strong></span> is a firm that is lone producer of a good for which there are no close substitutes<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolies raise the specter of concentrated power, economic inefficiency, and an inequitable income distribution<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">High barriers to preclude entry by potential competitors are essential for a successful monopoly to be maintained across time<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARKET POWER<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Market Power</strong></span> is a firm&#8217;s ability to alter the price of its output because of inadequate competition or a lack of perfect substitutes for its products<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any firms with market power is a <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Price Maker</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The existence of some control on the supply side allows any firm with market power to select a price and output combination from the market demand curve<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. MONOPOLY PRICING AND OUTPUT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most monopolists can sell extra output only by cutting the price for all units sold<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Marginal revenue will equal the price a monopolist receives from selling an extra unit minus the revenue lost because prices must be reduced on all other units sold<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If expanding output requires such large price cuts that total revenue falls, the demand curve is price inelastic and marginal revenue is negative<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If output expands and prices are lowered, total revenue rises; so demand curve is elastic, because marginal revenue is positive<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Any profits-maximizing firm produces and sells additional output as long as each extra unit adds to total revenue at least as much as it adds to total cost, that is, the firm will continue to produce and sell as long as marginal revenue is greater than or equal to marginal cost<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Increase output whenever MR &gt; MC<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Decrease output whenever MR &lt; MC<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopoly does not guarantee a profit when <strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">If demands would be trivial relative to its cost<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">In this case monopolist have two options<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Leave the industry and put its capital to more profitable use or<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Try to bolster demand sufficiently to lift its operations into the black, perhaps through aggressive marketing<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In competitive markets, short-run economic profits of monopoly are eliminated because other firms enter the industry<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Alternatively, protection from the discipline of competition may allow a monopoly to operate inefficiently<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Excessive costs incurred because a firm in not hard pressed by competitors is <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">X-Inefficiency</span><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>BARRIERS TO ENTRY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Maintaining profitability when a firm has market power requires restricting the entry of other firms that would like to move into the industry<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Barriers to Entry</strong></span> are obstacles that make it less profitable or more difficult for new firms to enter an industry<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulatory Barriers<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Regulatory Barriers</strong></span> to entry are erected by government policies<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government bans on competition (1<sup>st</sup> class mail delivery to mailbox by competitors)<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Patents<strong><br />
													</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Possibility of pirating of patented products<strong><br />
														</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two to four years required<strong><br />
														</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Trademark<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Copyrights<strong><br />
													</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The modern shortcut around the cumbersome patent process<strong><br />
														</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Protect more narrowly than patents<strong><br />
														</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Fast and cheap way to protect a specific expression of an idea while waiting for the patent process to protect the idea itself<strong><br />
														</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government licensing<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Strategic Barriers<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Strategic Barriers</strong></span> raise the costs of entry and result from the policies of existing firms in an industry<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Natural Barriers<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Barriers</strong></span> to entry arise when economies of scale are substantial relative to market demands and severely limit the number of firms in an industry<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Natural Monopoly</strong></span> emerges if economies of scale permit only one firm to achieve the lowest possible average cost while serving a specific market<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. PRICE DISCRIMINATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Price Discrimination</strong></span> occurs when a good is sold at different prices that do not reflect difference in production costs<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price discrimination allows some of the monetary value of consumer surplus to be transferred from consumer to the producer<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>REQUIREMENTS FOR PRICE DISCRIMINATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price discrimination requires a firm to have market power and it must be able to<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Separate groups into submarkets with different price elasticities of demand and<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prevent low-price users from selling to high price users (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Arbitrage</strong></span>)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PROFITS FROM PRICE DISCRIMINATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Different customers are charged different prices only if this increases a firm&#8217;s profits.<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In the extreme case, a firm practicing <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Perfect Price Discrimination</strong></span> extracts from all consumers their demand prices for every unit of a good it sells<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Perfect price discrimination would enable a monopolist to truly charge everything the market will bear<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price discrimination is not present when differences in opportunity costs are reflected in the prices of similar goods<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., Peak-hour phone call charge vs. Off peak-hour phone call charge<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. COMPETITIVE VS. MONOPOLIZED MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DIFFERRENCES IN PRICES AND OUTPUT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopoly price is higher while the output is lower than for a competitive industry<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The monopolist&#8217;s marginal cost curve is not the market supply curve since a monopolist can select a price that maximize profit<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">There is no supply curve per se<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE INEFFICINECY OF MONOPOLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">At the equilibrium for a nondiscriminating monopoly, price (marginal social benefit) exceed marginal social cost<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRICE DISCRIMINATION AND EFFICIENCY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Surprisingly, price discrimination may overcome inefficiencies associated with unregulated monopoly power at the lower end of their prices<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, price discrimination is typically far from perfect<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MONOPOLY AND INEQUITY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Huge incomes are obtained by monopolists at the expenses of the general public because<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Inefficiencies from nondiscriminating monopoly behavior prevent real national income from reaching its potential<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The purchasing power of non-monopoly income is eroded<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price discrimination may overcome some inefficiency, but the income distribution tends to be made even more unequal and perhaps more inequitable<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 26. IMPERFECT COMPETITION AND STRATEGIC BEHAVIOR<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. MONOPOLY MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Oligopolies</strong></span> are industries dominated by a few firms whose decisions are strategically linked; barriers to entry tend to be significant<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Many major industries are dominated by a few firms, which individually lack the control possessed by unregulated monopolies; they must consider other firms&#8217; reactions in setting prices, production, and marketing strategy<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Oligopolists&#8217; strategies depend on their individual positions relative to those of current competitors and potential rivals<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">One modern approach to analyzing oligopoly involves modeling strategic behavior<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Strategic Behavior</strong></span> entails ascertaining what other people or firms are likely to do in a specific situation and then pursuing tactics the maximize your gain or minimize losses<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic Competition requires easy entry and exit into industries in which many potential suppliers compete vigorously with markers of close, but not perfect, substitutes for their brand-name products<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic competitors do not base decision on the anticipated individual reactions of their many competitors, so they are not mutually interdependent in the way Oligopolists are<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Product differentiation, however, gives them some control over prices<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Product Differentiation</strong></span> is the process of altering goods that serve a similar purpose so that they differ in mirror (either real or imagined) ways<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Product differentiation can provide society with a beneficial mix of goods and many signal competition in process<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Product differences can be real or illusory<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Differentiation only requires that consumers perceive differences<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms try to use product differentiation to boost the demands for their goods and shrink their price elasticities<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Successful differentiation provides a firm with market power; they become price makers.  This enables the firm to sell more product even if it raises the price<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic competition resembles pure competition in allowing easy entry or exit but differs because each firm produces a differentiated good<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic competitive industries have<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Large numbers of potential buyers and suppliers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Differentiated products that are close substitutes<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Easy entry or exit in the long run<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SHORT-RUN PRICING AND OUTPUT<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Like all firms, a monopolistic competitors would minimize losses by selling that output where marginal revenue equals marginal cost, along as the price it could set (average revenue) exceeded average variable costs<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LONG-RUN ADJUSTMENST<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Typical monopolistic competitors earn only normal profits in the long run<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Product differentiation allows the prices of comparable goods to vary in monopolistic competition, but only within a narrow range<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>RESOURCE ALLOCATION AND EFFICIENCY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Excess Capacity Theorem</strong></span>: The failure of firms that have market power to produce that output which minimizes average total cost<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic competition is both allocatively and productively inefficient<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Allocative Inefficiency</strong></span> (failure to produce the mix of goods consumers want most) is present if price exceeds marginal social cost (P &gt; MSC)<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic competition creates <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Productive Inefficiency</strong></span>: costs are not minimized<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolistic competition misallocates resources because costs, and thus prices, are higher and each firm&#8217;s output is less<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. OLIGOPOLY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MUTUAL INTERDEPENDENCE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Mutual Interdependence exists when firms consider their rival&#8217;s reactions while adjusting prices, output, or product lines<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consciousness of rival&#8217;s expected reactions to policy changes arises primarily from the fewness of firms in an oligopoly<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">&#8220;Few&#8221; depends on whether a handful of large interdependent firms consciously dominate an industry<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If firm&#8217;s decisions anticipate rivals&#8217; strategies, the industry is concentrated and oligopoly<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Success often depends on assessing rivals&#8217; response<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ORIGINS OF OLIGOPOLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some oligopoly began as monopolies, gradually becoming oligopolistic after new firms struggled to become established<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Others emerged out of a competitive environment after big firms vanquished or absorbed their rivals<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major cause of oligopoly are mergers and barriers to entry<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An industry tends toward the oligopoly mold if economies of scale are less formidable<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Strategic barriers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulatory barriers<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Mergers<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Pitfalls of mergers as a path for growth<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Top managers of takeover targets fear for their own job security<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Communities often become embroiled in merger battles when a target firm is a major employer that provides a town&#8217;s economic lifeblood<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>OLIGOPOLISTIC DECISION-MAKING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Analysis of oligopolies is complex because how firms interact depends on<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cost structure<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number of competitors<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The nature of outputs<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The personalities and perceptions of top manager<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Oligopolists often try to cooperate by boosting prices and limiting output<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Collusive</strong></span>: Formal conspiracies (such as Cartel)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Noncollusive</strong></span>: Informal, but consciously cooperative (such as the Kinked Demand Curve)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Kinked Demand Curve Model</strong></span> assumes that firms maintain their current price if any one firm raises its price, but all firms match any price reduction by any single firm<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">All firms merely gain or lose sales based on the elasticity of the industry&#8217;s total demand<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Flaws of Kinked Demand model<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price rigidity may be no more frequent in oligopolies than other industries<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Kinked demand models fail to explain<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Why entry does not occur?<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How oligopoly emerges?<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How the equilibrium price is initially established?<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How prices change?<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A Cartel is an organization through which members jointly make decisions about prices and production<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cartels operate primarily in natural resources markets to unite and share both market and monopoly profits<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A successful cartel requires<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Control over the bulk of output by a small group of cartel members<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The good must be fairly homogeneous<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Mature technology<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cartels will be more successful the less elastic the market demand for the good<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some method is needed to monitor member compliance and prevent cheating<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A cartel&#8217;s members jointly decide what price to charge and how much to sell<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The crucial issue is sharing the cartel&#8217;s output and profit among its members<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Instability<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Strong incentives for members to cheat for higher profits by cutting your price because of<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">You are not giving prices cuts to your assigned customers<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Your competitors do not give price cuts to the customer they retain<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">You sell to more buyers<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">High prices and profit will attract new competitors or spur development of substitutes for the cartel&#8217;s products<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EVALUATING OLIGOPOLY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms in oligopolistic industries<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Exercise considerable market power<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Yield economic inefficiency similar to monopoly<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In equilibrium the marginal social benefit (price) of their products exceeds the marginal social cost<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Output will tend to be lower and higher prices to consumers<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. GAME THEORY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economists who consider strategic behavior stress that<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A single firm&#8217;s action may affect industrial concentration<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dynamet decisions (decisions made over time) are invariably rational<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Different information shapes firms behavior and market structure<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>STRATEGY IN GAME THEORY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Game Theory is the study of strategic interactions among interdependent decision-markers<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A game requires pairing the costs and benefits of all possible strategies adopted by one player with all possible strategies adopted by an opponent<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The payoff to each player depends on the strategies of other players, but players can select only their own strategy, not the strategies of other players<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Then each set of possible outcomes is analyzed to ascertain an equilibrium, which occurs when every player optimizes, after adjusting for the likely strategies of other players<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Winners&#8217; gains exactly offset losses to losers<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PRISONERS&#8217; DILEMMA<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A classic noncooperative game known as the <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Prisoners&#8217; Dilemma</strong></span> is often applied to cases of business rivalry, and helps explain why cartel arrangements break down<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"> A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Dominant Strategy</strong></span> is a player&#8217;s best response to any strategy other players might pick<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A strategy is dominant if, no matter what strategy your opponents select, your payoff is maximized<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>COOPERATION IN GAME THEORY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cooperative Games permit players to make binding agreements, and players may form coalitions<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Examples of cooperative games include<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">International trade<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Collective bargaining, in which firms and union bargain over employment condition<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Plea bargaining between persecutors and defense attorneys<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cooperative games break down if a party can gain by violating what was supposed to be a binding agreement<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Noncooperative Games permit neither binding commitments nor coalitions<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The prisoners&#8217; dilemma, hostile corp. takeovers, or pure competition are examples<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MOVING FIRST<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The sequence of moves is important in many games<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The first firm to introduce its standard clearly sets the industry standard<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Nash Equilibrium</strong></span> is a strategy combination where no player has a net incentive to change unless other players change<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DYNAMIC GAMES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Dynamic (repeated) games lead to more sophisticated strategies than do one-shot games<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two possibilities for infinitely repeating games are<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Grim strategy<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Grim Strategy</strong></span> entails refused to commit to a position until the other player commits to a position<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tit for tat strategy<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Tit-For-Tat Strategy</strong></span> begins cooperatively.  Thereafter, in any period, tit for tat entails echoing what the opponent did in the previous period<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tit for tat may not result in a stable equilibrium<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ASYMMETRIC PAYOFFS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Reputation Building</strong></span> convinces opponents that past behavior is a good predictor of future behavior<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Asymmetric Payoffs between parties are one possible motive for reputation building<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In an <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Asymmetric Payoffs</strong></span>, the payoffs from cooperation for at least one party are higher than the payoffs to some other players<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Entry Deterrence decisions, in which a potential new entrant must judge the willingness of incumbent firms to fight market entry<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. STRATEGIC BEHAVIOR IN BUSINESS<br />
</strong></span></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CONTESTABLE MARKETS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Contestable Market Theory</strong></span> suggests that easy market entry can force even firms that are the sole current sellers of goods to produce the same output levels and set the same prices as would competitive firms<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The theory of contestable markets pivots on the idea that competitive vigor is less related to the number of firms currently in an industry than to the ease of market access by other firms if prospect for economic profit exist<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PREDATORY BEHAVIOR<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Predatory Behavior occurs when a firm attempts to drive rivals from the industry and deter entry<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">After rivals exit, the predator firm presumably will raise prices to levels consistent with its market power<br />
</span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Predatory behavior is forbidden by US antitrust law<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Predation is often hard to distinguish from normal competition so that it is difficult to prosecute in the courts<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Examples are<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Low prices<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Expanded output<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Aggressive advertising<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The cloning of rivals&#8217; products<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rapid technological innovation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Redesigns of existing product to make them incompatible with rivals&#8217; products<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Monopolizing access to essential resources<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>LIMIT PRICING<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Limit Pricing Model</strong></span> postulates an incumbent firm and potential entrants with the same cost curve.  Further, new entrants can expect to capture only that part of the market not satisfied by the incumbent.  Thus, the new entrant believes that total industry output after entry will equal the incumbent&#8217;s current output plus its own<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The limit price is not the monopoly price, but an incumbent firm can earn long-run economic profits with this strategy<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SUNK COSTS AS ENTRY BARRIERS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">An irreversible capital decision may effectively deter entry when capital depreciates slowly and when no used market for such capital exists<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This capacity to rapidly expand output, plunging the industry into a price war, may deter entry<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>ACCOMMODATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some economists have concluded that the costs to firms of limit pricing or predation far out weigh accommodation of entry<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Nonprice techniques or buying rivals at premium prices avoid predation costs or allow greater profits than occur under limit pricing<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 27. ANTITRUST AND REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government&#8217;s options to combat abuses of market power include<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Antitrust laws<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulation<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Nationalization (governmental operation of important industries)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. THE STRUCTURE-CONDUCT-PERFORMANCE PARADIGM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>Structure-Conduct-Performance Paradigm (S-C-P Theory)<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"> Three steps in analyzing an industry under S-C-P theory<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Properly categorizing an industry&#8217;s market structure in which a firm operates (competitive, monopolistic, monopolistically competitive, or oligopolistic) according to<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The number of active competitors<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Barriers to entry and exit<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The extent of product differentiation<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Conventional models conclude that certain pricing and output decision (conduct) predictably arise from market power or its absence<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sparse competition<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Barriers to entry<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Product heterogeneity create market power<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Finally, this theory suggests that the equilibrium price of any imperfectly competitive firm invariably exceeds marginal social cost; too little of the good is produced, creating Allocative and productive inefficiency<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">S-C-P approach suggests that government policy to cure problems of industrial organization is straightforward: outlaws monopolies or near monopolies where possible, which tightly regulating market power that arises from economies of scale<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Thus, S-C-P approach indicates that competition is the most efficient structure for an industry, and unregulated monopoly, the least<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. MEASURING MARKET POWER<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Size is often equated with market power, but big industries may contain many huge firms, none of which has much market power<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE LERNER INDEX OF MONOPOLY POWER<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The S-C-P approach has led to attempts to quantitatively estimate the market power concentrated in the hands of few firms in an industry<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market power creates a gap between marginal cost and price<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Lerner Index of Monopoly Power (LMP</strong></span>) = (Price – MC) / Price<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The LMP is zero from pure competitors<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The exercise of market power increases the LMP because the equilibrium gap between price and MC<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, the MC data required to calculate this index are not generally available, requiring economists to turn to other measures of monopoly power<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MARKET CONCENTRATION RATIOS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Concentration Ratios (CR)</strong></span> are the percentage of total industry sales, assets, employment, value added, or output accounted for by an industry&#8217;s biggest four or eight firms, although any number of firms could be used<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">CR<sub>4</sub> = ∑ <sup>4</sup><sub><em>i</em>=1</sub>S<em><sub>i</sub></em> , S<em><sub>i</sub></em> is the market share of the <em>i</em>th firm and S<sub>1</sub> .&gt; S<sub>2</sub> &gt; S<sub>3</sub> &gt; S<sub>4</sub><strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Data are sporadically available<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE HERFINDAHL-HIRSCHMAN INDEX<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)</strong></span> which estimates concentration by emphasizing the firms with the largest market shares, as measured by<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">HHI = ∑ <sup>n</sup><sub><em>i</em>=1</sub>S<em><sub>i</sub></em><sup>2</sup> , S<em><sub>i</sub></em> is the market share of the <em>i</em>th firm<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Used by Justice Dept&#8217;s Antitrust Division<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">HHI places the greatest weight on the largest firms by squaring market shares<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Federal Trade Commission suggests that, on the average, each 10% rise in market share yield a 2% increase in profitability<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">HHIs capture differences in concentration hidden by concentration ratios alone<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The lone firm in a monopolized industry would have a HHI of 10,000 (100<sup>2</sup>)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">HHI falls as the number of firms in an industry rises or as firms&#8217; sizes become more uniform<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DIFFICULTIES IN CATEGORIZING INDUSTRIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Markets are <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Contestable</strong></span> if a number of firms use roughly the same types of plants and equipment to manufacture different products and if switching from one product line to another is easy<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Firms that can easily cross industry boundaries should be grouped as potential competitors<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Standard Industry Classification (SIC) codes<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Attempt to classify industries<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Overly inclusive<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Concentration is overstated if imports of close substitutes are ignored<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. MERGERS AND MARKE POWER<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Concentration increases when major competitors merge<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The economic inefficiency associated with market power gained through merger may be socially undesirable if the firms are among the leaders of a concentrated industry<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, merger of small firs into one viable competitor in a concentrated industry can be socially beneficial if the merged firm is more efficient and more able to compete with established giants<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MAJOR MERGER MOVEMENTS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Four major waves of mergers<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The First Wave: Horizontal Mergers<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Horizontal Mergers</strong></span>: absorbing direct competitors can be a shortcut in attaining market dominance<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Abuse of the resulting market power was apparently routine<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sherman Antitrust Act in 1890 to forbid major horizontal mergers<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Loopholes were tightened by the Clayton Act of 1914<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Second Wave: Vertical Mergers<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Vertical Mergers</strong></span>: entails gaining control over various stages of production from raw materials to finished manufacturing<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Third Wave: Conglomerates<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Conglomerate Mergers</strong></span>: which combine firms from unrelated industries<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Fourth Wave: Corporate Raiders<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Voluntary Restructuring</strong></span>: the jettisoning of bad acquisitions<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>IS CONCENTRATION INCREASING?<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Relative stability of our industrial structure is supported by data for concentration ratios<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>IS BIG BAD?<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Although concentration within specific industries may be relatively stable, giant multinationals are increasingly important players on the international scene<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In addition to their huge shares of manufacturing assets (capital), these giants also account for growing proportions of employments, sales, ad profits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some defenders of modern corp. giantism argue that size is a tribute to the success of entrepreneurs and managers in serving consumers&#8217; needs in exceptionally efficient ways<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Other defenders content that large enterprises are necessary to comply with the maze of federal, state, and local regulations governing modern business practice<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PUBLIC POLICIES TOWARD BUSINESS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government policies about industrial structure have been directed along two broad lines<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulation<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Antitrust<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. ANTITRUST POLICY    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competitive markets tend to be more allocatively efficient than those controlled by firms with market power<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">When firms exercise market power, the price of the last unit sold tends to exceed both its cost and the competitive price<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Economic inefficiency is a problem when the price (MSB) charged by a firm exceeds MSC<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The stated goals of antitrust policy are to outlaw monopolization of markets and to prohibit specific misconduct associated with market power<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ANTITRUST LAWS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Sherman Act (1890)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prohibits contracts, combinations, and conspiracies in restraint of trade, and forbids monopolization or attempt to monopolize<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Clayton Act (1914)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Prohibits certain form of price discrimination, contracts that prevent buyers from dealing with sellers&#8217; competitions, acquisition of one corp.&#8217;s shares by another if the effect will be to substantially lessen competition, and interlocking directorates between competing corps.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price discrimination is permitted<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">If a defendant can show that it does not reduce competition<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">For intangible properties or services <strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Federal Trade Commission Act (1914)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Established the FTC to investigate unfair and deceptive business practices<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Robinson-Patman Act (1936)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Amended the Clayton Act (section 2) to prohibit discounts and other special price concessions.  Price discrimination is permissible only where it is<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Based on difference in cost<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A good faith effort to meet competition<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Based on differences in marketability of product<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXEMPTION FROM ANTITRUST LAWS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Normally, the more tightly regulated an  industry is, the greater is its exemption from antitrust laws<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. ANTITRUST IN PRACTICE    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MONOPOLIZATION AND MARKET POWER<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rule of Reason</strong></span> approach attempted to distinguish good trusts from bad trust, using such criteria as whether they set their prices to yield supernormal profits or attempted to run competitors out of business<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Per Se Doctrine</strong></span> asserts that certain contract or combinations seem inherently so contrary to competition that they are illegal per se<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Per se violations include<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price-fixing agreements<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Schemes to split customers into territories<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Agreements between competitors to refuse to deal with certain suppliers or customers<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tie-in sales, where a dominant seller forces a buyer to purchase peripheral products in order to purchase the desired good<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MERGER POLICY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Justice Dept. currently requires premerger notification by firms<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Dept. categorized mergers according to<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The level of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index in the industry<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The change in the index that would occur because of the merger<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The Dept. also considers<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Whether one of the merging firms is a dominant leader in the industry<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ease of entry into the market<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ease and profitability of collusion<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>TRENDS IN ANTITRUST<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Most antitrust litigation is initiated by small companies with complaints about low prices charged by competitors<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The magnitude of antitrust action depends primarily on the political climate<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. REGULATION    <br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE GROWTH OF GOVERNMENT REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Federal Register,</strong></span> which lists new federal regulations, mushroomed from a few hundred pages annually to thousands of pages each  month<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Few well-known federal regulators are    <strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">IRS, FAA, FTC, FDA, EPA, and SEC<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>7. THEORIES OF REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The three main theories of regulation are <strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Public interest<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Industry interest<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Public choice<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE PUBLIC INTEREST THEORTY OF BUSINESS REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Public Interest Theory of Regulation</strong></span> is the idea that people need protection from business abuses or other market failures.  This theory assumes that regulations serve the public&#8217;s interest by restricting harmful business activities such as excessive monopoly power, asymmetric information, strategic behavior, and externalities<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">In a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Blocking Pricing</strong></span> system the more you use of the regulated monopolist&#8217;s product, the lower the price for extra units<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rate Base</strong></span> is the value of capital to which the profit rate applies.  The regulator ideally adjusts <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Rate Structures</strong></span> so that total revenue covers all operating cost, including a normal profit<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Desires for minimal rates must be weighed against allowing normal rate of return.  This trade-off invariably provokes disagreements about<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Appropriate values for items allowed in the rate base<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">&#8220;Fair&#8221; rates of return<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">How to structure rates<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Benefits or costs to a party not directly involved in an activity are <strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Externalities</span><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INDUSTRY INTEREST THEORTY OF REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Industry Interest Theory of Regulation</strong></span> asserts that regulation is often tailored to serve the interests of regulated industries instead of those of the general public<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">States can raise or lower profitability in any industry through four major mechanisms<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Direct subsidies to the industry, special tax breaks, or punitive taxes, or advantageous or harmful operating regulations<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Restriction or encouragement of entry or exit<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Subsidies, taxes, or limitations on complementary or substitute products<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Direct price-fixing policies<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government policies also affect an industry&#8217;s substitutes and complements<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">George Stigler&#8217;s <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Industry Interest</strong></span> theory views government as the supplier of regulatory services to an industry.  These services are paid for through lobbying or campaign contributions to policymakers who favor regulations the established firms want<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The major benefit of regulation to an industry is probably entry restriction<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Occupational licensing is a barrier to entry<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PUBLIC CHOICE THEORTY OF REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Public Choice Theory of Regulation</strong></span> emphasizes that bureaucrats product complex regulations so that their power and budgets will grow<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Public choice theory combines with Stigler&#8217;s industry interest theory to explain much of regulation<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>8. PERSPECTIVES ON REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DIRECT COSTS OF REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Direct Costs of Regulation</strong></span> include<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Administrative costs to the governments<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Compliance costs incurred by regulated entities<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INDIRECT COSTS OF REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Indirect Costs of Regulation are undesirable changes in behavior in response to regulations and resemble the excess burdens of taxation<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Indirect cost are incurred whenever people adjust to policies in ways not intended by policymakers<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>DEREGULATION AND  REGULATION<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Regulation is often a compromise among conflicting public interests, industry interests, and bureaucratic objectives, which make the results of deregulation somewhat unpredictable<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Deregulation that works well in one submarket may be less successful in another<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Deregulation generally stimulates competitions<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CHAPTER 32. MARKET FAILURE AND PUBLIC FINANCE<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>1. ECONOMIC ROLES FOR GOVERNMENT<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Goals for government<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Maintaining a stable legal environment<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Ensuring full employment, a stable price level, and a secure and growing standard of living (macroeconomic topic)<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Facilitating equity through redistribution of income<br />
</span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Promoting market competition and allocating resources to meet public wants efficiently (Antitrust policies promote efficiency through competition)<br />
</span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>2. MARKET FAILURE: ALLOCATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competitive markets usually perform well when all parties to a transaction pay for the benefits they receive and are compensated for their costs<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Competitive market allocate most standard goods so that marginal social benefits equal marginal social costs<strong><br />
				</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">However, Allocative failure occurs when equilibrium marginal social benefits and costs diverges<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Improper pricing and output occurs when private markets are afflicted with any of three basic types of problems<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market power may create inefficiency, with suboptimal output and excessive prices (Monopoly Power)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Externalities can warp price signals so that production costs or our demands are inaccurately reflected (i.e., pollution)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The public goods problem, results when shared consumption possible but people cannot be denied access to the benefits from a good (i.e., national defense)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government may correct market failures by<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Promoting competition<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Modifying the composition of private outputs through taxes, subsidies, or regulations<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Directly providing certain goods<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>MONOPOLY POWER<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Private firms with market power charge higher prices and produce less than the optimal output that would be produced in pure competition<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Long-run average cost curves that decline across a wide range of output relative to market demand may make competition inefficient and yield a natural monopoly<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Antitrust legislation may curb monopoly power and promote competition, or regulation can steer natural monopolists toward efficient behavior<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXTERNALITIES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Externalities</strong></span> are the benefits conferred or costs imposed on a third party not directly participating in a transaction<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">This type of market inefficiency is common when market prices and outputs fail to reflect these third parties&#8217; preference<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Negative Externalities – All forms of pollution-chemical, air, noise, and litter<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Negative externalities tend to ignored when producers decide how much to produce, so that prices charged reflect only the producers&#8217; private costs<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Positive Externalities that spill over from an activity may also create inefficiency (i.e., neighborhood watch program)<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Positive externalities tend to be ignored in private market decision, resulting in underproduction and overpricing of the goods that generate positive externalities<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PUBLIC GOODS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Public Good</strong></span> can be enjoyed by numerous individuals at the same time (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Nonrivalry</strong></span>); once a public good is available, denying access to a consumer is prohibitively expensive (<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Nonexclusion</strong></span>)<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rivalry and Nonrivalry<br />
</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumption exhausts a Rival Good so that no one else can consume the same unit<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Because consuming a rival good such as an apple use up scarce resources, it is efficient that consumers pay for each unit consumed<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">On the other hand, for such Nonrival goods as TV broadcast signal, hours spent in front of the TV do not diminish those signals<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Exclusion and Nonexclusion<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Nonexclusion occurs whenever it is prohibitively expensive to prevent people from enjoying a good once it is provided<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PROVIDING FOR PUBLIC GOODS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Nonexclusive and Nonrival goods differ markedly from private goods, so constructing demand curves fro public goods requires a different approach than does construction of market demand curves for private goods<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market demand curve for private goods<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Horizontal</span> summations of individual demand curve<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The quantities demanded at each price are summed<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Each individual pays the same price unit, but each consumes different quantity<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Market demand curve for public goods<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Vertical</span> summations of individual demand curve<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Constructed by adding the funds we each would willingly pay for each possible amount of the goods<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Assumes that individuals willingly reveal their preference and we could pay for these public goods by taxing individuals in proportion to the benefits received (same quantity but different price by individuals)<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>3. TAXATION<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes finance most of government spending<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Two somewhat contradictory principles broadly address equity in distributing tax burdens<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Benefit Principle</strong></span> favors taxes in accord with people&#8217;s benefits from government spending<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Ability-To-Pay Principle</strong></span> advocate taxes in accord with one&#8217;s wealth or income <strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE BENEFIT PRINCIPLE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Benefit Principle of Taxation</strong></span> taxes people in proportion to the marginal benefits they receive from a government provided good<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">This principle is impractical for most pure public goods because<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Collecting all the information required for appropriately different taxes is prohibitively costly<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">People cannot be excluded from enjoying the benefits whether they paid taxes or not<strong><br />
											</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Free Riders</strong></span> problem arises when people evade paying for goods that are nonexclusive; they can use such goods without payment<strong><br />
												</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">General tax revenues are used to pay for most goods government provides, but the benefit approach to funding public goods is a basis for user charges that relate taxes to expected benefits<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">i.e., bus fares, gasoline taxes<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>THE ABILITY-TO-PAY PRINCIPLE<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Ability-to-Pay Principle</strong></span> suggest that the fairest tax is one based on your financial ability to support government activities<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes can be related to income in three basic ways<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A tax is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Progressive</strong></span> if higher incomes are taxed more proportionally than lower incomes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Proportional</strong></span> taxes are a fixed percentage of income<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A tax is <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Regressive</strong></span> if the percentage of income paid as taxes falls as income rises<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Equity in our tax system requires both horizontal and vertical equity<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Vertical Equity</strong></span> assets that people better able to pay higher taxes should do so<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Vertical equity means that unequals should be treated unequally<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Vertical equity is at the heart of the ability-to-pay principle<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Horizontal Equity</strong></span> requires that individuals who are equal in all important respects be treated equally<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Horizontal equity dictates that equals should pay equal taxes<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>4. TAX BURDENS AND EFFICIENCY<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Difference between total tax burdens and net government revenues reflect inefficiency<strong><br />
					</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Total Burden</strong></span> of a tax equals the amount that would have to be paid the individual on whom the burden falls to make that person just as well off with the tax as without it<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxpayers&#8217; cost unavoidably exceed net government revenues because of<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Government&#8217;s administrative costs<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxpayers&#8217; compliance cost (costs for preparing taxes)<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>EXCESS BURDENS<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Excess Burden</strong></span> of a tax is the difference between the total burden and the tax revenue collected by government<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Excess burdens arise whenever people are made worse off than the losses imposed by the tax funds actually collected from them<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Taxes impose excess burdens if they distort the prices faced by consumers, workers, savers, investors, or business decision-makers<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>NEUTRALITY<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Neutral Tax</strong></span> distorts neither consumer buying patterns nor the production methods used by firms.  Its total burden just equals the tax revenue collected, there are no excess burdens<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax neutrality requires that the tax directly cause only income effects, not substitution effects.<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Neutral tax does not induce behavior to avoid the tax; behavior changes only because of lost purchasing power<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>5. THE CURRENT TAX SYSTEM<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PERSONAL INCOME TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Several flaws of progressive personal income taxes<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Rising marginal tax rates create disincentives that discourage investment and work effort<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Our complex Internal Revenue code creates loopholes that allow individuals and corporations to legally avoid taxes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Tax avoidance is legal, but high marginal rates also provide huge incentives for tax evasion: the illegal nonpayment of taxes<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The 1986 Tax Reform Act was not intended to lower most people&#8217;s taxes.  Its major advantages are consistency and simplicity<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SOCIAL SECURITY TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Single largest source of federal revenues<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social Security taxes, unemployment compensation, and workmen&#8217;s disability taxes are Payroll Taxes<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They are based on primarily on the payrolls that firms pay<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social Security taxes are split 50/50 by employers and employees<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Social Security has been pay-as-you-go so that current workers&#8217; taxes cover benefits to retirees<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>SALES AND EXCISE TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Sales and excise taxes are widely attacked as regressive because the proportion of income spent on taxed goods is higher for the poor than for the rich<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Sales Taxes</strong></span> are percentage taxes broadly levied on dollar sales volumes, primarily by state and local government<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They exempt items such as food, housing, or labor services<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They distort relative prices and economic behavior<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Excise Taxes</strong></span> are selectively applied to items like telephone calls, utility bill, and gasoline<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some excise taxes, called <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Sin Taxes</strong></span> (cigarettes and liquor)<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Price distortion create economic inefficiency<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CORPORTATE INCOME TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Consumers bear much of this tax burden in the long run, because corp. income taxes apply to accounting profits, which are largely normal profits, not economic profits<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The tax distorts prices to the extend that it is forward shifted; that is, the prices of good manufactured primarily by corps. are raised relative to the prices of goods most often produced by unincorporated firms<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">The inefficiency of the corp. income tax makes it extremely unpopular among most economists<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">One proposed reform is to eliminate corp. income taxes and allocate corp. profits to stockholders, who would then pay normal personal income taxes on their shares of corp. profits<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>PROPERTY TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The supply of land is perfectly inelastic.  Thus, <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Land Taxes</strong></span> are relatively neutral; a tax on pure land rent has almost no effect on rental rates for land relative to other resources or goods<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Property Tax</strong></span> is based on the value of landholdings plus capital improvements<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The supply of land may be perfectly inelastic, but improvements are very elastically supplied in the long run<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>INHERITANCE AND GIFT TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">These taxes are progressive<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;"><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>6. TAX REFORM PROPOSAL<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p style="margin-left:36pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>VALUE-ADDED TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Value-Added Taxes (VATs)</strong></span> resemble sales taxes but apply only to difference between a firm&#8217;s sales and its purchases from other firms<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A VAT is a fixed percentage of a firm&#8217;s payments for resources and is not applied to intermediate products the firm purchases from other firms<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-left:18pt;">
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Major virtues of the VAT<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">VAT is reasonably neutral<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">The tax evasion is extremely difficult<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">A drawbacks of the VAT<strong><br />
									</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">VATs are largely hidden<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">VATs require more cumbersome accounting than sales taxes because VATs must be paid at several levels of output<strong><br />
										</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>FLAT RATE TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Many critics claim that attempts to make income taxes highly progressive are self-defeating<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">They argue that high marginal tax rates discourage investment and so, in the long run, actually hold down the incomes of most &#8220;working stiffs,&#8221; or those whose productivity would be enhanced were they working with more capital<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">High marginal tax rates increase the payoff from lobbying for new loopholes, which can reduce the true progressivity of tax system to a mere shadow of the nominal rates<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;">Some analysts have suggested that a <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Flat Rate Income Tax</strong></span> of roughly 20% with no exemptions or deductions would<strong><br />
							</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Generate more revenue than the current tax system<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Eliminate most tax evasion<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cut the amount of paperwork required from firms and household<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Cure the ulcers and headaches common around April 15 of each year<strong><br />
								</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">Critics of this proposal fear that a flat income tax system would be an inequitable retreat from society&#8217;s fight against poverty<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<ul>
<li>
<div><span style="font-size:10pt;"><strong>CONSUMPTION TAXES<br />
</strong></span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">A <span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>Consumption Tax</strong></span> could be as progressive as any income tax system, so problems of progressivity are not necessarily raised<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
<li><span style="font-size:10pt;">According to the advocates of this approach, the resulting increase in saving and investment would greatly enhance labor productivity, and technological breakthroughs would allow substantial economic growth<strong><br />
						</strong></span></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p>
 </p>
<p><span style="font-size:10pt;"><br />
		</span> </p>
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		<link>http://lydonotes.wordpress.com/2007/10/11/3/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Oct 2007 08:53:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>lydo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Mental Models [1] Mental models can be simple generalizations, such as "people are untrustworthy," or they can be complex theories. But what is most important to grasp is that mental models shape how we act. If we believe people are untrustworthy, we act differently from the way we would if we believed they were trustworthy. [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=lydonotes.wordpress.com&amp;blog=1888195&amp;post=3&amp;subd=lydonotes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mental Models [1]</p>
<pre>Mental models can be simple generalizations, such as "people are
   untrustworthy," or they can be complex theories. But what is most
   important to grasp is that mental models shape how we act. If we believe
   people are untrustworthy, we act differently from the way we would if we believed they were trustworthy.</pre>
<p>[1] Deming, Peter, the 5th discipline</p>
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		<title>Hello world!</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Oct 2007 08:51:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>lydo</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Welcome to WordPress.com. This is your first post. Edit or delete it and start blogging!<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=lydonotes.wordpress.com&amp;blog=1888195&amp;post=1&amp;subd=lydonotes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome to <a href="http://wordpress.com/">WordPress.com</a>. This is your first post. Edit or delete it and start blogging!</p>
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